NIL
CFB Betting Report: Action on Standalone Playoff Games Reaching NFL Heights
NFL betting usually rules the roost on the American sports wagering landscape.
But College Football Playoff quarterfinal odds are giving the mighty shield a run for its money at the moment — particularly in the Miami vs. Ohio State Cotton Bowl matchup, which kicks off the quarterfinals on Dec. 31, and the Alabama vs. Indiana Rose Bowl showdown on Jan. 1.
“These standalone College Football Playoff games really rival the NFL games,” Caesars Sports vice president of trading Craig Mucklow said.
Mucklow serves up his insights on College Football Playoff quarterfinal odds for all four matchups.
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Bettors Backing Buckeyes
Ohio State is 12-1 straight up (SU), though that lone loss came in its last outing. The Buckeyes were 3.5-point favorites vs. Indiana in the Big Ten Championship Game and fell short 13-10.
Still, with a 10-2-1 mark against the spread (ATS), Ohio State has been one of the best bets all season in college football. Only Texas Tech (11-2 ATS) is better at covering the number.
So it shouldn’t come as a surprise that the public betting masses are all over No. 2 Ohio State vs. No. 10 Miami (11-2 SU/8-5 ATS) in the Cotton Bowl, for a 7:30 p.m. ET New Year’s Eve kickoff.
“Ohio State is a bigger loser for us on the spread than any of the NFL Week 17 games. And there’s still [five days] of betting to come,” Mucklow said.
After Miami’s 10-3 first-round win at No. 7 Texas A&M, Caesars Sports opened the Buckeyes as 7.5-point favorites. That number sprinted to Buckeyes -10, with early bettors eager to pile on Ohio State.
The Hurricanes actually saw sharp action at +10, so Caesars adjusted Monday to Ohio State -9.5.
Backing Off ‘Bama
No. 9 Alabama (11-3 SU/8-5-1 ATS) has the SEC pedigree, which is usually attractive to the betting masses. But No. 1 Indiana (13-0 SU/8-5 ATS) has been an offensive juggernaut much of the season, and bettors like to back a good offense.
And even though the Hoosiers didn’t put up points in their last outing, they did beat defending national champion Ohio State in the Big Ten title game. That carries some weight, as well, for a 4 p.m. ET Rose Bowl clash on New Year’s Day.
Indiana opened as a 6-point favorite and moved out to -7 in short order. Mucklow said sharp action on Alabama +7 led Caesars to lower Indiana to -6.5. But a continuing flood of Indiana action from the masses moved the Hoosiers up to -7 again.
“Bettors are all over Indiana big time. That’s bigger than our Ohio State decision,” Mucklow said. “I hate to say it, but we’re Alabama fans by a good distance.”
That said, Mucklow noted Caesars has one angle working in its favor.
“Indiana has not really been in this position before. Alabama has been there, done that,” he said.
Short Spread
Oddsmakers believe No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 4 Texas Tech is the most competitive matchup in CFP quarterfinal odds. The Ducks opened as 1.5-point favorites and are up to -2 vs. the Red Raiders, for a noon ET New Year’s Day start in the Orange Bowl.
Oregon (12-1 SU/9-4 ATS) already has a CFP game under its belt, coasting past No. 12 James Madison 51-34. But the Ducks fell short of covering as huge 20.5-point home favorites.
As noted above, Texas Tech (12-1 SU/11-2 ATS) is the best spread-covering team in the nation this season. The Red Raiders have been resting since a 34-7 rout of BYU as 12.5-point favorites in the Big 12 Championship Game on Dec. 6.
Bettors are leaning toward the Ducks, as of Friday afternoon.
“Oregon is a small loser for us, nothing drastic. There’s not much of a difference between these two teams,” Mucklow said. “I think this game will see two-way action. It’s only a 2-point spread.”
Sweet Rematch
One matchup in College Football Playoff quarterfinal odds is actually a rematch from the regular season. In Week 8, Ole Miss and Georgia played a thriller in Athens, Ga.
