NIL
Phantom Island Podcast: Building an Offensive Line in the Portal/NIL era
Fucking amazing podcast by Stephan Godfrey and Parker Flemming (@statsofwar). The talk scheme, they talk advanced analytics, and just general narrative around offensive line. Spotify Link This summary won’t do the pod justice, you should listen yourself, but the big takeaways: For the first time in the history of CFB, there is evidence that – […]

Fucking amazing podcast by Stephan Godfrey and Parker Flemming (@statsofwar). The talk scheme, they talk advanced analytics, and just general narrative around offensive line.
Spotify Link
This summary won’t do the pod justice, you should listen yourself, but the big takeaways:
- For the first time in the history of CFB, there is evidence that – specifically on the offensive line – raw talent matters far more than continunity. This is evidenced by the fact that there is an inverse relationship between snaps played together (amongst offensive linemen) and winning percentage. The explanation is that if you have 5 guys playing together 85% of the time, it’s likely not because those 5 guys work so well together; it’s because you don’t have any depth, and in all likelihood there is a weakness amongst those 5 guys.
- Offensive schemes are simplifying because offensive linemen are more evenly distributed across the sport. The RPO is the easiest way to deal with this problem (along with shifts/misdirection/motion). They talk a lot about the % of protections called, etc
- When looking for OL in the portal, you need a scheme fit for the player. As a result, coaches are dumbing down their offenses in order to make it easier for OL to quickly learn the system. We’re seeing less variety in offensive schemes/playcalls (per PFF – again, there is data backing this up). Disappointing for fans that offenses will likely continue to become more homogenous over the next five years.
- Paradoxically, the dearth of offensive linemen means that development is more important than ever before, but due to the portal, it’s even harder to retain (and thus develop) talent than ever before. Obviously, no one has solved for this issue yet.
Really fascinating listen, highly recommend.
DISCLAIMER: Forum topics may not have been written or edited by The Key Play staff.
NIL
Tennessee plan to pay players revenue, NIL after House settlement approved
University of Tennessee athletes will be paid revenue directly by the school, beginning July 1, in addition to third-party income they already earn for use of their name, image and likeness. The revenue sharing era has officially arrived with approval of the House settlement on June 6, which resolved three federal antitrust lawsuits against the […]

University of Tennessee athletes will be paid revenue directly by the school, beginning July 1, in addition to third-party income they already earn for use of their name, image and likeness.
The revenue sharing era has officially arrived with approval of the House settlement on June 6, which resolved three federal antitrust lawsuits against the NCAA and four power conferences (ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC).
Any NCAA member school opting into the revenue sharing format can pay its athletes up to an annual cap of approximately $20.5 million. That doesn’t include third-party NIL pay, which is still allowed.
This is a monumental shift in college sports, which moves even closer to a professional model as the NCAA and major conferences try to avoid further litigation.
Just like the NIL era, which began in 2021, UT will dive headfirst into revenue sharing. Here’s what UT fans need to know about this new system.
There’s a salary cap for each school
There will be a cap of approximately $20.5 million that a school can pay its athletes per academic year. It will be 22% of the average revenue from ticket sales, media rights and sponsorships by power conference schools. That cap will increase each year.
Schools determine which athletes are paid and how much, as long as the total doesn’t exceed the cap. Presumably, schools will spread revenue among several players, just like the payroll of a pro team.
Additionally, a player can earn as much NIL money as the market will pay, but those deals must withstand a new vetting process.
Here’s how Tennessee could divide revenue
UT has not disclosed its approach to revenue sharing. But it appears UT, like most SEC schools, will distribute the money according to revenue each sport produces.
A model was prescribed in the preliminary House settlement: Approximately 75% to football players, 15% to men’s basketball, 5% to women’s basketball and 5% to other sports (including baseball).
But for many schools like UT, those percentages will be calculated from an $18 million budget instead of $20.5 million, because $2.5 million will count toward new scholarships with increased roster limits. Extra scholarships should attract talented athletes to schools willing to fund them, especially in sports like baseball, soccer, swimming and track, among others.
