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NBA Draft Early Entrants Drop Amid NIL Boom and End of COVID Waivers

Today, the NBA released its official list of early entrants to the draft — players who still have collegiate eligibility but are testing the waters of professional basketball. The numbers confirm what many have suspected: NIL deals have changed the calculus for top college players. Instead of chasing second-round draft spots and two-way contracts, many […]

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Today, the NBA released its official list of early entrants to the draft — players who still have collegiate eligibility but are testing the waters of professional basketball. The numbers confirm what many have suspected: NIL deals have changed the calculus for top college players. Instead of chasing second-round draft spots and two-way contracts, many college stars have decided to return to campus and cash in on a hot, top-heavy player compensation market.

Only 106 athletes filed as early entrants this year — the lowest number since 2015. This year’s class is a dramatic reduction from last year’s 174 early entrants. However, there is crucial context to interpreting this data.

While the decrease in early entrants follows the longstanding trend of bucking professional opportunities for NIL, COVID waivers that granted every athlete who played in the 2020-21 season an extra year of eligibility have boosted early entrant numbers over the last several years. 

Last year, 55 of the 174 early entrants held an extra year of NCAA eligibility stemming from the waiver-eligible season. This year, that number has plummeted. Just five early entrants played in the NCAA during the 2020–21 season, indicating that college basketball is aging out of the COVID waiver era.  

Last summer, I researched how this was already reshaping NBA draft trends. Here’s a graphic showing the impact of COVID eligibility on early entrant rates:

Again, COVID waivers are only one factor in declining early entrant rates. With several concepts of professionalization making their way to collegiate basketball, athletes are earning more than ever, and depending on your draft positioning, some players stand to earn more in college than the NBA. 

For athletes who are certain to end up as first-round draft picks, it is likely wise to accept the opportunity to play in the NBA. Even pick number 30 in the NBA draft receives a fully guaranteed two-year contract with compensation roughly equal to or beyond the highest NIL compensation figures. 

In the 2025 NBA draft class, pick 14 will earn over $10 million in guaranteed salary over his first two seasons. For many, staying in college can also mean improving one’s future draft stock. The difference in salary between pick number 20 and pick number 4 in this year’s draft comes out to $13 million in guaranteed money over two years. 

With a lower opportunity cost of playing in the new landscape of NCAA basketball, this is a tempting offer even for some first-round picks who want to bet on themselves. Of course, regression and injury in college make this a risky proposition.

Leaving college without exhausting all NCAA eligibility also allows NBA players to earn extensions and get off the NBA rookie scale quicker, increasing their earning power in the league at a younger age. 

The decision to leave early for the draft looks very different for players projected in the second round. Unlike first-round picks, second-rounders are not entitled to guaranteed contracts, and the financial gap between what they’re likely to earn in the NBA and what they could command in college is substantial. For many, staying in school offers more security, more money, and a clearer path forward than navigating the uncertainty of a non-guaranteed NBA deal.

While the rookie minimum salary is $1.27 million, most second-rounders don’t receive fully guaranteed contracts, and many end up on two-way deals worth just $636,435.These figures likely short-change early entrants compared to what they could make on the open college market.

Last year, Coleman Hawkins (Kansas State) and Great Osobor (Washington) broke records by inking deals reported at $2,000,000 to compete for their respective institutions. Now, in light of presumptive institutional revenue sharing and a competitive transfer market, those numbers are becoming more and more common – most recently, reigning Mountain West player of the year Donovan Dent was reported to have signed a $3,000,000 deal as part of his transfer from New Mexico to UCLA. 

Early draft entrants are not steadfast in leaving college; many players are either committed to a school for next season or exploring opportunities in the transfer portal. Many of the 106 early entrants will likely withdraw before the NCAA’s May 28 deadline to retain collegiate eligibility. 

Two things are certain: the average NBA draft pick will keep getting older — and the talent in college basketball will only get better.





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Texas A&M Aggies Outfielder Enters Transfer Portal

After a season that left much to be desired, the Texas A&M Aggies have suffered their seventh transfer portal loss. Junior outfielder Jamal George is the latest Aggie to throw his name in the transfer portal hat, per Andrew Riedell via X. In his one season with the Fightin’ Farmers, George batted .231 to go […]

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Texas A&M Aggies Outfielder Enters Transfer Portal

After a season that left much to be desired, the Texas A&M Aggies have suffered their seventh transfer portal loss.

Junior outfielder Jamal George is the latest Aggie to throw his name in the transfer portal hat, per Andrew Riedell via X. In his one season with the Fightin’ Farmers, George batted .231 to go along with three doubles and four RBI. He made 34 appearances with 17 starts and went two-for-two on the basepaths.

