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College Football post


Spring practices are finished across the country, and the college football transfer portal is closed. That means it’s time to reevaluate teams ahead of the 2025 season now that we have a better idea of their rosters and who will start at each position.
If you don’t like where your team is ranked. Don’t worry. We’ll do it again in August as fall camp opens.
This isn’t the super-team era anymore. With that in mind, look at what Penn State is bringing back from a team that was a drive away from going to the national title game last season. They have a quarterback in Drew Allar who may be a top-5 pick in the NFL Draft next year, the best running back duo in the country in Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen, along with one of the best edge rushers in Dani Dennis-Sutton. Oh, and Penn State addressed its receiver problem by picking up Kyron Hudson (USC), Devonte Ross (Troy) and, most recently, Trebor Pena (Syracuse) in the portal. Why shouldn’t Penn State be No. 1?
There seem to be a lot of people who question whether Arch Manning is going to be one of the best quarterbacks in college football. But, for sake of argument, let’s say he isn’t. Have people been paying attention to the level of talent the Longhorns possess this year? There is a game-breaker at almost every position group and there are a handful of players — Colin Simmons, Manning, Anthony Hill and, gulp, Ryan Wingo — who could emerge as big stars. Texas could be No. 1 and get zero argument from me.
For some reason, Clemson has the eighth-best odds to win the national championship and is sitting at around 20-1 to win it all. That’s value, because when you look at the Tigers, there’s a lot to like. They almost feel like a virtual lock to win the ACC. Quarterback Cade Klubnik returns after seeing it click last year, he has a group of talented receivers to target and the Tigers have the best defensive line in the country. Dabo Swinney won the ACC last year with a solid team. What will he do with a loaded one?
Ohio State had perhaps the last super roster of this era in college football last year. The Buckeyes lost a ton of talent after capturing the national title, evident in the 14 players selected in the NFL Draft. Yet, Ohio State still has the best offensive player (wide receiver Jeremiah Smith) and defensive player (safety Caleb Downs) in the country. Ohio State may be closer in talent to the other good teams this year, but the Buckeyes will unequivocally be in the College Football Playoff hunt yet again in 2025.
Brian Kelly isn’t Mr. Popular, but he’s unequivocally been a successful college coach during his career. Though things haven’t gone according to plan in his first three years at LSU, we’re at the point where it’s starting to feel like he needs to win big. The good news is he has one of the best quarterbacks in Garrett Nussmeier, and the Tigers added 18 players in the transfer portal, many of whom fill in areas of need. If LSU can fix its defense, it should be in the mix in the SEC.
Kirby Smart is the best coach in college football and he deserves our benefit of the doubt, so I’m willing to look past the feeling in my gut that the Bulldogs will have an underwhelming offense again in 2025 in handing over the quarterback reigns to Gunner Stockton. Georgia has amassed a level of talent on an annual basis no other program can boast, has developed like mad men and has produced winners. Oh, and with linebackers CJ Allen and Raylen Wilson, safety KJ Bolden and cornerback Daylen Everette, the Bulldogs defense should be nasty.
Notre Dame broke through last year and proved to the world that it was capable of doing what everyone has universally doubted — beat the best teams in the sport in the postseason. And Notre Dame did it last season with a banged-up roster. Notre Dame will have the best offensive line in college football, which will make the transition to quarterback CJ Carr much easier. Also, receiver Jaden Greathouse could emerge as a star this year and we know Notre Dame is going to have a tough and physical defense.
Alabama took a step back last year in its first season without Nick Saban, but how much does that say about Kalen DeBoer? The man has won everywhere he’s been. And now in year 2, DeBoer brings back basically his entire roster from last season. Yes, there is some concern about Ty Simpson and the quarterbacks, but Alabama has one of the best rosters in the sport and DeBoer is teaming up again with offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb. Is this the year Alabama gets back to being Alabama?
The way Oregon’s season ended last year has left a bitter taste in peoples’ mouths as it pertains to analyzing them, but don’t read too much into what happened against Ohio State. The Ducks did lose a lot of talent after last year, but they have been recruiting like gangbusters and brought in some big-time transfers like running back Makhi Hughes (Tulane), offensive guard Emmanuel Pregnon (USC) and safety Dillon Thieneman (Purdue). Oregon is going to be very good again this season.