That model for revenue distribution is just a baseline. Schools will adjust percentages based on need and different strategies, and conferences may set standards for each member school.
Why male, female athletes won’t be paid equally
Lawsuits are anticipated, arguing that revenue should be shared equally among male and female athletes based on Title IX principles for publicly funded universities. An appeal to the settlement on any grounds must be made within 30 days of the decision.
For now, most schools believe it’s riskier to violate guidance from the multibillion-dollar antitrust settlement than violating Title IX. Until there’s clear legal guidance, most schools will pay athletes based on the revenue their respective sport generates.
Also, President Donald Trump’s administration provided cover for that approach by rescinding former President Joe Biden’s Title IX guidance for paying college athletes.
Salary cap doesn’t include NIL
Athletes can still earn NIL money in addition to their share of school revenue. NIL income comes from businesses, boosters and third-party collectives. Revenue shares come directly from the university’s athletic budget.
The richest schools and boosters will utilize those two income streams to maximize player pay in a high-dollar arms race to build the most talented rosters.
However, a breaking point could be on the horizon. Athletic department revenue relies on donations and ticket sales. NIL collectives rely on money from those same boosters and fans.
Eventually, supporters could grow tired of paying athletes, especially through two different entities.
That means $20.5 million is the floor, not the ceiling
Because there is no limit on NIL, the estimated $20.5 million cap on revenue will be a starting point for player pay by the richest schools.
Imagine $15 million going to a football roster in revenue, and then another $10 million in NIL pay supplementing those same players. A few schools will lean on wealthy boosters to pull that off, but many others will reach their breaking point. Paying revenue to athletes will be difficult enough. After all, that money must be squeezed out of the athletic budget that was already in place. Tightening the belt could mean cutting sports that generate very little revenue, or reducing staff.
UT’s skyrocketing revenues put it in better shape than most, but every school will face hard decisions.
Tennessee opted in, but not every school will
Athletic department budgets have relied on this revenue for decades. Now they must share a good portion of it with athletes.
It becomes a simple equation: Either cut expenses or increase revenue, or both.
Tennessee gets a revenue bump from increased ticket prices, which includes a “talent fee” to aid in player pay. But there also will be budget cuts. That means Danny White, the Sports Business Journal’s Athletic Director of the Year, must manage UT’s money wisely.
Most power conference schools will opt into revenue sharing. Some mid-major schools won’t be able to afford it. They all have the option to spend well below the cap.
Tennessee athletes will be under contract
UT athletes will sign an agreement to receive a specific amount of revenue from the university, which must be offered and perhaps negotiated.
In theory, players under contract who enter the transfer portal would have to pay a buyout to the school or forfeit a portion of their revenue, but that’ll likely meet legal challenges. Almost every college sports rule has been tested in the courts.
Multi-year contracts especially would trigger buyouts, but it’s believed that those will go to only a few star players. After all, schools don’t want to commit to too many athletes over multiple years, and vice versa, at least not until the environment appears more stable.
Most revenue-sharing contracts will be one-year deals, at least until schools can settle into long-term strategies. That’s similar to scholarships, which are awarded each year and then routinely renewed.
Schools will try to hide player payroll from public
Schools don’t want media and fans to have access to their payroll. It would invite scrutiny and stir up disputes in locker rooms. That’s why Tennessee lawmakers have been preparing legislation that would keep secret that public money paid to college athletes, and other states are doing the same.
But there’s a reasonable argument that it should be available because athletes will receive money from public institutions. That battle over public records lies ahead.
There will be a cap management database to track how much schools pay players, but it’s still in development. It may track payments by sport or even position. Schools will have access to that data for their own budgeting purposes. But they’d like to keep it from public view.
NCAA won’t police player pay anymore
Power conferences are creating a new enforcement arm, the College Sports Commission, to ensure that schools abide by the athlete compensation rules, Yahoo Sports reported, including the revenue cap and NIL.
A new NIL clearinghouse will vet deals to determine if they are “legitimate, fair market NIL agreements and not being used for pay-for-play,” according to an NCAA memo sent to member schools on Feb. 13.
