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Josh Pate predicts biggest sleepers that could crash the 2025 College Football Playoff

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The official start of the 2025 college football season is roughly two weeks from kicking off around the country with Week 0 action. However, college football insider Josh Pate is already looking ahead to the selection of for the 2025 College Football Playoff field in December, specifically pointing out a handful of sleeper teams could be surprise additions to this year’s Playoff, much like Indiana and SMU last season.

Pate made his picks on Sunday night’s “Josh Pate’s College Football Show”, where he selected five potential sleepers that could end up vying for College Football Playoff berths this season. He would select two programs apiece out of the SEC and ACC as well one from the Big Ten during that segment.

With that, here are Pate’s five most likely Playoff sleepers for the 2025 season, in alphabetical order:

The sleeper which Pate arguably spoke most emphatically about was Georgia Tech, who he labeled as one of his “favorite bets” since he’s “ready to say some irresponsible things” about their upcoming season. That includes an opportunity for the Yellow Jackets, because of their schedule and a wide-open ACC field, as GT has also improved their chances as they enter Year Three under alum Brent Key.

“The ACC is open. You got Clemson and what, Clemson and whomst, if you will? Well, Georgia Tech — they’re not a mystery to me,” Pate said. “If you look up and down the schedule here, question: where else are they a point-spread underdog? … Georgia Tech could be favored in ten of twelve, and the two that they’re not favored in are both in Atlanta. I like them a lot. … So, yeah, I couldn’t be any higher on them.”

Louisville Helmet
(James Black
| Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)

Louisville was the other team out of the ACC that Pate named, which could also be based on their league while he would go discuss their offensive personnel working under Jeff Brohm. That said, Pate recognized this one as a risk with the Cardinals having several portal transactions this offseason that could make them hit-or-miss as a sleeper option.

“I think Louisville could crash the playoff party if everything goes right with them,” Pate said. “They’ve played the portal game. They get it. They understand team dynamics. … They’re a total portal mystery team. So, I mean, there’s a floor that’s a little bit lower than I would like, but there’s a ceiling that’s pretty high. And, it just wouldn’t shock me if you looked up in November and they’re a 10-win team. So, they could be that. … They could be that.”

Missouri was among the sleepers for Pate because of the high floor that he expects them to have this season, because of their schedule and what they’ve built over the past two seasons in CoMo. The separator with regard to the Tigers’ Playoff candidacy could then be QB Beau Pribula as their likely new quarterback as a top-twenty transfer at the position.

“Missouri is one of them. … Beau Pribula, that’s the roll of the dice. That’s the quarterback that transferred in from Penn State,” Pate said. “The schedule is up on the screen right now — there is no Texas on there, there’s no Georgia on there, there’s no Florida on there, there’s no LSU on there. This is Eli Drinkwitz, people. This is Eli Drinkwitz. Be careful.”

Nebraska was the lone team from the Big Ten when it came to this topic of sleepers based on several factors that Pate hears has several others also expecting them to be a double-digit win team. That’s with the ‘Huskers entering the notable year three under Matt Rhule, an expectation of offensive improvement in Lincoln, and a schedule that could get them into contention for the CFP.

“I’ve got to talk about Nebraska. Nebraska is a threat here,” Pate said. “I just want to say something and put it out there in the universe — Dana Holgerson and a five-star quarterback, with pretty good offensive personnel. That’s a winning combination. That’s a winning formula. They were 103rd in scoring offense last year. There’s obviously a huge jump coming. How high? Like, how radical is the jump? You’ve got Matt Rhule in year three, which is just basically science at this point…They could lose two games here. 10-2 is probably getting them in the Playoff.”

Texas A&M Helmet
(Maria Lysaker | Imagn Images)

Texas A&M rounds out the list of sleepers for Pate, who’s again sticking with the identity that he sees could succeed for them in Aggieland under Mike Elko. It’s just a matter of if their offense, which could feature one of the better rushing attacks in the nation, can take a step in the pass game. That more-balanced unit paired with a defense that’s anticipated to be quality again, to get them into the conversation around 9-3 or so in College Station.

“A&M is (a Playoff-crash sleeper-type team) too. … I’ve spoken so emphatically about them, and I’ve said things I believe that I have to see it through, I have to see it through. I think I’ve got the right head coach there to see it through,” Pate said. “I like the identity of this team. They got really deep offensive line play. They got a really deep tailback room there – really good, solid three-guys I would trust pretty much anywhere. Marcel Reed can run the ball. I think Colin Klein understands that they’re going to live or die with their ability to stretch the field this year, and I think they feel a whole lot better about being able to stretch the field than they did last year.