Illinois isn’t this year’s Indiana because the entire sport sees the Fighting Illini coming. Nobody is going to be surprised by Bret Bielema‘s team, especially because it returns virtually everyone from a squad that won 10 games a year ago. Quarterback Luke Altmyer is a stud and they brought in West Virginia receiver transfer Hudson Clement to eat up a lot of targets. Some people may roll their eyes when they see Illinois this high, but the Fighting Illini have a real chance to make the CFP this year if things go right.
Doubt all you want, but it’s my prediction that DJ Lagway will be the best player in college football by November. Though there is some concern about the time he’s missed this offseason recovering from injury, his recovery has reportedly progressed without any hitches. Florida also has big-time true freshman receiver Dallas Wilson and a defense that improved as last year went on. Florida has an incredibly difficult schedule, but the Gators have a chance to shock people this year.
It feels like ancient history now because BYU didn’t make the CFP last year, but the Cougars spent the entire season leading the Big 12. Though BYU ran out of gas at the end of the year, it has quarterback Jake Retzlaff, running back LJ Martin and receivers Chase Roberts and Keelon Marion returning. The defenses has some pieces to replace, especially after linebacker Harrison Taggart transferred to California this spring, but the Cougars should be considered the Big 12 favorites heading into the year.
Speaking of favorites to win the Big 12, here comes Arizona State checking in one spot behind BYU. The Sun Devils won the Big 12 a year ago, in large part because of tailback Cam Skattebo‘s heroic performances. But Arizona State returns underrated quarterback Sam Leavitt and receiver Jordyn Tyson is an explosive playmaker. The defense also returns 10 starters. Arizona State is going to be in the conference race until the end.
Florida is pretty high in these rankings because of an all-world quarterback who is set to break out this year. Well, South Carolina has one of those in LaNorris Sellers, who has spent the entire offseason being compared to Lagway. The Gamecocks also have one of the best defenders in the country in defensive end Dylan Stewart. South Carolina brought in transfers like defensive tackle Gabriel Brownlow-Dindy (Texas A&M), linebacker Shawn Murphy (Florida State) and cornerback Brandon Cisse (NC State) to bolster the defensive side of the ball.
Auburn lost a bunch of games last season that could be boiled down to incompetent quarterback play, so coach Hugh Freeze wasn’t taking any risks. It brought in transfers Jackson Arnold (Oklahoma) and Ashton Daniels (Stanford) and signed big-time freshman Deuce Knight. Arnold is expected to start, but Freeze has options. Oh, and whoever wins the quarterback job will be throwing to Cam Coleman and Georgia Tech transfer Eric Singleton. Auburn played tough and hung in the SEC last year. If it fixes its offense, the Tigers could be much better than people think.
Can you buy a good football team? Texas Tech donor Cody Campbell is about to find out. The billionaire oil baron sponsored Texas Tech’s NIL pursuit and the Red Raiders adding more than 20 players in the portal to help solidify a leaky defense. Texas Tech may have the most talented roster in the Big 12 heading into the season, but now Joey McGuire needs to put the pieces together to form a functional team.
Everyone is down on Oklahoma after a disaster season a year ago. Are they too down on the Sooners? First, Brent Venables went out and got the most influential transfer in the portal in quarterback John Mateer from Washington State. He brought offensive coordinator Ben Arbuckle with him. Oklahoma also added running back Jadyn Ott from Cal. If Oklahoma’s offensive line is much improved, the Sooners should have a big turnaround this year, though they do have the hardest schedule in college football.
There is no nice way to say it. Michigan’s offense was downright terrible a year ago. And even so, the Wolverines were competitive in every game and even beat Ohio State before the Buckeyes rolled to the national championship. Michigan also signed five-star quarterback Bryce Underwood, who I believe will wind up starting this season. If Michigan can have a halfway decent offense this year, the Wolverines should be a tough out every week in the Big Ten.
A year ago at this time, Ole Miss was the team who spent a boatload of money in the NIL space to go all-in on the 2024 season. The Rebels drubbed Georgia at home at the end of last season, but choked one off against Florida after and didn’t even make the CFP. But in that Georgia game you got a glimpse of the future in quarterback Austin Simmons, who may actually be a star. Ole Miss has something to prove, though it comes into the season with much less fanfare than it had last fall.