Prior to A&M, George built an impressive resume. Hailing from Trujillo, Puerto Rico, George committed to Alabama A&M. As a Bulldog, he was named SWAC Freshman of the Year, Second Team All-SWAC and Collegiate Baseball Freshman All-American in 2023.

Michael Earley

Texas A&M head coach Michael Earley talks to an official during the Lone Star Showdown against Texas at UFCU Disch-Falk Field on Friday, April 25, 2025. / Aaron E. Martinez/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

While his production slipped at A&M, George is still just one year removed from a season where he recorded a .310 batting average, paired with nine homers, 10 doubles and 35 RBI. His freshman season, George played designated hitter and catcher, a stark contrast to his outfield role he was in with the Aggies.

George joins right-handed pitcher Kyrin LeBlanc, catcher Hayden Crites, outfielder Nathan Tobin, left-hand pitcher Austin Vargas, catcher Jacob Galloway and right-hand pitcher Isaac Morton in the transfer portal. Each player saw limited action with the Aggies, and likely are seeking more playing time at other programs.

With star centerfielder Jace LaViolette likely leaving for the MLB Draft, the Aggies have an open outfield spot. Last season’s right fielder, Caden Sorrell, will likely shift over into center and standout left fielder Terrence Kiel II will likely slide into Sorrell’s former position.

Compared to last season, the Aggies have a long offseason that they can use to build up their 2026 squad. Coach Michael Earley moves into his first full offseason as A&M’s head skipper, allowing him to complete his first recruiting cycle.

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How the NCAA House Ruling Could Reshape UNC Basketball

How the NCAA House Ruling Could Reshape UNC Basketball originally appeared on Athlon Sports. It was only recently that North Carolina basketball made headlines for its jaw-dropping $14 million NIL investment. This was a bold, unapologetic declaration that the Tar Heels were all-in on winning in the new era of college athletics. Advertisement Now, the […]

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How the NCAA House Ruling Could Reshape UNC Basketball originally appeared on Athlon Sports.

It was only recently that North Carolina basketball made headlines for its jaw-dropping $14 million NIL investment. This was a bold, unapologetic declaration that the Tar Heels were all-in on winning in the new era of college athletics.

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Now, the rules have changed.

With the formal approval of the House v. NCAA settlement on Friday night, UNC’s strategy may be headed for a sudden and dramatic shift. The landmark decision not only ends years of litigation over athlete compensation but institutes a new framework that directly impacts how powerhouse programs like North Carolina do business.

At the heart of it: a $20.5 million revenue-sharing cap that schools must now work within to fund all sports. And while outside NIL deals will still be allowed, the days of uncapped internal payouts, like the $14 million reportedly earmarked for Tar Heel hoops are likely numbered.

So what does this mean for Carolina?

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First, the math gets tighter. With football still a major university priority under new leadership, including front office veteran Bill Belichick, UNC will need to divvy up its share of the revenue cap carefully. Allocating most of it to men’s basketball risks starving its football program at a time when it’s chasing relevance in a competitive ACC landscape.

Second, scrutiny rises. Under the new model, all NIL deals over $600 must pass through a clearinghouse to ensure they reflect fair market value and serve a legitimate business purpose. That oversight will test the creativity and legality of every booster-backed opportunity.

Still, don’t count UNC out.

The Tar Heels boast a national brand, an NBA pipeline, and a roster of former players turned moguls ready to support current athletes through legitimate NIL opportunities. Those advantages don’t disappear under the House ruling, they just need to be leveraged with precision.

UNC head coach Hubert Davis in discussion with a referee.© Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

UNC head coach Hubert Davis in discussion with a referee.© Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

With a top-15 recruiting class inbound, transfers like 7-foot Arizona product Henri Veesaar, and international guard Luka Bogavac joining the fold, UNC remains a destination. But sustaining that momentum under tighter financial and regulatory conditions will require smarter spending, shrewder deals, and a more integrated athletic department than ever before.

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The College Sports Commission, helmed by former MLB executive Bryan Seeley will enforce the new cap and audit programs that exceed it. That means every dollar spent in Chapel Hill now comes with risk.

The Tar Heels helped define college basketball’s past. Whether they can dominate its future will depend not just on their talent—but on their ability to adapt.

Related: Former Top NBA Pick Speaks Out on NIL’s Impact on Culture

Related: EA Sports to Use Pay-for-Play Incentives for College Teams

This story was originally reported by Athlon Sports on Jun 8, 2025, where it first appeared.



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House Settlement COMPLETELY CHANGES College Sports, DESTROYS NCAA and NIL!

