The college football head coaching carousel concluded one of its most chaotic cycles one month after the conclusion of the 2025 regular season.

No fewer than 18 different Power Four programs will have a new head coach in the 2026 college football season. Some fired coaches for poor performance, some fired coaches for cause, and others had their head coaches hired away by other Power Four programs.

The question for each school that hired a new coach is how quickly its program can succeed under said coach. Some programs take longer to build, while others make people feel better about themselves after their first season under a coach.

Retired three-time national champion head coach Urban Meyer made predictions for which programs will succeed the quickest under their new head coaches. He listed three different programs forecasted to see quick turnarounds on “The Triple Option Podcast.”

Meyer ranked California’s hire of Tosh Lupoi as the third-best hire in the offseason, citing Lupoi’s ability to recruit and the play of his defenses as rationale for a speedy rise for the Golden Bears as a national power. No. 2 was Florida bringing in Jon Sumrall from Tulane because of how quickly he expects the Gators’ style of play to change.

The No. 1 hire in the 2026 coaching carousel, according to Meyer, was Michigan’s hiring of Kyle Whittingham, the very last hiring of the cycle.

“The impactful ones in this order are, No. 1 is Kyle Whittingham,” Meyer said on the podcast. “And not just (Michigan earning) Ws, but just the way they’re going to go about their business.”

Meyer is very familiar with Michigan, having coached opposite the Wolverines in “The Game.” He was Ohio State’s head coach from 2012-2018, a stretch in which the Buckeyes only missed two Big Ten Championship games and never lost to the Wolverines. In addition to Michigan as a program, Meyer is also very familiar with its new head coach.

Following a two-year tenure at Bowling Green, Meyer took the head coaching vacancy at Utah in 2003. Kyle Whittingham was entering his tenth season on the Utes’ staff when Meyer took over. Whittingham succeeded Meyer as head coach after Meyer’s 22-2 record in two seasons catapulted him into the head coaching vacancy left at Florida by Ron Zook in the 2005 offseason.

Michigan was wrapping up its second season under Sherrone Moore when the Wolverines decided to fire him with cause on Dec. 10, 2025. The Wolverines were 17-9 in the two seasons with Moore at the helm.

Ty Simpson has made his intention to enter the NFL Draft known, but that decision may not be as final as it once appeared.

As the clock winds down toward Wednesday’s official NFL Draft declaration deadline, Simpson’s name is still very much circulating in college football circles. According to sources familiar with the situation, multiple SEC football programs are continuing to push hard behind the scenes, hoping to convince the Alabama quarterback to return to the college game for the 2026 season. Even after announcing his draft intentions, Simpson has reportedly remained the subject of aggressive NIL pursuit through third-party channels

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What is clear, however, is the money involved.

One program has reportedly put a package on the table that could reach as high as $6.5 million for Simpson to suit up in 2026. Beyond that, multiple SEC schools, at least three, per AL.com, have floated offers north of $4 million, with incentives that could push those totals even higher.

That level of interest isn’t random. I

t’s a direct reflection of the current quarterback landscape heading into 2026.

Elite quarterbacks are scarce.

The demand is massive.

And the pressure to compete for a College Football Playoff spot has never been higher.

As sports attorney Darren Heitner explained, the market dynamics are doing exactly what markets do when supply runs thin:

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“Several teams chasing a shrinking pool of elite quarterbacks, combined with the pressure to field a CFP contender, could drive up the price for certain players who have yet to transfer and/or are considering the NFL Draft and are seen as transformative,” Heitner said. “It’s basic economics where leverage meets scarcity.”

That leverage belongs to Simpson right now, and it’s rare.

It’s the kind of leverage only a handful of quarterbacks ever experience, where every decision reshapes not just their future, but the plans of entire programs and front offices. NFL scouts are evaluating long-term upside and readiness. NIL collectives are weighing risk versus reward. College coaches are staring at their quarterback rooms, knowing one elite decision could define, or derail, their 2026 season.

Everyone is pulling on the same thread, trying to see which direction Simpson will go.

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And until that deadline hits, nothing is final.

Nothing is settled.

Every option remains on the table.

Whether Simpson ultimately stays in the NFL Draft or sends shockwaves through college football by choosing to return for another season, one thing is crystal clear: the quarterback market has reached unprecedented territory.

Experience matters.

Leadership matters.

And proven production matters more than ever.

And right now, Alabama Football’s own Ty Simpson sits at the center of it all, a reminder that in today’s game, elite quarterbacks don’t just lead offenses.

They set markets.