It’s hard to figure what to make of Miami. This feels like it could be too low, but I’m admittedly not the guy who thinks Carson Beck is going to will Miami to the CFP. If the Hurricanes couldn’t do it last year with Cam Ward, Xavier Restrepo, Jacolby George and Damien Martinez, why would they this year? Well, the Hurricanes should have nasty lines and they did some work plugging holes in the spring portal window. If Miami has a much better defense, maybe they’ll start lower and finish higher than last year’s team.
SMU was one of the teams who took the country by storm last year. Now the Mustangs return a large port of the team that made the CFP last season, including quarterback Kevin Jennings. Though Jennings played terribly in the CFP loss at Penn State, he could be one of the most sensational quarterbacks in the sport with a step forward.
Louisville got USC transfer quarterback Miller Moss in the portal and now the Cardinals are putting a lot on his shoulders. Moss does join a team with one of the best running backs in the country in Isaac Brown and the Cardinals are expecting a ton from receiver Caullin Lacy. The defense may be leaky, but Jeff Brohm has proven to always get the most out of his roster. This roster is good enough to be a problem in the ACC if things come together.
Are people down on quarterback Avery Johnson? Some are. But if you actually look close, he is a freak of nature athlete who could stand to take a huge step forward in production this year. Kansas State, a fixture in the Big 12 race last year, added offensive coordinator Matt Wells to help him along.
Tennessee got blindsided this spring when quarterback Nico Iamaleava left the program after an NIL dispute. This team wasn’t one that was coming into the year as a national title dark horse, but the Volunteers needed to act fast to shore up the quarterback room. They landed UCLA transfer Joey Aguilar, who ironically lost the job he transferred from Appalachian State to take when Iamaleava chose the Bruins. Tennessee still has enough talent to be ranked.
Trying to figure out what Texas A&M is going to be is a fun offseason game every year. A lot falls on the shoulders of quarterback Marcel Reed, who will go into his second year as the starter in College Station. He has two really good running backs in Le’Veon Moss and Reuben Owens and the Aggies got NC State receiver transfer KC Concepcion. They have to replace a lot of talent along the defensive front, but the Aggies brought in a handful of transfers to ease those worries. If Texas A&M is good this year, it could completely mess up the SEC.
Next 5: Indiana, Iowa State, Utah, Washington and Baylor
NIL
RB Jadan Baugh affirms commitment to Florida; spurns Texas’ pursuit of transfer

Jadan Baugh will return to the Florida Gators for the 2026 season. The star running back announced his decision to run it back in Gainesville on Instagram on Tuesday.
That came after ample speculation he could follow former Florida running backs coach Jabbar Juluke to Texas. The Longhorns have a need for a new starting running back after the departure of Tre Wisner (and others) from Austin. The Gators put up a strong push to retain Baugh, as keeping the SEC’s third-leading rusher from 2025 in Gainesville became a top priority for Jon Sumrall and the new Florida staff.
As reported by CBS Sports’ Richard Johnson, the expectation was that Baugh would command more than $1 million on the transfer portal market as part of the surge in price for star backs this season. The question was less whether Florida would be willing to spend on Baugh, but more if Baugh would view the Gators under Sumrall as the best opportunity for him. Texas figured to offer a starting spot, a familiar face in Juluke and the opportunity for ample attention in the backfield alongside quarterback Arch Manning.
However, Baugh opted to stick around in Florida as the Gators seem to have met his asking price and answered any questions he might’ve had about how the offense will operate in 2026.
With former Georgia Tech offensive coordinator Buster Faulkner making the move to Gainesville — and bringing quarterback Aaron Philo with him — the expectation is the Gators will lean on the ground game in 2026 similarly to the Yellow Jackets in 2025. Faulkner was surely part of the sales pitch to Baugh, and he bought in on that vision.
Baugh rushed for 1,170 yards and eight touchdowns on 220 carries this season, with his 266 yards against Florida State in the Gators’ season finale serving as an exclamation point on his year. Now he’ll be back for his junior campaign in Gainesville in a big victory for Sumrall in retaining a top talent, fending off the Longhorns and others hoping to poach the star back and further weaken the Gators’ roster.
NIL
Urban Meyer Sends Strong Message About Colorado New Athletic Director
When the Colorado Buffaloes named Fernando Lovo as their next athletic director, the move resonated far beyond Boulder, drawing attention from some of the most prominent figures in college football.