The new House Settlement has finally made it legal for universities to pay their players. We explore how it effectively kills the NCAA, NIL and Title IX as well! Author: cbs19.tv Published: 7:01 PM CDT June 8, 2025 Updated: 7:01 PM CDT June 8, 2025 0

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House Settlement COMPLETELY CHANGES College Sports, DESTROYS NCAA and NIL!

The new House Settlement has finally made it legal for universities to pay their players. We explore how it effectively kills the NCAA, NIL and Title IX as well!

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LaMelo Ball's Puma Deal

LaMelo Ball’s Puma Deal Sparked NBA Comeback For Brand Home » NBA » LaMelo Ball’s Puma Deal: How He Revived The Brand’s NBA Presence 0

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Nebraska athletic director issues statement on historic House Settlement

A federal judge has finally approved a settlement that could change the face of college athletics. Judge Claudia Ann Wilken approved the House Settlement, paving the way for college athletes to be financially compensated for their name, image, and likeness (NIL) directly by their school. A lawsuit was filed by Grant House, a former Arizona […]

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A federal judge has finally approved a settlement that could change the face of college athletics. Judge Claudia Ann Wilken approved the House Settlement, paving the way for college athletes to be financially compensated for their name, image, and likeness (NIL) directly by their school.

A lawsuit was filed by Grant House, a former Arizona State swimmer, who sued the NCAA and the five biggest athletic conferences in the country. The settlement will now allow schools to directly compensate their student-athletes for their NIL rights. There are nearly 200,000 athletes and 350 schools in Division I alone, and 500,000 and 1,100 schools across the entire NCAA, according to data from the Associated Press.

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In the first year under the settlement, schools will be allowed to share up to $20.5 million with their athletes. That number represents 22% of their revenue from sources such as media rights, ticket sales, and sponsorships. Third parties are still permitted to enter into NIL deals with players under this agreement.

Another aspect of the settlement is the $2.7 billion in back pay that will be paid to athletes who competed between 2016 and 2024. Those funds will come from the NCAA and the conferences.

Contact/Follow us @CornhuskersWire on X (formerly Twitter), and like our page on Facebook to follow ongoing coverage of Nebraska news, notes, and opinions.

This article originally appeared on Cornhuskers Wire: Nebraska athletic director Troy Dannen comments on House Settlement





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Evan Stewart Faces Unexpected NCAA NIL Challenges with Oregon

A New Chapter in College Football The landscape of college football is on the brink of a seismic shift. With the impending implementation of the House vs. NCAA settlement on July 1st, the sport is poised for a major transformation. This agreement aims to bring order to the chaotic world of unregulated Name, Image, and […]

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A New Chapter in College Football

The landscape of college football is on the brink of a seismic shift. With the impending implementation of the House vs. NCAA settlement on July 1st, the sport is poised for a major transformation. This agreement aims to bring order to the chaotic world of unregulated Name, Image, and Likeness (NIL) deals, which have become a significant part of the collegiate athletic scene. As these changes take root, the impact on players, schools, and the future of college sports is expected to be profound.

The Financial Windfall and Its Complexities

Oregon’s $20.5 million investment in NIL deals was initially seen as a blessing, a strategic move to attract top talent and enhance the school’s competitive edge. However, for athletes like wide receiver Evan Stewart, the reality of these deals is proving to be more complex than anticipated. What once appeared as a golden opportunity is now fraught with challenges, as the new regulations threaten to alter the dynamics of these lucrative agreements.

Evan Stewart: Caught in the Crossfire

Evan Stewart, a promising wide receiver, finds himself at an unexpected crossroads. The changes in NIL regulations could impact his future earnings and career trajectory significantly. Stewart, like many athletes, entered into these agreements with high hopes, envisioning a pathway to financial stability and a flourishing sports career. Yet, the forthcoming regulations may impose constraints that could limit his opportunities and reshape his expectations.

The Broader Implications

The introduction of regulated NIL deals marks a critical juncture for college athletics. While the intention is to create a fairer and more transparent system, the transition is not without its challenges. Schools and athletes must navigate this new terrain carefully, balancing the potential benefits with the inherent risks. The ripple effects of these changes will likely extend beyond individual players, influencing recruitment strategies, team dynamics, and the overall landscape of college sports.

Reflecting on the Future

As the dust settles on this new era, the true impact of the House vs. NCAA settlement will become clearer. For athletes like Evan Stewart, the journey is just beginning, laden with both promise and uncertainty. This pivotal moment in college football history invites reflection on the evolving relationship between education, athletics, and commerce. The road ahead will require adaptability, resilience, and a keen understanding of the shifting sands of collegiate sports.



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