“Their personnel is dictating that. I think they’ll be better at pushing the ball down the field. And I’ve got Mike Elko saying, you better handle that because I’m over here with this defense.”



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Inside the college football carousel with UCLA, Stanford recruits

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Dec. 11, 2025, 10:18 a.m. PT

Coaching turnover has always been part of college football’s rhythm.

Programs chase fresh starts. New faces arrive with promises of new visions. Administrators convince themselves the next hire will be the one to deliver on long-held dreams.

This year, though, the churn has reached a new level.

The St. Mary’s Kenneth Moore iii, right, evades Junipero Serra’s Jace Peavey during the CIF NorCal Div. 2 football final at St. Mary’s Sanguinetti Field in Stockton on Dec. 5, 2025.

So far, schools have shelled out a record $185 million in buyouts, per Front Office Sports, as programs rush to beat recruiting deadlines, leverage NIL advantages and stay afloat in the transfer-portal arms race.

Twenty-eight head coaches have been fired or moved this cycle — not an all-time high, but part of a striking pattern. Since NIL arrived in 2021, yearly totals have hovered at unprecedented levels: 28 in 2025, 29 in 2024, 31 in 2023, 24 in 2022 and 28 in 2021.



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LSU Football Announces Major NIL News On Pair Of Elite Weapons, Ink Massive Deals

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BATON ROUGE — LSU Athletics and Nike have announced an extension to their five-decade long partnership through 2036, Director of Athletics  announced on Thursday. 

Alongside the extension, LSU will be leading off Nike’s Blue Ribbon Elite NIL program, a first-of-its-kind partnership, representing a broad portfolio of athletes across disciplines, reimagining the NIL space by providing schools and athletes an unmatched level of collaboration that prioritizes the future of sport and athlete identity.

“LSU and Nike are two of the top brands in sport and an ideal duo,” said Ausberry. “We are both continuously looking to innovate and stay ahead of the game, and that’s what we intend to do in the future with this extended partnership.

“LSU has always been at the forefront of NIL strategy, and as the launchpad for Nike Blue Ribbon Elite, we look forward to working with Nike to offer our student-athletes unrivaled opportunities to capitalize on their brands.”

Nike’s Blue Ribbon Elite program could have started anywhere in the country, but it launches in Baton Rouge, representing another example of LSU leading the way, and remaining at the forefront, in the new collegiate model. 

LSU Tigers Football: Blake Baker.

Courtesy of Blake Baker’s Instragram.

Among the LSU student-athletes joining Nike’s growing roster of elite NIL athletes are:

  • , Gymnastics
  • , Baseball
  • , Softball
  • , Baseball
  • , Football
  • , Softball
  • , Basketball
  • , Football
  • , Volleyball
  • , Basketball

Nike’s partnership with each Blue Ribbon Elite athlete and their universities will go beyond brand representation, inspiring the student body and community to collaborate through brand campaigns, product innovation and creative direction.

Nike’s commitment to listening to the voices of its NIL athletes takes form in individual, personalized support, both in their performance and training and in their most important moments away from the game.

From product and styling to support with media and content, Nike leverages the full weight of the brand to provide a best-in-class partnership to athletes across the brand’s NIL roster — giving them tools for long-term success across sport, business and culture.

“College sport is woven into Nike’s DNA, and we’ve always believed its future should be shaped in lockstep with athletes,” says Ann Miller, EVP, Global Sports Marketing. “Renewing our partnership with LSU and welcoming 10 new NIL athletes is about more than gear.

“It’s about collaboration, creativity and meaningful impact, giving athletes a platform to influence product, innovation, storytelling and culture. LSU and these athletes aren’t just representing Nike – they’re helping us redefine what partnership means in this new era of college sport.”

LSU Tigers Football.

Courtesy of Blake Baker’s Instagram.

Since NIL began in 2021, LSU Athletics has been considered a leader in the space. As college athletics has shifted, LSU has remained at the forefront, leveraging the power of its brand and corporate market to provide unrivaled earning opportunity to its student-athletes.

“As we head into 2026, leading in NIL doesn’t just mean money,” said , LSU Deputy AD for External Affairs. “Excelling in today’s competitive NIL space also means offering the best access to and execution of true third-party deals.