Ole Miss — then under Lane Kiffin, who has since left for LSU — led 35-26 late in the third quarter. But Georgia did the rest of the scoring in a 43-35 victory, barely covering as a 7-point home favorite.
Now, No. 3 Georgia (12-1 SU/6-7 ATS) and No. 6 Ole Miss (12-1 SU/8-5 ATS) meet on a neutral field at the Sugar Bowl. The spread is similar to the first meeting, with the Bulldogs opening -6 and now up to -6.5 for this 8 p.m. ET kickoff on New Year’s Day.
“All the money is for Georgia, which doesn’t surprise me,” Mucklow said. “You’ve given Kirby Smart three weeks to prepare for this game.”
Money Talks
Mucklow also ran through ranking the four CFP quarterfinals based on the amount of money each game is seeing so far.
“Alabama-Indiana is No. 1 by a distance. Then it’s Miami-Ohio State,” Mucklow said. “Then there’s a pretty significant gap to Ole Miss-Georgia, and another big gap to Oregon-Texas Tech. That’s the least popular of the four, by a distance.”
Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. He’s based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in 110-degree heat. Follow him on X: @PatrickE_Vegas.
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NIL
College football team loses three All-Americans to transfer portal
North Texas capped a program-best 12–2 season with a New Mexico Bowl win, but quickly faced major roster turnover as quarterback Drew Mestemaker, running back Caleb Hawkins, and wide receiver Wyatt Young all entered the NCAA transfer portal.
Mestemaker broke out as a redshirt freshman in 2025, leading the FBS with 4,379 passing yards and 34 touchdowns following Saturday’s 49–47 victory over San Diego State.
He began his North Texas career as a walk-on and earned conference offensive honors and national attention before deciding to test the portal.
Hawkins, the Mean Green’s freshman back, finished 2025 as one of the nation’s most productive rushers, totaling 1,434 rushing yards and leading the FBS with 25 rushing touchdowns, highlighted by a 198-yard, three-touchdown bowl performance to cap the year.
Young, meanwhile, paced UNT’s receiving corps with 1,264 yards and 10 touchdowns (ranking among the top three nationally) and earned first-team All-American and All-Conference honors.
Losing the nation’s top passer, the FBS’s most productive freshman runner, and a top-three WR in one offseason represents an immediate top-to-bottom offensive reset for North Texas.

For the transfer market, all three are premium, high-demand assets — Mestemaker as a starting QB target for Power-Five teams, Hawkins as a feature back with breakout tape, and Young as a proven perimeter threat.
Mestemaker has already been linked to Oklahoma State (connection via coach Eric Morris), Indiana, Texas Tech, and Oregon, while Hawkins and Young are expected to draw attention from both Group-of-Five and Power-Five programs.
Hawkins, a three-star recruit from North Rock Creek High School (Shawnee, Oklahoma) in the 2025 class, also held offers from Emporia State and Central Oklahoma before committing to North Texas in September 2024.
Young, a three-star prospect from Katy Tompkins High School (Katy, Texas) in the 2024 class, signed with the Mean Green over offers from Rice, Arizona, Memphis, Air Force, and others.
Three top underclass producers hitting the transfer portal at once underscores how quickly the transfer era can reshape a program, leaving Group of Five teams that develop stars grappling with retention issues and the financial pressures of NIL.
Read More at College Football HQ
- No. 1 college football team linked to 1,700-yard RB in transfer portal
- Top 3 transfer portal landing spots for 4,000-yard quarterback Drew Mestemaker
- College football team loses starting QB to NCAA transfer portal
- Major college football program surges as candidate for 4,000-yard QB
NIL
College football team loses starting QB to NCAA transfer portal
In its first year under head coach Scott Abell, Rice finished the 2025 season 5–7 overall (2–6 in the American Conference) but still earned an Armed Forces Bowl invite, where it will face Texas State (6–6) on January 2 in Fort Worth, Texas.
