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NIL Money is Impacting the NBA Draft, Possibly the Blazers

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NIL Money is Impacting the NBA Draft, Possibly the Blazers

One of the more underrated stories in the NBA Draft each year is the withdrawal of candidates who initially test the draft-class waters but pull back before the actual show for various reasons. Draft withdrawals can affect any team selecting below the premium lottery positions. This year that includes the Portland Trail Blazers.

Ricky O’Donnell of SB Nation has written about draft withdrawals this year. A partial list of players who stood a good chance of being drafted if they hadn’t withdrawn include Miles Byrd, Alex Condon, Boogie Fland, Karter Knox, Yaxel Lendeborg, Tahaad Pettiford, Labaron Philon, Milos Uzan, and Darrion Williams. None of these players projected to be a lottery pick, but Lendeborg and Pettiford for example were mocked pretty often as solid first round picks, while others were seen as late first round to early second round prospects.

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If it wasn’t clear already, it’s now unmistakable that NIL money is persuading many players to stay in the college ranks when previously they would have given the NBA draft a shot. Just 106 players registered as early entry candidates initially, a number now further reduced due to withdrawals. Compare that 2021, the last draft before NIL. 353 players registered that year. The total has declined every year since.

The numbers are a bit murky on how much exactly specific players are getting, but top player Cooper Flagg is said to have pulled down over $4 million this past season. We do know aggregate information; the average NIL amount from 8/1/2024 to 4/20/2025 was $53,643, but the median was just $3,371. This means that the top players were getting the lion’s share of NIL money. Just 9% of the players earned more than $10,000. Presumably multiple potential NBA draftees would lie in that top 9%.

If you get drafted this year at #25 in the first round, your salary is pegged at $2,983,320. Let’s say you slip into the second round. Your salary is no longer set by your draft position. You may be offered the NBA minimum of $1.27 million. Or perhaps a two-way contract at half that amount. Of course, there is also the risk that you get drafted and simply don’t make the team. Or not get drafted at all.

Instead, you get two huge advantages by going back to school. First, you’re now eligible to make as much NIL money was you would have gotten in the NBA if you would have been drafted in the first round outside of the lottery. If you were pegged to go in the second round, you’d make more. That’s money in the bank with no worry of slipping on draft day or getting cut. Second, you have the opportunity to raise your stock, and that can pay off big time. If you can go from #25 now to #10 next year you will more than double your yearly salary every year of your rookie contract. Suddenly waiting another year could make significant economic sense.

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While none of the withdrawals were players that the Blazers presumably were scouting to pick at #11, they could have an impact both in the short and long term. If the Blazers had been entertaining trading down, the player pool below #11 has now been weakened. On the other hand, the value of pick #11 may have gone up. If you are the Orlando Magic picking at #25, you might have had your eye one of the players who have withdrawn, and you might not like the remaining options. Maybe that gives you an incentive to try to trade up, making the picks above them more valuable.

Another dynamic might play out in the years to come. With so many quality players staying out of the draft, we might get some stronger drafts in the future. The number of players declaring for the draft won’t continue to go down forever; sooner or later players delaying the draft will start coming out and the numbers will start rebounding. If players are staying in college longer, they are more developed and mature, closer perhaps to the NBA player they are destined to become. The first-round pick in 2029 and pick swaps in 2028 and 2030 acquired from the Bucks in the Damian Lillard trade might yield players who are ready to contribute right away, hopefully at a time when some of the current Blazers are at the height of their powers.

It’s all part of the calculations the Blazers front office is making right now. It’s not just about who the best player might be to take at #11, but also the value in potentially trading that pick, especially if such a deal could add draft assets for a future, potentially deeper draft.

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Joel Klatt describes Kyle Whittingham hire at Michigan as a ‘tremendous fit’

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The hiring of Kyle Whittingham at Michigan may have caught much of the college football world off guard. However, FOX Sports analyst Joel Klatt believes the move checks every box the Wolverines needed to address.

Speaking on The Joel Klatt Show, Klatt called Michigan’s decision to bring in Whittingham a “home run,” citing the unique challenges surrounding the search, and how seamlessly the longtime Utah head coach fits the moment in Ann Arbor.