Among those offering the loudest praise was three-time national champion coach Urban Meyer, who witnessed firsthand Lovo’s rise from a student assistant at Florida to an indispensable executive at Ohio State and then the NFL.
The Urban Meyer Connection and a Proven Pedigree

“He’s the best at what he does, regardless of the responsibility,” Meyer said of Lovo. “He will be a great athletic director. He’s the ultimate team player with extremely high character and high work ethic. He was always a guy I could trust. When he was an undergraduate at Florida, very early on… his reputation started to make its way to me as the head coach. He was a guy that I brought with me to Ohio State. He’s elite.”
It’s an endorsement that carries immense weight because it’s rooted in firsthand observation of a championship-caliber work ethic. For Lovo, moving from Florida to Ohio State alongside Meyer wasn’t just a career jump; it was a testament to his ability to manage the high-pressure, high-stakes ecosystem of elite college football.
Meyer’s success was built on surrounding himself with people who could handle the grind of a championship program, and Lovo was a primary pillar in that structure. At Florida, Lovo was part of the 2008 National Championship staff working as an equipment manager. He then followed Meyer to Ohio State, where he helped the Buckeyes win the first-ever College Football Playoff National Championship in 2014.

To be hand-picked by one of the most demanding and successful coaches in the history of the sport speaks volumes about Lovo’s operational brilliance and the high regard Meyer held for him, even early in his career.
But it isn’t just about Lovo’s resume; it’s about the “trust” Meyer mentioned. In the modern era of college athletics, an athletic director must be more than a figurehead; they must be a tactical partner who understands the nuances of football operations, NIL, and revenue generation. Meyer’s public backing confirms that Lovo possesses the rare combination of character and the relentless work ethic required to navigate Colorado through its current financial and competitive hurdles.
Alignment with the “Coach Prime” Vision

While Rick George was the architect of the Deion Sanders hire, the future of Colorado football now rests in the synergy between Lovo and “Coach Prime.” Though early indications suggest the two are already in lockstep. Sanders, who participated in the hiring process, was quick to express his enthusiasm for Lovo’s arrival, emphasizing the need for a leader who understands the “city and wonderful university.”
“He is a man of character and the type of leader this department, city and wonderful university deserves,” Sanders said. “He has a great knowledge of football and understands what it takes to win in today’s game. I’m motivated to show all of our incredible fans the tremendous heights we will take this program.”
For Colorado to reach those “heights,” the relationship must mirror the professional alignment George and Sanders shared. Lovo’s background as a “football guy” first ensures that he speaks the same language as Sanders, providing the administrative support that “Coach Prime” will need.
MORE: Zac Taylor Doesn’t Hold Back About Shedeur Sanders’ Impact at Colorado
MORE: Colorado’s Latest Transfer Portal Departure Adds To Buffaloes’ Growing Concerns
MORE: Best Transfer Portal Fits For Former Colorado Cornerback DJ McKinney
Why the Lovo Hire Is Pivotal for Colorado

Colorado’s decision to hire Fernando Lovo comes at a defining moment for the university. Rising costs, NIL, revenue sharing, facility demands, and increasing competitive pressure in the Big 12 have fundamentally reshaped the role of the athletic director. However, Lovo’s track record at New Mexico, where he helped lead the department to a record revenue year and a 17.6 percent budget increase in just twelve months, aligns perfectly with what CU’s Board of Regents set out to find.
He’s no longer just a rising name in athletic administration. He brings years of hands-on experience in revenue generation, operational restructuring, and facility management—areas that have become inseparable from competitive success at the Power Four level.
With his experience and the trust and support of influential voices like Urban Meyer and “Coach Prime,” Lovo steps into Boulder with momentum already behind him. Now, the task is turning that momentum into results.
NIL
Missouri football star DE Damon Wilson to enter transfer portal
Updated Jan. 6, 2026, 12:55 p.m. CT
The offseason decision for Damon Wilson II appeared to be two-fold: Return to Columbia, or head to the NFL as a junior.
There was a third option, which came in a surprise announcement on Tuesday afternoon.
Wilson, the star Missouri football defensive end, will enter the transfer portal, he posted to Instagram on Tuesday. The news was first reported by Hayes Fawcett and On3. The move does not necessarily mean Wilson won’t head to the NFL, where he had received some top-100 projections for the 2026 draft.