“LSU provides elite earning potential to our student-athletes, but our greatest edge is the volume of special opportunities available to them when they put on the purple and gold.”

Nike and LSU, two iconic brands in the world of sport, continue to set the standard in the NIL landscape – together.

What They’re Saying

DJ Pickett, Football, Freshman

“LSU is just one of those places you fall in love with. They care about you as a person and help you build your brand on and off the field. And throughout my recruiting process, I really wanted to go to a Nike school.

“So being in this position now, I don’t take it for granted. This is just the start of my desire to show people that you can make it in your own way and whatever path you choose.

“For me, it’s about stacking good days and learning and competing on every rep. If I can do that and help someone else believe they can too, that means I’m doing something right.” 

LSU Tigers Football: DJ Pickett.

Courtesy of DJ Pickett’s Instagram.

Tori Edwards, Softball, Redshirt Sophomore

“Nike has been the brand I’ve worn my whole life, so when I got the call about this opportunity, I was like, ‘Can you please repeat that?’ I was like, wait…hold up. And for Nike to launch this new program and NIL approach with LSU, it makes it even more special.”

“In this moment, I am reminded why I chose LSU in the first place. It’s never been just about the sport or championships. LSU cares about us as people, and they’re invested in us to make sure we’re prepared for life. With Nike, it’s the same feeling. It’s exciting to be a part of two powerhouses, and I want little girls to know that if you love something, work hard, and stay determined, you can make it to the stage you want.” 

Casan Evans, Baseball, Sophomore

“How would I describe Nike? GOAT. I’m so thankful, and I’m excited to be a part of a special group, a special brand, and a special school.” 

Dedan Thomas Jr., Basketball, Junior

“I feel like what’s special about Nike is how well they take care of their athletes. There’s a reason Nike is known for being at the forefront of athlete marketing. It feels really good to be a partner with the brand now, and I’m excited to see what we do with the shared values we have.” 

Jayden Heavener, Softball, Sophomore

“It’s really important to me to be able to help build softball and get it recognized more. This partnership will help enable that. I’m also excited to just be able to spread the love of the Swoosh. When I told my mom about this, she freaked out and jokingly already asked for Christmas gifts.” 

Zakiyah Johnson, Basketball, Freshman

“The only way is up for women’s basketball. Nike recognizes that and is all about empowering athletes. So, I am thrilled to continue to bring my personality, energy and style to everything I do, on and off the court, and push the game forward.”

More LSU News:

LSU Football Hires Elite Offensive Coordinator, Five Assistant to Lane Kiffin’s Staff

Three Takeaways From Lane Kiffin’s Introductory Press Conference With LSU Football

Lane Kiffin Reveals How Nick Saban, Pete Carroll Influenced Decision to LSU Football

Join the Community:

Follow Zack Nagy on Twitter: @znagy20 and LSU Tigers On SI: @LSUTigersSI for all coverage surrounding the LSU Tigers.





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$54 million college football coach emerges as favorite for NFL head coaching job

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The jump from college football to the NFL is a difficult transition for the average college football player. That jump is magnified for the average college football coach.

National champion head coaches such as Lou Holtz, Steve Spurrier and Nick Saban have left prominent college football jobs only to return after unsuccessful stints in the NFL. Coaches such as Pete Carroll and Jim Harbaugh have succeeded in the NFL after many years in the college ranks, but the former is true for most coaches looking to make the jump.

The NFL currently has two head coaching vacancies: the Tennessee Titans and the New York Giants. Among the coaches being floated around for the Giants’ vacancy is Notre Dame head football coach Marcus Freeman.

Since Notre Dame was excluded from the 2025 College Football Playoff field, Freeman’s odds have spiked to become the next head coach of the Giants.

Freeman joined the Notre Dame staff as the defensive coordinator and linebackers coach in 2021. He had served in the same roles at Cincinnati in the previous four seasons.

Brian Kelly left Notre Dame to take the LSU head coaching vacancy at the conclusion of the 2021 season. Freeman was promoted from defensive coordinator to head coach.

Despite a start with losses at Ohio State (21-10) and against Marshall (26-21), Freeman guided the Fighting Irish to a 10-3 season in 2022 that culminated in a 45-38 victory over South Carolina in the TaxSlayer Gator Bowl. The Fighting Irish suffered losses to Ohio State (17-14), at Louisville (33-20), and at Clemson (31-23) in 2023, but they once again reached 10 wins.