“This seems like a tremendous fit. This seems like a home run because it checks off all of these boxes,” Klatt said. “The timing is a challenge. The play-identity is a challenge. Culture reset and stabilization, that’s a challenge. Any one of those four is going to be very difficult to find. And yet, Kyle Whittingham checks the box in all four.”

Alas, Michigan moved quickly after firing Sherrone Moore earlier last month following an investigation into an inappropriate relationship with a staff member. The timing of the opening, coinciding with the start of the transfer portal and a limited coaching market, made the search particularly difficult. Many around the sport believed Michigan would be forced into a short-term or high-risk hire.

Instead, the Wolverines landed one of the most respected and stable figures in college football. Whittingham spent 22 seasons at Utah, compiling a 177–88 record while building the program into a consistent national presence.

He won two Pac-12 championships, produced eight double-digit win seasons and famously finished 13–0 in 2008, capped by a Sugar Bowl victory over Alabama. His teams became known for their physicality, discipline and consistency, traits Michigan is eager to reestablish.

Many assumed Whittingham’s resignation from Utah signaled retirement. Instead, the 64-year-old opted for a new challenge, stepping into a Michigan program just two years removed from a national championship in 2023. With Big Ten resources, elite recruiting infrastructure and a roster still stocked with high-level talent, Klatt believes the move is about more than stability.

“He looks at this as an opportunity to actually go out there and compete for a national championship,” Klatt claimed. He certainly has the chance to do so now.

After weeks of uncertainty, Michigan appears to have found exactly what it needed in Whittingham. A proven winner, steady hand and a coach capable of restoring trust while keeping the Wolverines firmly in the national title conversation.



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USA Today sends Alabama, Georgia, LSU, Florida, and Texas A&M a black-pilled message

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Ahead of the Indiana Hoosiers and Miami Hurricanes’ clash in the 2026 College Football Playoff National Championship Game on Monday, January 19, the SEC’s absence from a third-straight title game has many thinking the conference’s demise is here.

USA Today’s Matt Hayes is one of those people. Hayes called out the Alabama Crimson Tide, Georgia Bulldogs, LSU Tigers, Florida Gators, and Texas A&M Aggies by name for failing their sky-high expectations in the NIL/rev-share era.

As Hayes pointed out, Texas Tech Red Raiders superbooster and Fort Worth oilman Cody Campbell has built a program with rev-share payouts that used to resemble the schools that “didn’t pay” their players before student athletes started cashing sanctioned paychecks.

“There are millionaires and billionaires who love their universities and are obsessive about winning. Throw open the doors to NIL and free player movement — and legalized big booster involvement — and watch how quickly the SEC looks like the ACC,” Hayes wrote.

“Watch how quickly Alabama comes back to the pack, and Georgia can’t get out of the quarterfinals in the CFP. How quickly LSU and Florida and Texas A&M spend hundreds of millions of dollars to fire coaches and start over. 

“More to the point, watch how quickly the deep-pocket Cody Campbells of the world begin to simply play by the rules laid out by the SEC and Big Ten ― and build teams that look and play like SEC teams of the past.”

What Campbell is doing in the open, with public information on all salaries available at a state school per an information request, is more honorable than the bagmen of years past, who gave the “It Just Means More” tagline a devilish undertone. Obligatory mention of the cars Crimson Tide players were driving during their dominant 2010s era.

It’s just sad to see this change, since societies in the south were built on winning football.

Auburn’s fall in the rev-share/NIL era is understated, but it’s still a thing

Going from a College Football world that once saw Alabama win every other year, Georgia doing the same at the very end, and schools like LSU and Florida formerly dominated before, or right when Nick Saban arrived in Tuscaloosa, is more dramatic than going to a world where the Auburn Tigers went from an 8-10-win team to a perennial loser.

That doesn’t mean Auburn’s fall hasn’t happened. It has, and it’s been stark. It’s the same world, and it’s the one we’re living in.

As the Plains sees new, modern structures being erected everywhere, there is a lack of the same character from when the team was winning games, and the Auburn Creed meant something. From the sounds of it, the Creed’s principles were absent under the last two full-time head football coaches’ regimes.