But it appears that if Wilson remains in college, it will not be at Mizzou.
The defensive end was one of the SEC’s leading pass rushers in 2026, recording 54 total pressures across 13 games. That included a team-high eight sacks.
Wilson only spent one season with Missouri after transferring to the Tigers from Georgia, where he spent two seasons.
The defensive end and his former school have become one of the stories of the college football offseason, as they have each filed litigation against one another over an NIL dispute.
UGA is attempting to take Wilson into arbitration and is seeking $390,000 in liquidated damages from the star edge rusher, who transferred to the Tigers in January 2025, over what the university views as an unfulfilled contract with the Bulldogs’ former NIL collective, Classic City Collective.
Wilson then countersued Georgia athletics, a move countering a Georgia lawsuit filed against Wilson earlier this year and escalating what was already a novel and likely first-of-its-kind case over an NIL contract dispute.

In response, escalating what was already an attempt at a potentially precedent-setting case, Wilson’s attorneys allege that his former team “falsely (told) at least three programs” unnamed Power Four teams that “Wilson would be subject to a $1.2 million buyout.”
Wilson’s suit also alleges that Georgia violated a confidentiality provision on his term sheet, which was provided as part of the UGA lawsuit in a public court filing.
Missouri is already expected to lose starting defensive end Zion Young to eligibility issues and backups Nate Johnson and Javion Hilson to the transfer portal, so defensive end is likely to be a priority target in the portal, which is open for entries through Jan. 16.
The Tigers can return rotation members Darris Smith and Langden Kitchen, as well as true freshman Daeden Hopkins. Mizzou signed top JUCO recruit Demarcus Johnson in its Class of 2026, too.
NIL
Arch Manning Made How Much Money? Where QB’s NIL Earnings Reportedly Rank vs. CFB HCs
Texas quarterback Arch Manning reportedly made more than the large majority of college football head coaches last season.
Manning is estimated to have made $6.8 million through NIL deals during his first season as the Longhorns’ starter in 2025, according to The Athletic’s Will Leitch.
USA Today reports that 35 college football coaches made more than $6.8 million last season.
According to Leitch’s estimate, Manning made more in NIL than coaches like Auburn’s Hugh Freeze ($6.734 million) or Kansas’ Lance Leipold ($6.65 million) made in salary in 2025.
Leitch’s estimate is higher than the valuation provided by On3, which projects the value of Manning’s NIL portfolio at $5.3 million.
Evan that total would have ranked Manning 46th among coaches’ salaries last season, as reported by USA Today.
Texas fell short of a College Football Playoff run after finishing Manning’s first starting season with a 10-3 record.
Manning will hope to change that in 2026. He is set to return for his redshirt junior season with the Longhorns rather than declaring for the 2026 NFL draft.
Quarterback prices are rising around the NCAA. ESPN’s Pete Thamel reporedt in December that top transfer quarterbacks could receive $5 million just for the 2026 season.
Manning could potentially pull in even more NIL earnings than last season as he prepares to enter what could be his final college campaign next fall.
NIL
Austin Simmons signs with Missouri out of NCAA Transfer Portal
Former Ole Miss quarterback Austin Simmons has signed, committing to transfer to Missouri, according to On3’s Pete Nakos. As a sophomore last season, he has two years of collegiate eligibility remaining.
After losing his starting position in Oxford two games into this past season due to injury, Simmons will start anew in Columbia under Tigers head coach Eli Drinkwitz. Simmons finished the 2025 season completing 45-of-75 passes for 744 yards and four touchdowns.
Simmons opened the 2025 season as Ole Miss’ starting quarterback, leading the Rebels to wins over Georgia State and Kentucky with a combined 576 passing yards and three touchdowns. But an ankle injury in the fourth quarter against the Wildcats forced him to miss multiple games, which opened the door for former Division II Ferris State transfer Trinidad Chambliss to step in and establish himself as the Rebels’ QB1 with four straight victories, relegating Simmons to a backup role once he returned from injury.
Simmons has thrown for 1,026 yards and six touchdowns in 17 total games across two seasons in Oxford. He signed with Ole Miss as a four-star prospect in the 2023 recruiting cycle after reclassifying two full years having completed the prerequisite courses to graduate. The 6-foot-4, 215-pound Simmons was ranked as the No. 19 quarterback and No. 266 overall prospects in the 2023 class out of Moore Haven Junior/Senior High in Pahokee, Fla., according to the Rivals Industry Ranking.