That could turn NIL into what it was intended to be: Businesses paying athletes for endorsements rather than common fans funding NIL payrolls. But that’s a difficult standard to define and uphold, so it’ll certainly face lawsuits.
Nevertheless, this means the NCAA will not police revenue sharing or NIL. Instead, the association will focus on eligibility and academic matters. It’s the next step in what appears to be an inevitable break between the power conferences and the NCAA structure.
Adam Sparks is the Tennessee football beat reporter. Email adam.sparks@knoxnews.com. X, formerly known as Twitter@AdamSparks. Support strong local journalism by subscribing at knoxnews.com/subscribe.
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NIL
Texas beats Texas Tech in WCWS Game 3 for 1st softball title
OKLAHOMA CITY — Finally, Texas has broken through. Mia Scott hit a grand slam, Teagan Kavan won again and Texas defeated Texas Tech 10-4 in Game 3 of the Women’s College World Series championship series on Friday night to claim its first national title. Texas had lost to Oklahoma in the championship series two of […]

OKLAHOMA CITY — Finally, Texas has broken through.
Mia Scott hit a grand slam, Teagan Kavan won again and Texas defeated Texas Tech 10-4 in Game 3 of the Women’s College World Series championship series on Friday night to claim its first national title.
Texas had lost to Oklahoma in the championship series two of the previous three years. Oklahoma was one of the teams Texas beat on its way to the championship. And Texas coach Mike White finally won in his ninth World Series trip between his coaching stints at Oregon and Texas.
“I’m still trying to process the whole thing,” White said. “Actually, it’s something you dream about.”
Kavan, a sophomore, allowed no earned runs in all 31⅔ innings she pitched at the World Series. She went 4-0 with a save in the World Series for the Longhorns and was named Most Outstanding Player.
She was happy to win it for White in the Longhorns’ first year playing in the SEC.
“Without Coach White, I don’t know if we’re here,” she said. “He’s the best. He’s so competitive. He wants it just as bad as we do, of course. And he pushes us to be better every day. He makes me a better pitcher mentally and physically. And so there’s no one else I’d rather play for. He’s the bomb, and I’m glad we got it done for him.”
Leighann Goode hit a 3-run homer, Kayden Henry had three hits, and Scott, Reese Atwood and Katie Stewart each had two hits for Texas (56-12).
Texas Tech star pitcher NiJaree Canady, who had thrown every pitch for the Red Raiders through their first five World Series games, was pulled after one inning in Game 3. The two-time National Fastpitch Coaches Association Pitcher of the Year gave up five runs on five hits and threw only 25 pitches. She had thrown 686 consecutive pitches dating to the start of super regionals before exiting.
The loss came after she signed an NIL deal worth more than $1 million for the second straight year.
Not even support from former Texas Tech football star Patrick Mahomes and his wife, Brittany, who were in attendance, could put the Red Raiders (54-14) over the top.
Canady’s night started like many of her others, as she struck out the first batter she faced. After that, she didn’t resemble the pitcher who entered the game leading the nation in wins and ERA. Goode’s homer in the first put the Longhorns up 5-0.
Texas Tech coach Gerry Glasco said he was pleased with Canady’s effort throughout the season, but he pushed her a bit too far.
“If I had a game in two days, that’s who I want beside me to go to war with,” he said. “She’s an unbelievable talent.”
Scott’s blast came in the fourth inning and gave Texas a 10-0 lead.
Hailey Toney was a bright spot for the Red Raiders. She singled to knock in two runs in the fifth, then singled to knock in another run in the seventh.
It was a surprise run for the Red Raiders. Glasco left Louisiana to coach at Texas Tech this season. The team had only three returning players and had to mix a group of newcomers together.
It won the Big 12 regular-season and tournament titles and reached the World Series for the first time.
“To end up in this position, playing for the national title, making it go all the way to three games — just a historic season, and I’m really proud of my team and the effort that they give us from top to bottom,” Glasco said.
Information from The Associated Press was used in this report.