The 2024 season was an upward surge for Freeman at Notre Dame. Despite an early loss to Northern Illinois (16-14), the Fighting Irish won their other 11 games to return to the College Football Playoff for the first time in four seasons. Notre Dame took down Indiana (27-17), Georgia (23-10) and Penn State (27-24) before falling to Ohio State (34-23) in the national championship.

Should Freeman leave for the Giants, he will head to an organization that has not had the same head coach for more than four seasons since Tom Coughlin (2004-15). Ben McAdoo (2016-17), Pat Shurmur (2018-19) and Joe Judge (2020-21) each coached the Giants for about two full seasons before their terminations.

Brian Daboll was the last head coach terminated by the Giants on Nov. 10. Despite winning the NFL Coach of the Year in 2022, he finished his tenure with the Giants 20-40-1.





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Nike announces extension with LSU, signs 10 Tigers athletes to NIL deals

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Nike is taking another major step into the NIL space. In the process, the company is also strengthening its relationship with LSU.

Nike announced an extension with the Tigers through 2036, continuing a partnership that spans more than five decades. In addition, the brand launched the new Blue Ribbon Elite NIL program, featuring 10 LSU athletes as its first NIL deals.

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Two LSU football players, DJ Pickett and Trey’Dez Green, are part of the initiative. Gymnastics’ Kailin Chio, baseball players Derek Curiel and Casan Evans, softball players Tori Edwards and Jayden Heavener, volleyball’s Jurnee Robinson, men’s basketball’s Dedan Thomas and women’s basketball’s ZaKiyah Johnson are also on board.

“LSU and Nike are two of the top brands in sport and an ideal duo. We are both continuously looking to innovate and stay ahead of the game, and that’s what we intend to do in the future with this extended partnership,” said LSU athletics director Verge Ausberry in a statement. “LSU has always been at the forefront of NIL strategy, and as the launchpad for Nike Blue Ribbon Elite, we look forward to working with Nike to offer our student-athletes unrivaled opportunities to capitalize on their brands.”

Blue Ribbon Elite makes Nike the latest company to launch an NIL-focused initiative with its partner schools. Adidas has been doing something similar, including NIL components in new agreements at schools such as Tennessee and Penn State.

Through Blue Ribbon Elite, Nike will collaborate with athletes through campaigns with the brand, as well as product innovation and creative direction. Nike has already been active in the NIL space, signing multiple notable deals with college football stars this year, not to mention its growing basketball roster. Now, The Swoosh is taking the next step toward working with athletes in addition to their schools.

“College sport is woven into Nike’s DNA, and we’ve always believed its future should be shaped in lockstep with athletes,” said Ann Miller, Nike executive vice president of global marketing, in a statement. “Renewing our partnership with LSU and welcoming 10 new NIL athletes is about more than gear.

“It’s about collaboration, creativity and meaningful impact, giving athletes a platform to influence product, innovation, storytelling and culture. LSU and these athletes aren’t just representing Nike — they’re helping us redefine what partnership means in this new era of college sport.”



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Nike launches NIL collective with LSU athletes, extends partnership with program

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Nike is expanding its footprint in the name, image and likeness space.

The renowned footwear and apparel company announced Thursday that a new approach to partnering with college athletes is underway. In conjunction with announcing a long-term partnership extension with LSU that runs through 2036, Nike is unveiling the Blue Ribbon Elite NIL program. The program is a new collective within Nike that will feature 10 LSU athletes across football, basketball, gymnastics, softball, baseball and volleyball.

The Blue Ribbon Elite program — named after one of the first shoe brands created by Nike founder Phil Knight — will not only feature monetary and product-based contractual deals with athletes but also will expand to collaborations with product innovation, brand campaigns and creative designs for each athlete.

“I would tell you LSU is one of the first; it won’t be the last,” said Ann Miller, Nike executive vice president of global sports marketing, in an interview with The Athletic. “As you can imagine, lots of colleges and universities are excited about that, and we’re working with many of them. This one opportunistically came at the right time with the announcement of the renewal.”

Collectives are typically backed by boosters, businesses and fans to create NIL opportunities for college athletes, and now Nike wants to get in the mix with its own. Though the company has numerous existing NIL partnerships with individual college athletes, the latest move to create an LSU-based collective signals Nike’s desire to leverage the brand of a particular program.