Just like the perennial contenders in the conference, the Tigers need to figure out how to restore glory and make “It Just Means More” hit like it used to. Easier said than done, but all sports are cyclical, and the current CFB landscape will always favor the SEC and Big Ten.

So it should happen sometime in the future. Especially with a different personality like Alex Golesh in tow.

Only time will tell, though.



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Florida football transfer tracker as Jon Sumrall works the portal for 2026 class

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Updated Jan. 10, 2026, 9:46 p.m. ET



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Tennessee safety Boo Carter commits to Colorado out of NCAA transfer portal

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Tennessee safety Boo Carter has committed to Colorado out of the NCAA transfer portal, On3 has learned. Carter had a bit of a rocky relationship with the Volunteers, ultimately departing the program before the 2025 campaign had finished.

In two seasons at Tennessee, Carter recorded 63 tackles. He also notched two sacks, three forced fumbles, an interception and three passes defended.

Carter earned numerous SEC-related honors stemming from the 2024 season. He was a 2024 SEC All-Freshman team selection. He was also a 2025 preseason All-SEC third-team selection by the league’s coaches.

Boo Carter was arguably his most productive in terms of getting his hands on the ball in 2025. He logged 25 tackles, a sack, three forced fumbles and three passes defended this season.

But Carter didn’t stick around for the full season at Tennessee. He did not play in the team’s 42-9 win over New Mexico State in November. That absence was conspicuous.

Coach Josh Heupel expressed some disappointment in Boo Carter after the game. He shed a little light on the situation.

“At the end of the day, there’s a standard you’ve gotta meet to be in that locker room,” Heupel said. “So he was not out on the field with us. That will be my last response to anything related to that for right now.”

Boo Carter also missed several days with the team in July and went into call camp with questions about his availability. But he was able to work his way back into the good graces of the staff.

Ultimately, things didn’t end up working out at Tennessee. Shortly after that New Mexico State game, it was reported that Carter was splitting with the program.

“No, not regretful,” Heupel said. “At the end of the day, it’s our job as coaches to try to mold these guys, and that’s a part of the commitment that you make, you know, in the recruiting process and when they decide to come. You know, sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn’t. And, you know, at the end of the day, we’re moving forward.”

Prior to enrolling at Tennessee, Boo Carter was ranked as a four-star prospect and the No. 111 overall recruit in the nation, according to the Rivals Industry Rankings. He also checked in as the No. 3 athlete in the class and the No. 3 overall player from the state of Tennessee, hailing from Chattanooga (TN) Bradley Central.



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Is college football broken, or the best it’s ever been? Yes

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Indiana football is everything right now, representing at once the enhancement of the college football product on the field and the unsustainable reality off it.

No, Indiana didn’t do anything wrong — that we know of, anyway, though I’m sure other coaches would like to investigate Curt Cignetti and his players for spyware or cyborg blood or something. But as we wrap up a week that had the absolute best and worst of the sport clawing at each other for top billing, the Hoosiers should know they’ve made it so much harder for so many people.

Not that they should care. Go destroy Miami after people spend the week talking themselves back into why you can’t really be this good, then celebrate a national championship that would represent one of the most unforeseen, inexplicable, glorious stories in American sports history.

Indiana, even while making Friday night more boring than we wanted with a 56-22 semifinal thrashing of Oregon, is the prevailing example of why college football is in a great place as a product.

Never has there been more hope for so many. Membership in the exclusive club of heritage and built-in advantages is no longer required. A tallying of the recruiting stars next to names on a roster no longer produces a long and accurate list of programs with no shot of winning it all.

The landscape is always changing, never boring. Vanderbilt, Texas Tech, Ole Miss and Arizona State are among Indiana’s party-crashing undercards. The College Football Playoff is compelling. The games aren’t all thrillers, but enough of them are.

I would, though, like us to get through one of those good games without half of college sports media crowing on some app: “OH THAT’S WEIRD, I THOUGHT COLLEGE FOOTBALL WAS BROKEN.”

