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NASCAR WURTH 400 PREDICTIONS, ODDS & RACE PREVIEW — TEXAS MOTOR SPEEDWAY

Photo By – Imagn Images. Christopher Bell NASCAR. The NASCAR Cup Series is set to hit the road for Fort Worth, TX, as drivers get prepared for the 2025 edition of the Wurth 400. Kyle Larson and William Byron are unsurprisingly atop the odds board, and we have a plethora of betting picks for you […]

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Photo By – Imagn Images. Christopher Bell NASCAR.

The NASCAR Cup Series is set to hit the road for Fort Worth, TX, as drivers get prepared for the 2025 edition of the Wurth 400.

Kyle Larson and William Byron are unsurprisingly atop the odds board, and we have a plethora of betting picks for you to sink your teeth into ahead of the green flag being waved on Sunday, May 4.

Odds to win 2025 Wurth 400

Odds as of 5-4.

Wurth 400 field

With a combined three wins between the two, Kyle Larson and William Byron make up the Top 2 spots pre-qualifying. Tyler Reddick rounds out the Top 3 as he pursues his first win of the season. If you’re expecting a repeat winner in Fort Worth, Denny Hamlin is priced at +800.

Meanwhile, Austin Cindric is +8000 to win after taking the victory last weekend in Talladega. 

Wurth 400 expert picks and predictions

Odds listed below courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of 4-30.

Wurth 400 pre-qualifying favorites

Kyle Larson (+500)
Larson won both the All-Star Race as well as the playoff race at Texas in 2021. While he finished ninth, 31st, and 21st in his last three points-paying races here, he won stages (Stage 1 in 2022, Stage 2 in 2023, Stage 1 in 2024) in the last three races and led 19, 99, and 77 laps, respectively. Larson has four Top-5 finishes in the last five races, including two wins and a runner-up. 

William Byron (+600)
This has quickly became one of Byron’s better tracks. The Hendrick Motorsports driver has finished 11th or better in each of his last six Texas tries, including leading 135 laps in that span. He won the 2023 race, was runner-up in 2021, and third last year. Byron has seven Top-6 finishes in 10 races this season.  

Tyler Reddick (+750)
Reddick led 70 laps in his 2022 victory, and while he finished 25th in 2023, Reddick won the first stage and led 36 laps. He rebounded to qualify and finish fourth last April after leading 37 laps. My only concern is after two Top-4 finishes in the first three races, he has one in the last seven.

Wurth 400 sleepers

Joey Logano (+1400)
Logano has been good here lately. Five Top-5 finishes in his last nine tries, including a runner-up in 2022. In 31 Texas starts, Logano has 13 Top-4 results and finished 11th last season after leading 14 laps. Sounds like a great time for his first Top-5 finish.

Chase Briscoe (+1400)
Briscoe has four Top-10 finishes in five points-paying Texas starts, including fifth in 2022, 10th a year ago in 2023, and sixth last year in a race he finished fifth in both stages. 

Bubba Wallace (+1800)
Had the race won from the pole in 2023. Wallace led 111 laps in a third-place effort. He started 10th and finished seventh last year. Wallace finished 10th and second, respectively, in the two stages. He also has three Top-8 finishes in the last five races this season.

Brad Keselowski (+3500)
Keselowski has six straight Top-10 finishes in Texas (ninth, sixth, fourth, eighth, seventh, second) and 14 Top-10 finishes in 29 career starts on this track.

Wurth 400 fades

Denny Hamlin (+800) 
This, surprisingly, isn’t one of Hamlin’s strongest tracks, and I think he’s a great fantasy play, but not so much an outright winner for these odds. Yes, he’s a three-time Texas winner, but he also has just three Top-5 finishes in his last 12 Texas tries.

Ryan Blaney (+900) 
Blaney has finished 28th and 33rd in the last two Texas starts. Previously, he had seven consecutive Top-8 finishes with at least 15 laps led in eight of his last 11 starts. The problem is that his May 2022 win is his only trip to victory lane in that span. Blaney hasn’t finished better than fourth all season, and that was on a superspeedway.  

Chase Elliott (+2000) 
He won last season for his first victory in 16 Texas tries. That was also just his fourth Top-5 finish. His three previous results were 23rd, 32nd, and 11th, respectively. Elliott has three Top-5 finishes this season, but his best result among them is fourth in COTA and Martinsville. 

Wurth 400 prop pick

Bell was fourth in 2023 and third in both 2020 and 2021. That’s why his 17th-place finish last season doesn’t scare me. He started third in the race and finished second in the opening stage. He also has five Top-3 finishes this season, tied for the top among all drivers with Larson.

Pick: Christopher Bell Top-3 finish (+230 at DraftKings)

Popular motor sports futures odds

Texas Motor Speedway track analysis

This track most closely resembles the Charlotte Motor Speedway, with its dogleg and two longer, sweeping corners. They somewhat differ in the fact Texas has way more width in turns one and two than Charlotte does.

Being the second 1.5-mile track on the schedule this season, though, there’s not a lot of data to scour through, which is why past trends and performances are leading to the picks. 

  • Chevrolet has won five of the last six Texas races, including four consecutively by four different drivers (Kyle Larson, Tyler Reddick, William Byron, Chase Elliott).
  • The last Ford driver not named Kevin Harvick to win at Texas was Joey Logano in 2014. Every other Ford winner is retired.