NIL
College Football 26 giving Illinois football fans chance to boost NIL
The playing field when it comes to earning NIL dollars might be swaying in favor of the Illinois football program. In the current iteration of Name, Image, and Likeness, it is essentially that whoever has a rich donor base can bring in the most NIL dollars. With the second installment of the college football game, […]

The playing field when it comes to earning NIL dollars might be swaying in favor of the Illinois football program.
In the current iteration of Name, Image, and Likeness, it is essentially that whoever has a rich donor base can bring in the most NIL dollars. With the second installment of the college football game, College Football 26, teams like the Illini have a chance to chip away at trying to equal the playing field.
In an article by Matt Liberman of Cllct, he published the payout tiers for the College Football 25 game that came out last season. Those tiers are now gone. That was just the plan on how to pay the programs in the first season of the game.
College Football 26 is going by a play-and-pay setup. According to the article, all programs in the FBS have opted in, and each team will receive NIL money based on the number of times that team is played in the game.
The article lays out in more detail a scenario that could play out. In Layman’s terms, the more people play with a team, the more money that team receives. This means that Illinois football fans literally have potential NIL dollars in the palm of their hands.
Liberman also mentions in the article that the game’s creators haven’t explained how they are tracking the number of times a team is used, but that they do have the ability to track that now.
With a new structure for teams, Illinois football players can also make more money from College Football 26
Last year, Illinois quarterback Luke Altmyer was paid to help promote the College Football 25 game. In addition, whoever opted into the game received a copy and $600. That is now changing, too.
According to the article, players could see over double or triple that amount of money based on how valuable they are to the brand.
I could see a few Illinois football players cashing in on this deal. Altmyer is the biggest name on the team, and he is one of the best quarterbacks in the best conference in college football. He will have some money coming his way. It will be interesting to see how the details are ironed out, too. There are some question marks, but one thing is for sure. Players are going to get more money, and I am here for that.
NIL
MLB exec Bryan Seeley to be CEO of new College Sports Commission
Friday’s approval of the House settlement is expected to usher in an imminent overhaul to how college sports work. One of the most prominent changes came together quickly, as Major League Baseball executive Bryan Seeley was named CEO of the new College Sports Commission on Friday night. Sources told ESPN that Seeley has been the […]

Friday’s approval of the House settlement is expected to usher in an imminent overhaul to how college sports work.
One of the most prominent changes came together quickly, as Major League Baseball executive Bryan Seeley was named CEO of the new College Sports Commission on Friday night. Sources told ESPN that Seeley has been the target for the role for weeks, and the long-awaited formalization of the House settlement triggered his hire.
Sources told ESPN that Seeley is expected to make seven figures in the new role, as he’ll quickly become one of the most prominent figures in college sports.
Seeley is MLB’s executive vice president, legal & operations, and he brings investigative experience, which will be key in this role. In the post-settlement era, the NCAA will no longer be in charge of the enforcement of most rules. (It will still maintain purview over things like academics, but it will not patrol benefits.)
The CSC is the new era’s enforcement arm that will have final say in doling out punishments and deciding when rules have been broken. It’s one of the most important roles in this new era, as the industry has been craving some type of guidance since the advent of name, imagine and likeness has made the descriptor “wild, wild west” a common one in regard to the generally unregulated college sports industry.
In a formal announcement, Seeley’s job is described as having to “build out the organization’s investigative and enforcement teams and oversee all of its ongoing operations and stakeholder relationships.” Per the release: “Seeley and his team will also be responsible for enforcement of the new rules around revenue sharing, student-athlete third-party name image and likeness (NIL) deals, and roster limits.”
Seeley was hired by the four power conference commissioners — the ACC’s Jim Phillips, Big Ten’s Tony Petitti, Big 12’s Brett Yormark and SEC’s Greg Sankey. They released a joint statement on his hire: “Bryan brings unwavering integrity and a wealth of relevant experience to his new role leading the College Sports Commission and working to ensure a smooth implementation of this new system. We’re grateful to have an individual with his credentials and expertise at the helm, and we look forward to his leadership as we transition into this new era of college sports.”