Across 12 games in 2025, Jenkins completed 119 of 172 passes (69.2%) for 1,025 yards with nine touchdowns against two interceptions, while also carrying the ball 151 times for 531 yards and five scores.
That momentum may be short-lived, however, as Rivals’ Hayes Fawcett reported on Saturday that Jenkins plans to enter the NCAA transfer portal, adding another domino to an already loaded quarterback transfer market.
A Houston, Texas product who signed with Rice in February 2023, Jenkins worked his way into the program as a multi-role quarterback/athlete, appearing in limited action early in his career before being named the 2025 starter.
In his first full year as the starting quarterback, Jenkins earned American Conference All-Academic recognition.
Prior to signing with Rice, he starred at Alief Taylor (Houston), where he threw for 4,735 yards and 46 touchdowns against just six interceptions in 22 varsity games and earned All-District 23-6A honors as a junior.
Jenkins was 247Sports’ No. 93 quarterback in the 2023 class, committing to Rice over offers from Alcorn State, East Texas A&M, Jackson State, and Lamar.

With a 69.1% career completion rate and proven mobility, Jenkins profiles as a strong fit for spread-option or run-oriented Group-of-Five offenses that prioritize efficiency and quarterback movement.
He could appeal to programs seeking an experienced starter while also offering value as depth at the Power-Five level, with his Texas roots strengthening his regional appeal.
Some notable programs that have reportedly shown interest in adding a quarterback through the transfer portal include Florida State, Clemson, North Texas, TCU, Virginia Tech, and Cincinnati.
Read More at College Football HQ
- $2.4 million QB emerges as transfer portal candidate for SEC program
- Major college football program ‘expected to hire’ 66-year-old head coach
- College Football Playoff team loses player to transfer portal
- College Football Playoff team loses starting QB to transfer portal
NIL
$2.4 million QB connected to major college football program in transfer portal
Cincinnati closed the 2025 season at 7–5 (5–4 Big 12) and will face Navy in the AutoZone Liberty Bowl on January 2, marking the Bearcats’ first bowl appearance since joining the Big 12 and since head coach Scott Satterfield took over in 2023.
Cincinnati rattled off seven straight wins midseason but dropped its final four games to close the regular slate before receiving the bowl invitation.
Quarterback Brendan Sorsby started 12 games for Cincinnati in 2025 and finished with 2,800 passing yards, 27 passing TDs, and five interceptions (61.6% completion, 155.15 passer rating), adding 100 carries for 580 rushing yards and nine rushing touchdowns.
A Denton/Lake Dallas (Texas) product, Sorsby was a three-star recruit who signed with Indiana (redshirted 2022, started in 2023) before transferring to Cincinnati in 2024.
However, Sorsby notified Cincinnati and publicly confirmed on December 15 that he will test the transfer portal while awaiting an NFL draft grade.
Since then, multiple programs have reportedly shown interest, with some NIL offers rumored to approach $5 million, a figure that would rank among the highest in college football.
On3’s NIL tracker currently values Sorsby at approximately $2.4 million, placing him among the higher-valued quarterbacks in the college game.
On Friday, Fox Sports’ Laken Litman included Oregon among the programs expected to pursue a quarterback through the transfer portal and identified Sorsby as a “top quarterback from the portal,” along with Texas Tech, Indiana, and Oklahoma.

Oregon’s starter, Dante Moore, is widely regarded as a likely high NFL Draft selection and has not publicly committed to returning, stating that he has yet to make a final decision.
With a young and largely unproven group of quarterbacks behind him on the depth chart, speculation has been that Dan Lanning and his staff could pursue a transfer portal quarterback should Moore declare.
If Moore declares for the draft, Oregon would likely seek an experienced, pro-ready signal-caller capable of operating a tempo-based offense while sustaining recruiting and NIL momentum.