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Wurth 400 info

Location: Texas Motor Speedway, Fort Worth, TX
Date: Sunday, 5-4-2025
Start time: 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: FOX

Previous Wurth 400 winners

Denny Hamlin and Martin Truex Jr. have each won twice over the last 10 years.

Year Winner
2024 Denny Hamlin
2023 Martin Truex Jr.
2022 Chase Elliott
2021 Alex Bowman
2020 Denny Hamlin
2019 Martin Truex Jr.
2018 Kevin Harvick
2017 Jimmie Johnson
2016 Matt Kenseth
2015 Jimmie Johnson

How to make Wurth 400 picks

NASCAR betting is a nuanced process that can take any number of factors into account, and spans several different types of bets. Fortunately, our How to Bet NASCAR guide walks you through the basics, including how to read odds, different markets that are available, and what to consider when making your bets. 

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Kyle Larson walks away from violent sprint car crash, striking the fence

When he’s not busy running full-time in the NASCAR Cup Series, Kyle Larson is almost always behind the wheel of a sprint car. This week was no different as Larson was competing in a winged sprint car race at the Plymouth Dirt Track in Wisconsin.  On the seventh lap of the 35-lap World of Outlaws […]

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When he’s not busy running full-time in the NASCAR Cup Series, Kyle Larson is almost always behind the wheel of a sprint car. This week was no different as Larson was competing in a winged sprint car race at the Plymouth Dirt Track in Wisconsin. 

On the seventh lap of the 35-lap World of Outlaws feature race, Larson was running second and was attempting to run down Rico Abreu for the race lead. However, a wheel appeared to disconnect or break off as he entered Turn 1 at a high rate of speed. The failure immediately sent the car flipping end over end before slamming into the catch-fencing that surrounds the track. 

 

Thankfully, the 2021 NASCAR Cup champion and 2024 Indy 500 Rookie of the Year was able to climb from his No. 57 machine unscathed.

“I don’t know,” Larson told Dirt Vision after the crash. “I think the right rear axle or something broke so it just kind of launched me, and I was along for the ride. Bummer, but I felt really good pacing Rico there and just finally catching traffic and get racing there. Glad I’m okay, big hit but all-in-all, feel fine.”

Larson now heads over to Michigan for the 15th round of the 2025 season, returning to his usual job as the driver of the No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet. Larson’s first career win in the Cup Series came at Michigan back in 2016, winning three consecutive races at the two-mile speedway. 

After qualifying fifth for the Cup race at Michigan, he told NASCAR on Prime that he felt find after the sprint car crash, calling it an “unfortunate part failure.”

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Truck Series Michigan NASCAR Practice 10 Lap Averages

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President, founder and visionary of “ifantasyrace.com, the way you fantasy race”. Follow me on Twitter and LIKE my Facebook page.

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First ever NASCAR event: Dine on the track | Candid Candace

This summer, Chicago Gourmet invites guests to its first-ever Dinner on the NASCAR Track—a historic, trackside five-course Italian dinner in Chicago served directly on the start/finish line of the NASCAR Chicago Street Course in Grant Park, Chicago, combining high-speed thrills with a luxurious fine dining experience in Chicago. Participating chefs include Joe Frillman (Daisies), Steve […]

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This summer, Chicago Gourmet invites guests to its first-ever Dinner on the NASCAR Track—a historic, trackside five-course Italian dinner in Chicago served directly on the start/finish line of the NASCAR Chicago Street Course in Grant Park, Chicago, combining high-speed thrills with a luxurious fine dining experience in Chicago.

Participating chefs include Joe Frillman (Daisies), Steve Maak (Levy Restaurants), Leigh Omilinsky (Daisies), and Tony Priolo (Piccolo Sogno)—each contributing their expertise to the collaborative menu. The evening will be emceed by Catherine De Orio (Casa De Orio), guiding guests through each course with charm and flair.

Guests will enjoy authentic Italian cuisine featuring seasonal ingredients, artisanal pasta, and innovative presentation, all expertly matched with premium wine pairings for a dinner that appeals to both foodies and motorsports fans. This marks the first time ever such an upscale dining event has taken place on the NASCAR raceway, making it truly historic.

  • Date: Wednesday, July 2, 2025

  • Time: 6 PM – 9 PM

  • Location: Start/Finish Line, NASCAR Chicago Street Course, Grant Park, Chicago

As part of Chicago Gourmet’s Culinary World Series, this event highlights unique gastronomic experiences in Chicago—capturing the perfect fusion of speed, sophistication, and city pride.

Imagine yourself enjoying authentic Italian cuisine on the historic NASCAR track—this is your chance to experience a night like no other.
Picture the thrill of motorsports combined with the sophistication of a five-course, chef-driven dinner—ready to reserve your seat?

Reserve your seat now for Dinner on the NASCAR Track.

A portion of the proceeds of this and all Chicago Gourmet events benefits the Illinois Restaurant Association Educational Foundation (IRAEF). The IRAEF is a non-profit organization 501(c)(3) dedicated to building and promoting the health and prosperity of the restaurant industry by investing in our youth and our workforce.



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