Because we all know darn well that, in ways, it is. Or maybe fractured sounds less dramatic. Chaotic. Problematic? Whatever makes you feel less bad. In the same week we’re enjoying the CFP semifinals, including an Ole Miss-Miami classic, we’ve got the former coach of Ole Miss keeping assistant coaches from attending the ball like he’s Cinderella’s stepmother.

We’ve got that same coach, LSU’s Lane Kiffin, courting one quarterback (Arizona State transfer Sam Leavitt) at a basketball game while another (Washington’s Demond Williams Jr.) announces he’s in the portal, apparently with the idea of joining Kiffin, except he had already signed to stay on with Washington. Except we have contracts in college sports that seek to sort of bind, while being careful not to make the person being paid sound as if he or she is being paid to play. Even though that’s exactly what’s happening.

So it’s the latest but far from the last “contract dispute,” this one finishing with Williams deciding to return to Washington. And hey, look, here comes the College Sports Commission promising to start cracking down on these predictable workarounds to pay enough to land top players in a market that is rising.

Which, at best, means an example made of a program or two, and in no way means any chance for the CSC to get its arms around things. Men and women with gavels and long, black robes will continue seeing to that. Lawmakers aren’t changing it.

Collective bargaining, in some form, is the only answer, and more and more people in the industry are coming around on that. The painful, inevitable journey continues. Hopefully, the past week serves as a bit of a jolt. I talked to an administrator who has been in that camp for a while and believes the athletic director and president levels are getting there.

But that will have unintended consequences, too. Go back and read what a lot of us were writing about name, image and likeness rights 10 or 15 years ago. I don’t recall anyone coming close to predicting all that has come with it.

And I must wonder how, with a cap of some sort in place while athletes get a bigger chunk of the revenue overall, the boosters at Ohio State, Alabama and Georgia are going to feel about officially being like everyone else, about parity as league design — about the caddies getting full-time access to the pool and golf course.

Which brings us to the thing I hear the most from folks in college sports in terms of long-term concerns. And this is where Indiana re-enters the discussion, in three words: return on investment. Indiana AD Scott Dolson has made what must be considered, two years later, one of the great hires in modern college football history. As hyperbolic as that may sound.

And for as much as this should be seen as an outlier that will spawn books and documentaries, it only serves to intensify the pressure elsewhere. All your resources, all that time, and you couldn’t figure this out, Penn State? Steve Sarkisian and Arch Manning can’t match this James Madison dude and Fernando Mendoza? Wasn’t USC the program with the great quarterback developer and offensive designer?

Those programs are at least having some success. All of them are begging the millionaires and billionaires who have helped build a facility or throw some nice cars at recruits of the past to sustain competitive payrolls. The TV money is good, but check the expenses. Colleague Seth Emerson wrote about “donor fatigue” in 2024 and, spoiler alert: No one has gotten any rest.

The wealthy folks who pay NFL players are called owners, and their investments are being multiplied many times over. The wealthy folks who pay college players get names on buildings, seats on the team plane and games of catch between the star quarterback and their grandkids. NFL owners lose, fire people, draft high and continue to profit; college boosters increasingly feel like they’re setting large piles of money on fire.

Which is why private equity looks as inevitable as collective bargaining. This is more than just a slight hairline fracture that will heal on its own.

I hope you can enjoy the college football right now. The product is soaring. Also, I hope anyone who cares about it understands that it can plummet without improved leadership that values common sense, the greater good of the industry and all of its employees.

If you’re an Indiana fan, soak in these experiences that are Cignetti-driven but still possible only because of NIL and the transfer portal. And plan to stay for a while. Cignetti never looks like he’s satisfied, and Mark Cuban is looking awfully happy right now.





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What if Not NIL but Hit the Road Jack

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I for sure have been concerned about all the players abandoning the ship, but what if they were talked to about not doing their jobs. What if they were given the option of either putting in the work or finding a new home. Could we have been wrong in some cases thinking the player was looking for more $ rather than putting the work in. Some players, as you know, don’t live up to their billing. OSU is one of the premier colleges for education and sports. I think when the players were recruited out of HS, they jumped at the chance to be a Buckeye. Now, the players see how difficult it is to live up to the expectations that is required to be a Buckeye. This is just a different take on what we have witnessed so far with the transfer portal. I what to find out how 11W members feel about this.



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