Made in Chicago: Custom, licensed luggage tags for your student-athletes

A better way to trade Nvidia

One of the most compelling sales pitches for the new(ish) expanded College Football Playoff, now in its second season of existence, was that it offered more teams chances to prove their worth on the field, rather than in computer formulae or the backrooms of the sport’s halls of power. And with apologies to notable snubs like Notre Dame, that’s mostly been the case. Eighth-seeded Ohio State fought through the strongest opponents of any modern champion last year, while next Monday’s championship game will pit undefeated Indiana — who might have a case as the greatest champ ever — against No. 10 seed Miami, who earned every bit of their way to play the title game at their home stadium.

The price for all of that, however, was adding to the disoriented and discontented feeling that generally pervades the sport right now.

Last week, The Athletic conducted a “vibe-check” poll of college football fans, asking how they felt about the sport. And the results were not exactly pretty. Out of more than 12,000 voters, roughly 56 percent said they did not like the state of college football at the moment because “it’s a mess” — more than two-and-a-half as many respondents who said they liked the sport because “the games are great”:

To be clear, I suspect the majority of that comes from the off-field chaos — from money-chasing coaches like Lane Kiffin to the sense that NIL and the transfer portal have fundamentally turned college football into a completely different sport than it used to be. (A viewpoint with which I sympathize, though the upside has been to allow non-traditional powers inject the sport with much-needed parity.)

But other changes have plunged the sport still deeper into the uncanny valley between its amateur past and an increasingly professionalized future. I wrote last month about the toll the new playoff was taking on the last remaining vestiges of the classic bowl system, and this time a year ago I noted how absurdly long and drawn-out bowl season was in the age of the expanded CFP:

Just like last season, this year’s title game will take place a full 38 days after the beginning of bowl season — and 32 days since the opening game of the playoff itself. For comparison’s sake, pre-playoff bowl season used to span an average of 19.1 days, and the old four-team playoff lasted an average of 10.9 days from beginning to end. Now we will have a gap longer than that simply between Miami and Indiana’s semifinal victories at the end of last week and the title game a week from tonight.

If that (and really the whole thing in general) feels weird and long, it might be because we’re still thinking of things in college terms — when, like everything else in the sport right now, we probably should be putting it in pro terms instead. Here’s a comparison between various different formats (plus March Madness, thrown in for fun) when it comes to their average days until the championship at each round of the playoffs:

The 12-team college playoff has taken slightly longer (31.8 days) to get to the championship than the 14-team NFL playoffs (29.2). But generally, the cadence matches pretty closely, right down to the double-digit day gap between the semifinals and final. (Conversely, it would be a lot to ask football players to turn around within a few days and play the championship, like they do in basketball’s Final Four.)

So, then, what makes the NFL’s postseason rhythm feel so much more normal than college football’s? Well, in addition to the novelty of the college playoff even having this many teams and rounds, the NFL gets to muscle college off of the premium days for playoff scheduling. As Club Sportico’s Eben Novy-Williams notes here, the odd timing of the CFP’s biggest games is mainly a byproduct of the NFL’s dominance of the January calendar.

While college football “owns” Saturdays in the fall, thanks to protections in the 1961 Sports Broadcasting Act, those safeguards expire in mid-December, freeing the NFL to schedule late regular season and playoff games on Saturdays and Sundays. And rather than going head-to-head with the NFL postseason, the College Football Playoff and its TV partners must push marquee games to weekday nights where they can be the biggest event on the schedule. In their current formats, nearly 92 percent of NFL playoff games have been on weekends, while only 9 percent of college playoff games can say the same. (Many more have been on random-feeling days like Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday and especially Friday.)

That tradeoff reflects a broader paradox for modern college sports: What makes college football special is its tradition and atmosphere — but what makes it valuable is television. And as the NFL continues to broaden its reach across more days of the year and college football continues to expand its playoff bracket, the latter increasingly finds itself chasing whatever visibility it can find, wherever it can be found. As a result, college football is now no longer the biggest thing on the calendar when its games matter the most.

That sensation, as much as any, is what fans can’t quite shake — even as the cream rises to the top more than ever and the football itself can be plenty exciting (when Indiana isn’t blowing the doors off everyone, that is). This no longer feels quite like the sport we used to organize our lives around, and the weirdo cadence of the playoff schedule is one of the most glaring signs of that shift. That doesn’t mean the expanded playoff was a mistake, but it does mean college football is asking us to recalibrate how we experience it: Following a game that looks like a pro league in more and more ways, even as it still demands to be loved like a campus tradition.

Filed under: College Football, Football