Sorsby’s size (6’3″, 235 pounds), proven starter experience, marketplace value, and dual-threat rushing ability, a trait Oregon has used successfully, would make him an immediate candidate.
Read More at College Football HQ
- No. 1 college football team linked to 1,700-yard RB in transfer portal
- Top 3 transfer portal landing spots for 4,000-yard quarterback Drew Mestemaker
- College football team loses starting QB to NCAA transfer portal
- Major college football program surges as candidate for 4,000-yard QB
NIL
Damon Wilson seeks denial for arbitration in NIL dispute with Georgia
Updated Dec. 28, 2025, 1:33 p.m. ET
Former Georgia football defensive end Damon Wilson is asking an Athens-Clarke County Superior Court judge to deny Georgia athletics’ attempt to go to arbitration on what it contends is Wilson breaking an NIL contract when he entered the transfer portal.
Georgia sued Wilson, seeking $390,000 in liquidated damages after he agreed to an NIL deal with Classic City Collective and transferred weeks later. He played this season at Missouri where he was second-team All-SEC.
NIL
Kyle Whittingham reveals if he had any hesitation on Michigan with controversy, investigation around program
Michigan has been in hot water the past few years. In 2023, the football program was exposed for participating in an illegal sign-stealing scheme. This year, the school fired head coach Sherrone Moore after he was charged with felony third-degree home invasion and two misdemeanors.
Now, the school is thoroughly investigating its entire football program for any other signs of misconduct. Nonetheless, the program is seemingly heading in a new direction after hiring Kyle Whittingham to be its next head coach.
Whittingham is a well-respected figure in the college football community and was Utah‘s head coach from 2005-25. During his introductory press conference on Sunday, Whittingham revealed whether he hesitated to join the Wolverines due to the controversy surrounding Michigan.
“I didn’t have any hesitation. There’s some issues, missteps that are being taken care of, but the key is the players are solid,” Whittingham said. “The players here are rock-solid. None of those issues, none of those things that we’re dealing with involve the players. And to their credit, they just kept grinding and kept after it.
“I’m so impressed with that because there was a lot of distractions and a lot of adversity, I guess you can say. But, I got no doubt that everything’s going to be handled properly. We’ll see. I’m not knowledgeable enough and privy enough to exactly what’s going on in the details, but I’ve got full confidence that we’ll come out of this just fine.”
Michigan doesn’t have a talent problem. The team posted a 9-3 record in the regular season, including a 7-2 mark in conference play. The Wolverines are expected to return several key players as well, most notably quarterback Bryce Underwood.
Underwood is a freshman this season, but started in all 12 of Michigan’s regular-season games. While Underwood didn’t regularly dominate opponents, he showed promising flashes and will be pivotal to Michigan’s future success.
Kyle Whittingham isn’t allowing any administrative measures to affect his relationships with Michigan’s players. After all, he knows those relationships will be the key to a successful first year in Ann Arbor.
“My culture is going to be with the players. What I’m concerned with is the players,” Whittingham said. “I certainly know the general gist of what transpired, in this series of, I guess we’ll call them unfortunate events, but not really fazing me.
“The players are a great group of kids. They’re hungry. They got a lot of want-to in them and that’s where my focus is. I focus on coaching the team, and everything else be handled in due time and in due process.”
NIL
Kyle Whittingham introduced as Michigan football coach
Updated Dec. 28, 2025, 11:53 a.m. ET
Highlights from the press conference Sunday to introduce Kyle Whittingham as Michigan’s new head football coach:
➤On how someone from the outside will reset the culture: “My culture is going to be with the players.” Whittingham said he knows the “gist” of what transpired in the investigation and firing of former head coach Sherrone Moore, but says his focus is on the players and hopes the university and program will handle the rest.
➤On his conversation with starting quarterback Bryce Underwood: “Quarterbacks have to have that ‘it’ factor, and he has that ‘it’ factor.” Believes that Underwood has potential and can’t wait to work with him.
