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NIL

Fewer early entrants, more college stars staying put – Butler Eagle

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Texas Tech forward Darrion Williams (5) celebrates during the second half in the Elite Eight of the NCAA college basketball tournament against Florida, Saturday, March 29, 2025, in San Francisco. Associated Press

Will Wade’s work building N.C. State into an immediate winner included the pursuit of an entrant in the NBA draft, just in case he returned to college.

It wasn’t a huge risk: With all the cash flowing in college, the number of early entrants to the NBA draft has continued to shrink. This year’s draft starts Wednesday night with its lowest total of those prospects in at least 10 years.

“Now you can play the long game a little bit more,” Wade told the Associated Press, referring to how college players can look at their futures. “Look, I can get paid the same I would get paid in the G League, the same I would get paid on a two-way (contract), some guys are getting first-round money.”

And more money is on the way.

It’s been four years since college athletes were permitted to profit off the use of their name, image and likeness, opening the door for athlete compensation that was once forbidden by NCAA rules. Next week, on July 1, marks the official start of revenue sharing where schools can begin directly paying athletes following the $2.8 billion House antitrust settlement.

For Wade, that led to signing Texas Tech’s Darrion Williams after 247sports’ fifth-ranked transfer withdrew from the draft.

“Basically now if you’re an early entry and you’re not a top-20, top-22 pick — where the money slots — you can pretty much make that in college,” the new Wolfpack coach said.

It’s all part of a seismic change that has rippled through college athletics since the pandemic, its impact touching the NBA. Players willing to “test the waters” in the draft before returning to school now have a lucrative option to consider against uncertain pro prospects.

And it shows in the numbers.

“With all the money that’s being thrown around in NIL, you’re having a lot less players put their names in,” Detroit Pistons president of basketball operations Trajan Langdon said. “You’re having pretty good players pulling their names out.”

FILE – McNeese State head coach Will Wade calls to his players during the first half in the first round of the NCAA college basketball tournament, Thursday, March 20, 2025, in Providence, R.I. (AP Photo/Charles Krupa, file)

Declining number of early entrants

This year’s drop is significant when compared to the years before anyone had heard of COVID-19. There was a spike of college players jumping into the draft in the pandemic’s aftermath, when they were granted a free eligibility year to temporarily make even a fourth-year senior an “early” entrant.

But those numbers had fallen as those five-year players cycled out of college basketball, and they’re now below pre-pandemic levels. That decline coincides with NIL’s July 2021 arrival, from athletes doing paid appearances or social-media endorsements to boosters forming collectives offering NIL packages amounting to de facto salaries.

As a result:

  • Eighty-two players appeared on the NBA’s list of early entrants primarily from American colleges with a smattering of other teams, down 49% from 2024 (162) and nearly 47% compared to the four-year average from 2016-19 (153.5);
  • Thirty-two remained after withdrawal deadlines, down from 62 last year and 72.0 from 2016-19;
  • Adding international prospects, 109 players declared for the draft, down from 201 last year and 205.0 from 2016-19;
  • And only 46 remained, down from 77 in 2024 and 83.8 from 2016-19.

More college players weighing options

Duke coach Jon Scheyer understands draft dynamics, both for no-doubt headliners and prospects facing less clarity. He sees college athlete compensation as a “legitimate gamechanger.”

“Hopefully it allows players to decide what’s truly best for their game,” Scheyer told the AP. “It allows them to analyze: ‘Am I actually ready for this or not?’ Where money doesn’t have to be the deciding factor. Because if money’s the deciding factor, that’s why you see kids not stick. The NBA’s cutthroat. It just is.”

The Blue Devils are expected to have three players selected in the first-round Wednesday, including presumptive No. 1 pick Cooper Flagg alongside top-10 prospects Kon Knueppel and Khaman Maluach. They also had players sorting through draft decisions.

Freshman Isaiah Evans — a slender wing with explosive scoring potential — withdrew instead of chasing first-round status through the draft process. Incoming transfer Cedric Coward from Washington State rapidly rose draft boards after the combine and remained in the draft.