In Seeley, college sports will be getting a seasoned investigator with experience in both the private sector and professional sports. It’s the type of background the commissioners sought in their search for the role.
Following Seeley’s graduation from Harvard Law School, he served as an assistant U.S. attorney in Washington, D.C., prosecuting federal white-collar fraud and public corruption cases as well as local violent crime.
MLB hired Seeley to take over its Department of Investigations in 2014. The department has a wide swath of responsibilities, including cases pertaining to domestic violence, performance-enhancing drugs and age fraud. Seven years ago, Seeley added compliance and security to his management portfolio, and he ascended to executive vice president in 2022. Over his decade-plus at MLB, Seeley earned a reputation as a strong and competent manager whose department, which had let go of three employees following allegations of unethical behavior, consistently delivered solid work.
“Bryan is an exceptional choice to lead the College Sports Commission,” MLB commissioner Rob Manfred said in a statement. “During his time at MLB, Bryan demonstrated unparalleled integrity, a commitment to fairness, and the ability to navigate complex challenges with precision and care. I have no doubt he will bring the same level of excellence to the College Sports Commission. College sports will greatly benefit from Bryan’s expertise and vision.”
In March, Purdue athletic director Mike Bobinski summed up the role of enforcement in the new era as having to be more efficient and punitive than when the NCAA was in charge of enforcement.
“We’ve screwed this thing up now to the point where we have to be willing to draw a line in the sand, and that will create some pain,” Bobinski told ESPN then. “There’s no two ways about it, and we’ll find out who’s just going to insist on stepping over the line. But if they do, you got to deal with it forcefully and quickly.”
The new era will not be without its complications. The CEO is in charge of running the systems that have been put into place by the commissioners — LBi Software and accounting firm Deloitte have been lined up to handle salary cap management and to manage the clearinghouse for NIL. Those NIL deals will be outside of the revenue share directly from schools, and how they are approved has been the focus of much conversation around college sports.
The clearinghouse that Deloitte has established will be known as NIL Go, which will be used to verify whether deals between athletes and boosters or associated entities are for a valid business purpose rather than a recruiting incentive. It’s described as a new technology platform that will be in place to assure that athletes’ NIL deals are in compliance with the rules.
According to information distributed at recent spring meetings, for example, investigations into athlete deals under the CSC are recommended to be resolved in 45 days. That’s a distinct shift from the ponderous NCAA process.
According to sources, the association documents being circulated for schools to sign to enter the new era detail the CEO’s role as making “final factual findings and determinations” on violations of rules. The CEO also will “impose such fines, penalties or other sanctions as appropriate” in accordance with the rules.
NIL
NCAA transfer portal players Mississippi State should target to reach lofty goals
It’s a fun time to be in Starkville with Mississippi State’s new baseball coach sparking a level of excitement that hasn’t been seen or felt in a long while. But with that excitement, the elaborate welcome party held at Dudy Noble Field on Thursday, the $2.9 million salary and the millions that’ll be used in […]


It’s a fun time to be in Starkville with Mississippi State’s new baseball coach sparking a level of excitement that hasn’t been seen or felt in a long while.
But with that excitement, the elaborate welcome party held at Dudy Noble Field on Thursday, the $2.9 million salary and the millions that’ll be used in NIL and other resources comes big expectations.
The expectations are clear: national championship or bust.
The quickest way for Brian O’Connor to turn Mississippi State into a title contender is through the transfer portal. And not just any players, but some of the best players in the portal.
Luckily, O’Connor has a pretty big advantage before anything Mississippi State can offer is factored in. Nearly half of the top 10 players in the portal are former Virginia players, where O’Connor was the for two decades.
It’s not a guarantee the former Cavaliers will all come to Starkville (there’s 21 so, all of them won’t be following O’Connor) and there are some players already at Mississippi State that help make the Bulldogs a title contender.
But here are three positions that should be targets for O’Connor and his staff:
Ross Highfill’s decision to enter the transfer portal left Mississippi State’s roster without a catcher. So, the Bulldogs are pretty much guaranteed to bring in a catcher from the portal.