➤On if his 21 years at Utah prepared him for a top-five job in college football: “Well, I hope so. I definitely learned a lot, it was my first head coaching job. … I don’t care how much you think you’re ready.” Notes how the transfer portal, NIL, etc. have changed the college football landscape, but hopes his lessons have prepared him to be fully equipped for this position.
➤On if he was treated fairly in his final years at Utah: Again states it was his decision to step down at Utah, gives praise to the administration in Utah for being supportive throughout the years. Talks about the community, the sellouts, says it was an enjoyable ride in Salt Lake City.
➤On what he’ll do during the week with the team during their bowl game prep: Currently wants to stay out of the way during the bowl week, has already talked to a few players such as Bryce Underwood and a few coaches, but won’t be hands-on.
➤On expectations: Believes in the 10-win mark, Big Ten championship, and College Football Playoff as expectations during his tenure as head coach.
➤On the type of culture he wants to build: “Family culture, without a doubt.” Whittingham said he wants to build a culture where no one is above the team, and where everyone buys in. Believes in the challenge of roster turnover that other programs face, but wants to retain players currently in the program.
➤On bringing in new staff: “You gotta bring in guys that you’re familiar with that you trust.” Whittingham said he’s talked with Urban Meyer, said there will be a few faces in the current staff that will stay but highly anticipates there will be new guys on staff.
➤On how he’ll use the resources to build and recruit his rosters: “We got excellent resources here.” Talks about the brand and the NIL opportunities that come with being a part of the Michigan brand.
➤On the opportunity to become Michigan head coach after stepping down as Utah’s head coach: Said he didn’t expect the job to open up. Already committed to stepping down as Utah’s head coach a day before the Michigan job became available.
➤What fans can expect from his teams: “Our team will fall in line to what Michigan is used to.” He said he used to watch old Michigan vs. Ohio State games, mostly the battles between Bo Schembechler and Woody Hayes, wants his teams to show physicality during games.
➤On why he took the job: “It’s obvious, it’s Michigan,” saying it’s one of the top five jobs in the country in terms of college football. States that he wants to retain players currently on the roster and those coming in for their first season.
➤Opening statement: “I can say, without question, what an honor and privilege it is to be the head coach of this program.” Noted that he stepped down from his position in Utah two weeks ago, did not know if he was done coaching, but decided to take the Michigan job.
➤Warde Manuel leads with an opening statement, giving a summary of Kyle Whittingham’s record and success at Utah in his 21 seasons as head coach, highlighting Whittingham’s players in their play on the field and the graduation rate. Manuel noted that Whittingham’s high character came through during multiple conversations through the hiring process.
Press conference preview
Kyle Whittingham is set to be introduced as Michigan’s new head football coach during a press conference on Sunday at 11 a.m.
The event will take place at the Hyatt Regency Orlando. The Wolverines are in Orlando for the Citrus Bowl, and they will face Texas on Wednesday at 3 p.m. at Camping World Stadium.
Whittingham comes to Michigan after serving as head football coach at Utah for 21 seasons, compiling a 177-88 overall record.
Detroit News contributor Kameron Goodwill will provide live updates throughout Sunday’s press conference.
Kyle Whittingham record
Head coaching record: Utah, 2005-2025, 177-88 overall, including 11-6 in bowl games.
Championships: One Mountain West title (2008), two Pac-12 titles (2021, 2022), four Pac-12 division titles (2015, 2018, 2019, 2021).
Awards: AFCA Coach of the Year (2008), Bear Bryant Award (2008), Mountain West Coach of the Year (2008), Bobby Dodd Award (2019), Pac-12 Coach of the Year (2019, 2021).
Playing career: Whittingham earned undergraduate (1984) and graduate (1987) degrees from BYU. He was a linebacker for the Cougars from 1978-81, earning first-team All-WAC and WAC Defensive Player of the Year awards in 1981.
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