“There’s no substituting the money you’re going to make if you’re a top-15, top-20 pick,” said Scheyer, entering Year 4 as successor to retired Hall of Famer Mike Krzyzewski . “But if you’re not solidified as a first-round pick, why risk it when you can have a solid year and a chance to go up or be in the same position the following season?”

FILE – Detroit Pistons president of basketball operations Trajan Langdon addresses the media before introducing J.B. Bickerstaff as the new head coach of the NBA basketball team, Wednesday, July 10, 2024, in Detroit. (AP Photo/Carlos Osorio, file)

College compensation is re-shaping the draft pool

Langdon, himself a former Duke first-rounder, sees that evolution, too.

His Pistons had their first playoff appearance since 2019, but lack a first-round selection and own a single pick in Thursday’s second round. Fewer candidates could make the already imperfect science of drafting even trickier in this new reality.

According to the NBA’s 2024-25 rookie scale, a player going midway through the first round would make roughly $3.5 million in first-year salary. That figure would drop to about $2.8 million at pick No. 20, $2.3 million at No. 25 and $2.1 million with the 30th and final first-round draftee.

A minimum first-year NBA salary? Roughly $1.2 million.

“These NIL packages are starting to get up to $3 to $4 to $5 to $6 million dollars,” Langdon said. “These guys are not going to put their name in to be the 25th pick, or even the 18th pick. They are going to go back to school in hopes of being a lottery pick next year. With that pool of players decreasing, it kind of decreases the odds of the level of player we get at No. 37, just the pure mathematics.”

Current NBA players offer insight

Indiana Pacers big man Thomas Bryant and Oklahoma City Thunder counterpart Isaiah Hartenstein, who both played in the seven-game NBA Finals that ended Sunday, illustrate Langdon’s point.

They were back-to-back second-rounders in 2017 (Bryant at 42, Hartenstein at 43), pushed down a draft board featuring early-entry college players in 33 of the 41 picks before them.

Bryant played two college seasons at Indiana before stints with five NBA teams, including Denver’s 2023 championship squad. Would the ability to make college money have changed his journey?

“To be honest, I see it from both sides,” Bryant said. “If you’re not going to get drafted, you understand that a kid needs money to live in college and everything. So, I understand where they’re coming from on that end.

“But for me, I took the chance. I bet on myself, and I believed in myself, and I worked to the very end. And the thing about me is that if I went down, I was going down swinging. I hang my hat on that. For some, it might not be the same case.”

The American-born Hartenstein moved to Germany at 11 and played in Lithuania before being drafted. As he put it: “I think everyone’s journey is different.”

“I think you should have the right people around you to kind of guide you,” said Hartenstein, a newly minted NBA champion. “I mean, I was lucky that my dad, who was a professional before, kind of guided me. Depending on your circumstances, it’s hard to turn down guaranteed money. If there’s an opportunity to get in a good situation in the NBA, you do that. But it’s a hard decision.”

FILE – Duke head coach Jon Scheyer answers a question during media day at the Final Four of the NCAA college basketball tournament, Thursday, April 3, 2025, in San Antonio. (AP Photo/Eric Gay, file)

College now can be more of an allure

At N.C. State, Wade’s pitch to Williams included a leading role and a shot at boosting his draft stock.

The 6-foot-6 junior averaged 15.1 points with multiple big NCAA Tournament performances as the Red Raiders reached the Elite Eight, nearly beating eventual champion Florida.

“He was most likely going to be a second-round draft pick, and his package here is better than probably he would’ve gotten as a second-round pick,” Wade said, adding: “We certainly talked about that. We went over that. We went over the math of everything. We went over the plan on how to accomplish that.”

That’s not to say it’s easy at the college level in this new landscape. Roster management is tricky, including a balancing act of maintaining financial resources to potentially land one player while risking missing out on others.

“It’s the way life works, it’s the way it should work,” Wade said. “If there’s no risk, there’s no reward. The riskiest players, in terms of waiting on the money and waiting them out, are the best players. That’s why they’re in the draft process. We’re not going to be scared of that.”