The best catcher in the portal, right now, is former Notre Dame catcher Carson Tinney (.348/.498/.753, 17 HR), but former TCU catcher Karson Bowen (.333/.425/.516, 28 RBI) also ranks high among players in the portal. Bringing either of them would definitely help Mississippi State reach its goals.
As for former Virginia players, freshmen Will Broderick and Chone Janes and junior Treyton Wells are all catchers who entered the transfer portal. Wells saw the most playing time of those three last season, starting 16 games and batting .263 in 57 at-bats.
Here’s a spot where a lot of baseball fans expect O’Connor to bring in a former Virginia player. Eric Becker is in the transfer portal after hitting a .368 average, .617 slugging, .453 on-base percentages with 9 home runs, 52 RBIs and nine doubles.
Mississippi State likely won’t have Pico Kohn back next year since he’s seen as a potential MLB Draft pick. But even if Kohn returns, O’Connor will want to bring in as many ace-caliber arms as he can. And, yes, several options were playing for O’Connor last season.
Lefty Bradley Hodges is considered by some to be the best overall prospect in the portal after recording a 4.88 ERA in 27.2 IP with 36 strikeouts and 17 walks in eight starts.
Two-way player Chris Arroyo and left-handed pitcher Tomas Valincius are two highly-rated players in the portal. Fellow lefty Evan Blanco is also in the transfer portal. Don’t be surprised if any of them end up in Starkville.
Those are the three biggest Mississippi State needs, in my amateurish opinion. The Bulldogs might also want to add a first baseman and a couple of outfielders.
And, again, there are former Virginia players who are rated highly. But O’Connor will need to work quickly since one highly-sought after Cavalier has already visited Tennessee this week.
There haven’t been many major commitments, so far. But we’re expecting to start hear some news about transfer commitments very soon.
NIL
MLB executive Bryan Seeley named College Sports Commission CEO
Once the House v. NCAA settlement received final approval, the expectation was the newly formed College Sports Commission would act quickly to name a CEO. Major League Baseball executive Bryan Seeley will serve in the role, the commission announced late Friday. Seeley is currently MLB’s senior executive vice president of investigations, serving in the role […]

Once the House v. NCAA settlement received final approval, the expectation was the newly formed College Sports Commission would act quickly to name a CEO. Major League Baseball executive Bryan Seeley will serve in the role, the commission announced late Friday.
Seeley is currently MLB’s senior executive vice president of investigations, serving in the role since 2014, and a former U.S. attorney. In his role, he oversaw investigations into issues such as international compensation caps while also taking on a key role in policy areas such as legalized sports betting.
Judge approves landmark House v. NCAA settlement
Seeley previously spent eight years as an assistant U.S. attorney in Washington, D.C. He’ll now oversee the College Sports Commission, which take on a prominent role in enforcement after Judge Claudia Wilken granted final approval of the House settlement.
“I am honored to serve as the first CEO of the College Sports Commission at this pivotal moment in the history of collegiate athletics,” Seeley said in a statement. “I look forward to implementing a system that prioritizes fairness, integrity, and opportunity, while preserving the values that make college sports unique. I am energized by the work ahead and excited to begin building out our team.”
According to the announcement, Bryan Seeley will help build out the College Sports Commission’s investigative and enforcement teams. The commission will take on a central role in enforcing the House v. NCAA settlement terms, working particularly close with the “NIL Go” clearinghouse that will be in place while also helping enforce rules around revenue-sharing and roster limits.
Documents showed the NCAA was preparing to cede enforcement to the College Sports Commission once the settlement got final approval. That came late Friday as Wilken issued a 76-page opinion, ushering in the revenue-sharing era and bring roster limits to college athletics.
“Bryan brings unwavering integrity and a wealth of relevant experience to his new role leading the College Sports Commission and working to ensure a smooth implementation of this new system,” the power conference commissioners said in a joint statement. “We’re grateful to have an individual with his credentials and expertise at the helm, and we look forward to his leadership as we transition into this new era of college sports.”
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