After entering the transfer portal on Jan. 2, Simmons pledged to remain with the Rebels through their run in the College Football Playoff. While playing out the season might be atypical of transferring quarterbacks, Simmons may have already had a destination in mind given his “do-not-contact” tag in the portal, according to On3’s Pete Nakos.
Missouri has been considered the favorite to land Simmons since he entered, according to ESPN’s Pete Thamel. The Tigers are looking to replace 2025 starter Beau Pribula, who announced his intentions to enter the portal last month after just one season in Columbia.
Despite losing his starting position, Simmons never lost the faith of now-former Ole Miss head coach Lane Kiffin, who left himself to take over at LSU ahead of the Rebels’ College Football Playoff run.
“I think we have the best quarterback room in the country,” Kiffin said Nov. 11. “I think Austin (Simmons) is a great quarterback, was playing really well for a first-time starter, and I think he’d be having a great year if he was still in there. I have all the confidence in the world in him. So I think we have two that are better than a lot of people’s No. 1.”
NIL
How long will a quarterback stay? A college football transfer portal conundrum
BERKELEY, Calif. — Cal quarterback Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele is a college football conundrum.
His debut for the Golden Bears in August defied traditional expectations for a true freshman. He was composed. He was accurate. He showcased his big arm and the physical attributes — at 6-foot-3, 225 pounds — that made him one of the most coveted high school quarterbacks in the 2025 class. For anyone who remembered Jared Goff’s debut in Berkeley over a decade earlier, the feeling was familiar. Here was a player for which college football would serve as a pit stop to the NFL.
In another era — like with Goff, not that long ago — Sagapolutele’s arrival would have translated into optimism about the future. If he was this good already, what will he look like as a junior or senior? How good will the team be once he develops?
Sagapolutele’s emergence, though, was processed differently. It was still natural to wonder about how he would progress, but it was accompanied with inevitable speculation: Can Cal keep him?
From the beginning, Sagapolutele said what Cal fans wanted to hear.
“This is where I want to be. I want to be at Berkeley. I want to be a Bear,” he told ESPN in September. “And going forward, I just hope everyone knows that. This is where I want to be. This is my home.”
As the season unfolded, the dips arrived. Turnovers. Missed reads. They were normal hiccups of a freshman quarterback learning on the fly. Meanwhile, Fernando Mendoza — Cal’s starting quarterback for most of the previous two seasons — had developed into a surefire first-round NFL draft pick and was on his way to winning the Heisman Trophy and leading Indiana to the top seed in the College Football Playoff.
Nothing in college football exists outside the quarterback transfer prism anymore. Every roster decision, coaching hire, NIL budget and depth-chart conversation is filtered through the same question: Who’s the quarterback, and how long do we actually have him?
EVEN BEFORE TRANSFER restrictions were lifted, quarterbacks always moved at higher rates than other positions. Only one is on the field, and without a clear path to playing time, players were willing to sit out a year — even losing a year of eligibility — just to try their shot elsewhere.
Now, with the ability to transfer and play immediately, things have been accelerated. When the transfer portal opened last week, there were more than 100 quarterbacks on the move. Done correctly, the portal offers a fast track out of offensive irrelevance. The safest formula has proved to be the least imaginative: bring the quarterback with the coach.
This past year, John Mateer went with his offensive coordinator, Ben Arbuckle, from Washington State to Oklahoma. Devon Dampier did the same at Utah, moving with offensive coordinator Jason Beck from New Mexico. And in both cases, it worked: Each helped guide their team to a 10-win season, a year after the Sooners and Utes finished with losing records.
They were hardly unique. Bo Nix transferred to Oregon to reunite with offensive coordinator Kenny Dillingham, who coached him for a year at Auburn. Caleb Williams followed Lincoln Riley to USC and won the Heisman Trophy. Cam Ward thrived after moving with Eric Morris from Incarnate Word to Washington State. Dillon Gabriel reunited with Jeff Lebby, his former coordinator at UCF, when he transferred to Oklahoma.