Nor should he, not with the allure of campus life these days.





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College football’s transfer portal officially opens Jan. 2. What to know about player movement :: WRAL.com

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The college football season isn’t over yet and won’t be for several weeks, but the sport’s offseason, if you can even call it that, has been in full swing for quite some time — hirings, firings and players announcing they’re returning or leaving or heading to the NFL. 

Many players already know where they’re headed, having worked out deals through agents with new schools. Everyone can begin making it official Jan. 2, the official start of college football’s transfer window.

Unlike in previous years, there is just one transfer window. Players will not have the opportunity to change teams later in the spring. The NCAA approved the change to a single window in October, hoping to bring a little more stability to the sport — if such a thing is possible in college football.

MORE: College football transfer portal tracker for Duke, North Carolina and North Carolina State

Although schools are limited to spending $20.5 million to directly pay athletes, the cost to lure and keep any individual player continues to rise, especially for quarterbacks. ESPN’s Pete Thamel reported that the market for top quarterbacks could reach $5 million. 

Duke’s Darian Mensah was among the highest-paid quarterbacks this season, at a reported $4 million. Mensah, the ACC leader in passing yards and passing touchdowns in 2025, has said he would return to the Blue Devils for the 2026 season. 

There are several high-profile quarterbacks who intend to transfer, including TCU’s Josh Hoover, Nebraska’s Dylan Raiola, Cincinnati’s Brendan Sorsby. NC State’s CJ Bailey could add to the list. High-profile programs like Indiana, Miami and LSU are in the market for quarterback transfers.

Despite the change to a single window, it’s not perfect. The portal is open from Jan. 2 to Jan. 16, while the College Football Playoff is happening. It closes before the national championship game. Players on those two teams can enter the portal from Jan. 20 through Jan. 24. 

Players need only to enter the portal during the window. They don’t have to choose their school during that time. However, the school calendar plays a role if players want to participate in spring practice.

Players have been entering the portal – not a physical place, just a NCAA database — since the regular season wrapped up in late November.

More than a dozen North Carolina players, for example, plan to transfer from Bill Belichick’s program, including leading tackler Khmori House, standout defensive end Tyler Thompson and running back Davion Gause.

NC State running back Hollywood Smothers, an All-ACC first-team selection, skipped the team’s bowl victory over Memphis and plans to transfer or enter the NFL Draft.

Coaches signed new recruiting classes in early December without knowing exactly what spots they might need to fill.

“You take your high school class based on who you know is leaving the program, like we’ll do our seniors and things like that,” NC State coach Dave Doeren said in December. “That’s where the portal now has to supplement. You may have more attrition than you expected at a certain position and you didn’t sign as many high school players as you needed.”

Coaches led the push from the old system which had a transfer window in December (one of the busiest months of the calendar for coaches) and another in April after most programs completed spring ball. Some pushed for the single window to be in the spring, and the NCAA initially adopted a 10-day period, before extending it to 15 days.

“Every college coach would tell you that our calendar is just not in sync with the demands of what’s happening in our sport,” Doeren said. “We need to get our arms around that to make our jobs a little bit easier from a planning standpoint.”

The new single window does help with that. Rosters are locked in early in the year.

UNC made heavy use of the post-spring portal in 2025, after the mid-December 2024 hiring of head coach Bill Belichick, and lost several key players as well. Many programs have stopped holding traditional spring games, in part due to concerns that other coaches could scout those games and try to pluck players from their roster.

“The best thing about this year is that on Jan. 17, the portal will close and you’ll be able to build your team, knowing that when you go to spring ball, that is your team,” UNC general manager Michael Lombardi said. “Knowing that when you go through your offseason program, that is your team.”





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Lane Kiffin receives $500,000 payout from LSU after Ole Miss advances to College Football Playoff semifinal

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With Ole Miss’ Sugar Bowl victory over Georgia in the Sugar Bowl, Lane Kiffin will receive another bonus. Per the terms of his contract at LSU, he will get the $500,000 he would have gotten from the Rebels for advancing to the College Football Playoff semifinal.

