MLB home run betting continues to increase in popularity but sifting through hundreds of options on a busy day can be a grind. All 30 MLB teams will be in action on Wednesday, but by using splits, pitching matchups, MLB weather forecasts and other available data, you can start to hone in on a handful of top MLB HR picks. You can also use profit boosts and MLB bonus bets to further enhance the value of each MLB home run bet you place today. If you’re interested in MLB betting and wish to use the best sportsbook promos to wager on MLB home run picks on Aug. 13, check out all available offers below:
You can also get our best MLB HR bets from SportsLine’s team of Data Scientists, which uses the SportsLine Projection Model to reveal their betting projections for some of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Wednesday. The model simulates every game 10,000 times and we are up 58.15 units on our individual MLB HR picks this season after nailing Alex Bregman (+425) to homer on Tuesday. You can find even more picks in their daily blog, and see their game picks for Brewers vs. Pirates.
Best MLB home run picks for Wednesday, August 13:
Sportsbook promos for MLB HR picks on Wednesday, Aug. 13
The latest FanDuel promo code offers new users $300 in bonus bets if their first $5 wager wins while the bet365 bonus code gives new users $150 in bonus bets when they make an initial wager of $5 or more. The latest DraftKings promo code offers users $200 in bonus bets instantly + $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket.
The BetMGM bonus code and Fanatics Sportsbook promo code also dole out bonus bets but in a different way. BetMGM covers a user’s first bet for up to $1,500 in bonus bets but users have to wager at least $1,500 to be eligible for the entire amount. Fanatics gives users up to $1,000 in FanCash, but they’ll need to wager $100 each day for 10 consecutive days to be eligible for the full amount.
The Caesars Sportsbook promo code awards profit boosts instead of bonus bets. The sportsbook is providing 10 100% profit boosts to users after they wager $1 or more.
Best MLB Best Home Run Bets on Wednesday
For more real-time, free sportsbook picks every day: Inside the Lines Blog.
Julio Rodriguez, Mariners (+500, BetMGM)
Our model sees value here despite Trevor Rogers’ impressive 1.44 ERA over 10 starts. Rogers had a 4+ ERA from 2022–2024, and some regression could be due. Julio is swinging a hot bat with 12 HRs in his last 36 games. He’s also been better on the road, hitting .292 with an .885 OPS and 15 of his 23 HRs away from home. Rogers has allowed 44 career home runs—41 of them to right-handed hitters. While he’s been tough on both sides, righties have had slightly more success. We set Rodríguez’s line at +350 to homer, but you can find the listed price at BetMGM:
Riley Greene, Tigers (+450, DraftKings)
Greene remains a model favorite, especially when facing right-handed pitching—he’s hit 25 of his 27 HRs against RHPs. He’s heating up again with 3 doubles and a HR in his last 3 games. Greene is 2-for-2 in his career against Shane Smith. While Smith has been a bright spot for the White Sox, he’s struggled recently with an 8.49 ERA and 7 HRs allowed over his last 6 games. We set Greene’s line close to +300 to homer, but you can find this price at DraftKings and also use the latest DraftKings bonus offer to get $200 in bonus bets instantly after your first wager of $5 or more and over $200 off NFL Sunday Ticket:
Brandon Lowe, Rays (+400, BetMGM)
Lowe has 4 HRs in his last 7 games and continues to mash right-handed pitching. He’s hitting .297 with a .909 OPS and 20 HRs against RHPs this season. On the road, he’s batting .314 with 11 HRs in just 43 games, and he’ll be in a hitter-friendly park in Sacramento. A’s starter JT Ginn has allowed an .875 OPS at home and 8 HRs in 8 home starts. We set Lowe’s line at +314 to homer, but you can find this price at BetMGM, where you can also get up to $1,500 in bonus bets back if your first bet loses:
More MLB picks for Wednesday
You’ve seen the model’s MLB HR prop picks for several players on Wednesday. Now, get MLB projections for every player prop at SportsLine.
Need more from SportsLine? See today’s best MLB picks from SportsLine’s Bruce Marshall, who is on an 93-83-1 roll (+1709) on MLB picks.
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