When a player moves with a coach, it simplifies the evaluation. Michael Penix Jr. transferred to Washington to reunite with Kalen DeBoer, who had coached him as the offensive coordinator at Indiana. Ryan Grubb, UW’s then-offensive coordinator and the current OC at Alabama, said because Penix already spoke the language, the transition was easy.
“Michael was in our system in Indiana. You saw him running our stuff and it was like, ‘Oh wow he’s not only going to be able to come in and do the things that we believe he can do, but being able to understand the system — this is how we call this, this is going to go pretty quick,'” Grubb said.
It becomes harder to evaluate, Grubb said, if a quarterback had been operating in a completely different style of offense.
“If a player was running Tennessee’s offense and then trying to come in and run ours — and Tennessee’s a really good offense. But it’s like if they’re trying to run our system, is that going to translate?” he said. “Just two really, really different systems, where I don’t know if this guy’s already been there for a couple years and he’s entrenched, it’s going to take a little bit of time.
“And if you’re saying this guy’s coming here to be your starter, you better be pretty certain that he has the capabilities mentally to run your system.”
Penix’s familiarity translated directly to production. At Washington, Penix threw for 4,641 yards and 31 touchdowns in 2022, then followed it with 4,903 yards and 36 touchdowns in 2023, turning the Huskies into a national contender almost overnight. Over two seasons, Washington went 25-3, reached the College Football Playoff National Championship game, and Penix finished as a Heisman Trophy finalist before being selected No. 8 in the 2024 NFL draft. Since the portal opened, multiple teams are following a similar path.
Rocco Becht has said he plans to reunite with Matt Campbell after Campbell’s move from Iowa State to Penn State. Drew Mestemaker announced he would follow Eric Morris from North Texas to Oklahoma State. And AJ Hill committed to Arkansas, following new Razorbacks coach Ryan Silverfield from Memphis. The logic is the same: minimize uncertainty and shorten the time between arrival and impact.
Texas hasn’t used that model, but offensive coordinator Kyle Flood sees the logic.
“I think if you asked any college coach, they would tell you, in a perfect world, you would love to recruit your own players, retain them and develop them over three, four, five years, whatever that looks like,” Flood said. “But kind of like what I said before, that is not college football anymore. It is not.
“I think the art of recruiting is really the art of evaluation. It is not evaluating if he is a good player or not. That is not really the evaluation. The evaluation is does he have the traits to really excel at a high level in your system.
“Meeting them now, when they are in the portal, is not like meeting them in high school. It is really like your NFL top-30 visits where you say, ‘Hey, I have to get this guy in a room and I have to find out does this guy want to be coached, does he believe in the things that we believe in, how great does this player really, really want to be.'”
DESPITE SAGAPOLUTELE’S CONSTANT refrain throughout the season that he wanted to remain in Berkeley, there is only so much trust that can be placed in that sort of talk.
After all, Sagapolutele had committed to Cal, flipped to Oregon, enrolled, spent time on campus in Eugene and then reversed course again to land in Berkeley. That’s all to say, circumstances change.
As the season wore on, the skepticism about his future never fully disappeared, and when coach Justin Wilcox was fired, it was again front and center.
As general manager Ron Rivera began Cal’s coaching search, the quarterback position was part of the discussion from the start. Rivera relayed to candidates he felt strongly they would be able to retain Sagapolutele and laid out the plan to do so. There were no guarantees offered. Rivera described a process that mirrored free agency as much as recruiting.
The pitch wasn’t just about retaining one player.
“With a guy like that, people are going to want to come play for him and play with him, be a receiver, be a tight end, be a running back, be an offensive lineman,” Rivera said. “Why? Because not only are the scouts going to come watch him, but they’re going to see the other people around him.”
After Tosh Lupoi was hired, the urgency turned concrete. One of Lupoi’s first moves was to board a commercial flight to Hawai’i, where Sagapolutele was home on a brief visit. Lupoi met him face-to-face and quickly secured his commitment to stay.
Keeping Sagapolutele in place had a cascading effect. Retention became easier. Recruiting did, too. Receivers and skill players want to know who’s throwing the ball. Stability at quarterback, even if temporary, creates momentum.
But nothing about it is permanent. These are battles won a year at a time now. If Sagapolutele takes the expected step forward next season, the speculation will return just as quickly. That isn’t a judgment on him or on Cal. It’s simply the reality of modern college football.
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