Kiffin was already set to receive a payout as a result of Ole Miss’ first-round win over Tulane. That set him up for a $250,000 payday, which was the amount he would have received from the school if he was coaching in the game. Now, that figure will go up.

After Kiffin’s high-profile departure for LSU, Pete Golding took over as Ole Miss’ full-time head coach. But the Tigers said they would include “ancillary benefits” in Kiffin’s deal with the Rebels, and that means a $500,000 payout because his former program is advancing in the CFP.

Kiffin’s high-profile departure for LSU came after Ole Miss took down Mississippi State to complete the first 11-win regular season in program history. It also helped the Rebels virtually secure a spot in the College Football Playoff, and they hosted the first-round game on Saturday.

Per the terms of Kiffin’s contract at Ole Miss, there would be two more escalators if the Rebels keep going in the CFP. His payout would increase to $750,000 if they advance to the national championship and go up to $1 million if Ole Miss wins it all. LSU vowed to pay that same amount after Kiffin’s departure prior to the postseason.

“Coach will be entitled to receive a payment in an amount equal to the amount Coach would have been entitled to receive had he remained Head Coach at Coach’s immediate prior employer and coached the prior employer’s football team through the 2025-26 CFP,” Kiffin’s contract at LSU reads. “… If applicable, the payment under this section may be paid from affiliated foundation funds and shall be paid within 30 days following the prior employer’s team being eliminated from the 2025-26 CFP.”

Ole Miss takes down Georgia in thrilling Sugar Bowl

Ole Miss and Georgia square off in a thriller at the Sugar Bowl in New Orleans on Thursday. The two teams combined to score 30 points in the fourth quarter as the Rebels rallied to take down the Bulldogs, 39-34.

Trinidad Chambliss had a monster day, completing 30 of 46 passes for 362 yards and two touchdowns. Harrison Wallace III also had a career night, hauling in nine receptions for 156 yards and a touchdown. De’Zhaun Stribling also had a big performance with seven receptions for 122 yards.

For Golding, it marks a second straight victory as head coach after taking over for Lane Kiffin. Ole Miss will now get ready to take on Miami in the Fiesta Bowl.



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Football Transfer Portal Chaos Continues Despite New Rules

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Football Transfer Portal Chaos Continues Despite New Rules



































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Indiana football destroys Alabama at Rose Bowl to advance to Peach Bowl

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Jan. 1, 2026Updated Jan. 2, 2026, 12:20 a.m. ET

PASADENA, Ca. — The singing starts early in the fourth quarter of the Rose Bowl, where the clouds are rising above the San Gabriel Mountains and the No. 1 Indiana Hoosiers are just destroying No. 9 Alabama. This is a 2025 College Football Playoff quarterfinal, serious business, but the IU football crowd has been having a blast, and they know what to do when this stadium in Southern California starts playing Bloomington’s John Mellencamp over the loudspeakers.



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Texas Tech’s College Football Playoff reality check just made a transfer QB rich

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The Texas Tech Red Raiders are currently trailing Oregon 13-0 in the College Football Playoff quarterfinals, putting a loaded team on the brink of elimination. Given how bad the offense has looked for this team, the fanbase is already moving on to the offseason, as even with a comeback win in this game, Texas Tech isn’t good enough on offense to win the National Championship.

The biggest flaw with this offense seems to be the play of their quarterback, Behren Morton, who’s had a brutal day with 3 turnovers early in the 4th quarter. Given the fact that Behren Morton is out of eligibility, Texas Tech needs a new quarterback, and the fans are swinging for the fences.

Texas Tech fans are begging for Cody Campbell to pay Brendan Sorsby

On Friday, the Transfer Portal in college football will open, and Texas Tech fans are hoping that Cody Campbell and the Red Raiders spend big to continue building up this roster. The overwhelming biggest wish by the fanbase and outsiders is quarterback Brendan Sorsby.

While Oregon will advance if the score holds, everyone believes whichever quarterback Texas Tech ends up adding is the true big winner.

The members of the media even seemingly believe that Brendan Sorsby is destined to be a Red Raider.