LSU athletes joining Nike’s NIL list are Kailin Chio (gymnastics), Derek Curiel (baseball), Tori Edwards (softball), Casan Evans (baseball), Trey’Dez Green (football), Jayden Heavener (softball), ZaKiyah Johnson (basketball), DJ Pickett (football), Jurnee Robinson (volleyball) and Dedan Thomas Jr. (basketball).

“With Nike and LSU’s help, I’m excited to show little girls — especially the ones that look like me — that being yourself is all you need to do to get to where you want to be,” Robinson said.

Miller said investing in players at this level goes beyond just putting a Swoosh on their shirt or shoes. Nike wants to do what it has done for decades: help tell the stories of its athletes.

“What’s fundamentally different is that we’ve taken our time to really think about, how do we develop partnerships that are richer and deeper than just a, ‘Hey, we’ve signed you, it’s transactional and we don’t actually get to you know, we don’t get product insight, we don’t listen to your voice,’” Miller said.

“We’re really trying to flip it on its head and say if we’re going to work with you, it’s because we not only believe in you, not for what you might be later, but for what you are right now and the value you have right now.”

Miller said before the launch of the school-specific collective, Nike had NIL partnerships with about 50 athletes at 15 universities across the country. Some recent prominent Nike NIL athletes include USC star basketball player Juju Watkins, Alabama wide receiver Ryan Williams and former UConn star Paige Bueckers, who was the first NIL athlete to have a Nike player edition shoe last December.

Miller said this particular approach, launching a collective with one school, is a chance to see how a move like this could work elsewhere.

“(College is) a perfect playground to learn. It’s a perfect playground to try new things,” Miller said. “It’s one of the best things about having this roster of both athletes and colleges and universities. They’ll try stuff with you. It’s the best place to learn.”

Miller did say that although Nike could extend these types of partnerships swiftly across the college landscape if it wanted to, her team will instead take a more disciplined approach. Asked whether she had a target number of schools she’d like to extend NIL collective partnerships to in the future, she said there isn’t one currently, “but if there’s an amazing athlete, an amazing college out there, I want them.”

As for Nike’s NIL budget as a whole, Miller declined to offer specific numbers.

“I think it’s safe to say this is a growing area where every day what you thought you’d spend is off,” she said.

“I think it’s going to continue to be an area of rich interest and investment.”



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Indiana standout DE Stephen Daley likely to miss CFP after postgame incident

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL: OCT 25 UCLA at Indiana
Getty Images

Indiana defensive end Stephen Daley will likely miss the College Football Playoff due to an injury he sustained after the Hoosiers’ victory over Ohio State in the Big Ten Championship Game, coach Curt Cignetti said on Wednesday. Daley appeared to hurt his leg during the postgame celebration while jumping to high-five Hoosiers fans in the stands. He was later seen in an air cast as trainers took him into the locker room on a cart.

Daley underwent tests over the weekend that revealed the extent of the injury, which Cignetti called “serious” and said is anticipated to keep him out for the remainder of the season.

Daley would have been one of the top defensive players in the CFP if not for the injury. The senior led the Big Ten this season with 19 tackles for loss and racked up 5.5 sacks in his first year on a Power Four roster. He joined Indiana through the transfer portal last offseason after spending the first three years of his career at Kent State.

“This postgame was a little different than most,” Cignetti said to reporters on Wednesday. “So I didn’t get into the coaches room probably until 45 minutes after the game, and that was the first I had heard about [Daley’s injury] and then we were walking to my press conference.

“Sunday was still sort of waiting a little bit on images to come back, that sort of thing. So when I had my press conference (on Sunday), there was a little more information that still had to come in. I was still processing the whole thing because it was sort of unbelievable when I heard about it, and I think that is why I said we had nobody hurt in the game, during the game.”

While Daley was not a full-time starter during the regular season, he made an immense impact for one of college football’s most formidable defenses. He recorded at least one tackle for loss in all but two games and hit his stride down the stretch with 2.5 stops behind the line of scrimmage against Penn State, 3.0 against Wisconsin, 4.5 against Purdue and 1.0 in the Big Ten Championship Game.

The absence of a premier force on the defensive front could prove problematic for the Hoosiers given that their road to a national championship runs through a few of the sport’s top offenses. Indiana will play the winner of Alabama and Oklahoma in the quarterfinals when it opens CFP play as the No. 1 overall seed.





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