Cody Campbell specifically is being begged by the fans to go improve this team on offense, especially at quarterback.

It’ll now become interesting to see where Texas Tech and Cody Campbell look to find their quarterback in the Transfer Portal. Backup QB Will Hammond showed a ton of promise, but his season ending injury may change the plans at quarterback.

Brendan Sorsby is ranked as the top quarterback in the Transfer Portal in our latest Transfer Portal Quarterback Rankings. Between his experience in the Big 12, his talent level, and the fact that his girlfriend now plays volleyball at Texas Tech, the pairing seems like a perfect fit, but both sides will need to lock the deal in.





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The Transfer Portal market is exploding for college football

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The transfer portal market is going up across the board, at every position, in every conference, and there’s little reason to believe it will slow down anytime soon. Just like professional sports, once one player gets paid, the market resets. The next wave of players measures itself against that number, believes it’s worth more, and pushes the standard even higher.

College football has officially entered that phase.

When the transfer portal opens Jan. 2, it will usher in what could be the most aggressive and expensive portal cycle the sport has ever seen. With the spring portal window eliminated in favor of a single winter period that runs from Jan. 2 through Jan. 16, the urgency has never been higher. Programs no longer have a second chance to fix mistakes, replace losses, or wait out the market.

This winter portal may look less like traditional college football and more like NFL free agency but with more chaos.

Spend Early or Miss Out

The expectation across the sport is clear: the best players will come off the board immediately and for big money. This is nothing new in the sports world because typically the services of the top players: a) in high demand and b) get contacted earlier because they dictate the market for the others after.

““People are going to spend out of the gate — like immediately — your top guys, your best guys, are going to go quick,” said a Big Ten general manager. “Then it’s the rest of them that are asking for money, but at some point they’re going to come down a little bit because the money has already been spent.””

Big Ten general manager

A year ago, there was widespread belief that this offseason would bring a correction. The passing of the House settlement, the introduction of the College Sports Commission as an enforcement arm, and the implementation of a $20.5 million revenue-sharing cap were all supposed to cool off the market.

The idea was simple: with stricter NIL oversight and limits on revenue sharing, teams could no longer double-dip between unlimited collective money and school-funded compensation. Prices, many thought, would stabilize or even decline. That hasn’t happened.

For a variety of reasons, the market has instead continued to climb. What began as college athletes not being paid at all turned into NIL opportunities based on name, image, and likeness. Now, schools themselves can directly allocate money to players, effectively paying salaries. It’s no wonder these college players are staying school longer when some get paid even more than if they were to go pro.

It’s a full 180-degree swing from where the sport was less than a decade ago.

New NIL Price of a Starter

The numbers that could come out of this cycle make that shift impossible to ignore.

““I feel like the average starter this cycle — the sort of line you have to hit — is $600,000,” said one SEC general manager. “I feel like last year starters in our conference were $300,000. Now it feels like starters are more like $600,000.””

SEC general manager

That’s not a superstar figure. That’s the baseline.

Quarterbacks, edge rushers, offensive tackles, and elite skill players are pushing well beyond that number. Depth players are commanding deals that would have qualified as “starter money” just one cycle ago. Every position group is affected, and every negotiation starts from a higher floor.

Arkansas Can’t Afford to Fall Behind

Arkansas football has reached a crossroads. New head coach Ryan Silverfield and athletic director Hunter Yurachek have both spoken publicly about the importance of having the necessary NIL resources to build and sustain a competitive roster.

Words are a start, but action has to follow.

Yurachek doesn’t have to write the checks himself, but he does have to empower the coaching staff, the collective, and the infrastructure to compete at market value. If the administration hesitates or tries to bargain-shop in a luxury market, the results will be the same as they’ve been in recent years.

Fans are tired of hearing about rebuilds. They’re tired of moral victories and patience speeches while watching other programs buy instant turnarounds. The numbers are public now. The quotes are out there. The direction of the market is undeniable.

The transfer portal isn’t a temporary phase, it’s officially the backbone of roster construction moving forward and beyond. And with prices only going up, programs either commit fully or risk falling into the abyss.



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