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Josh Pate updates bracket, predictions ahead of first College Football Playoff rankings

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College football analyst Josh Pate offered his updated College Football Playoff predictions following Week 10 of the season. He revealed them on Sunday’s edition of Josh Pate’s College Football Show.

He moved some things around, offered some great matchups and more! The first CFP rankings are set to be released Tuesday night now that we’re fully into November. 

So without further ado, let’s dive into Pate’s latest College Football Playoff predictions. We start in the first round.

No. 12 USF at No. 5 Ole Miss

Pate is still on the USF train despite them losing to Memphis going into a bye week. But with a week off, the Bulls are back in action against UTASA this weekend and have a chance to unseat top AAC team Navy in a couple of weeks.

Ole Miss ran by South Carolina 30-14 and is now 8-1 on the season. Pate has them making the College Football Playoff but they’re not out of the running for the SEC and a top four seed.

Texas Tech head coach Joey McGuire
(Photo by Mark Rebilas/Imagn Images)

No. 11 Oklahoma at No. 6 Texas Tech

Oklahoma is back in the College Football Playoff, but they’ll have to hit the road first. The Sooners got back on the right end of things with a 33-27 road win over Tennessee.

Texas Tech dominated Kansas State 43-20 on the road 8-1. But now they have BYU next in a massive Big 12 game.

No. 10 Notre Dame at No. 7 Louisville

Notre Dame is projected to win out and finish 10-2 on the season, thus they make the College Football Playoff in Pate’s predictions. They’ll have to play Louisville on the road, Pate’s projected ACC champ.

While Notre Dame keeps winning, so do the Cardinals! Jeff Brohm and company are now 7-1 following a 28-16 win over Virginia Tech.

No. 9 Oregon at No. 8 Georgia

Oh man, sign us up for this first round College Football Playoff game. Oregon at Georgia? Dan Lanning and Kirby Smart? Yes sir.

The Ducks had a bye week while the Bulldogs edged rival Florida 24-20. But, these two teams are still borderline elite and should make the CFP, making this game a slugfest.

Kyle Robertson/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

No. 1 Ohio State vs. No. 8 Georgia

Pate has Georgia advancing to the quarterfinals for another CFP matchup with Ohio State. The Buckeyes are the defending champions and the projected Big Ten champs, probably undefeated right?

But at this rate, Ohio State looks like the best squad in the land. Pate has them getting the win here as well.

No. 2 Alabama vs. No. 10 Notre Dame

Alabama and Notre Dame, so that means Manti Teo and Brian Kelly are trying to do the unthinkable? Okay, bad jokes about time travel aside, the Fighting Irish might be one of the hottest teams in the country at this point.

But Alabama might have something now. The Crimson Tide are Pate’s projected winner in the College Football Playoff quarterfinals.

No. 3 Indiana vs. No. 6 Texas Tech

Indiana got the bye as the Big Ten runner-up and they’ll take on the Red Raiders. Texas Tech is the projected Big 12 champ from Pate and he has them advancing with a home win over Oklahoma.

But this is where it ends for Joey McGuire and crew. The Hoosiers are a wagon and Curt Cignetti gets his crew to the semifinals.

Mike Elko, Texas A&M
© Nelson Chenault-Imagn Images

No. 4 Texas A&M vs. No. 5 Ole Miss

The Aggies were the beneficiaries of a bye in the first round as the SEC runner-up. Mike Elko and crew are going to win here too.

Ole Miss and Lane Kiffin’s magic will run out after a first round win over USF. But, at least they made the CFP this year! Pate has the top four seeds in the semis.

No. 1 Ohio State vs. No. 4 Texas A&M

Ohio State-Texas A&M with a berth in the title game on the line. Tie goes to the Buckeyes. Oh wait, baseball season just ended.

Anyway, Pate has Ryan Day and Ohio State winning and having a chance to win a second straight National Championship. Texas A&M suffers only its second loss of the year.

No. 2 Alabama vs. No. 3 Indiana

In the other semifinal, Alabama will prevent a Big Ten title game rematch between the Hoosiers and Buckeyes. Kalen DeBoer went from the hot seat after one game to coaching for a national title.

Doesn’t life come at you fast? By the way, this would be DeBoer’s second appearance in the CFP title game after getting Washington to the stage a few years ago.

Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer
Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer (Gary Cosby / Imagn Images)

No. 2 Alabama over No. 1 Ohio State

Alabama-Ohio State in 2020 wasn’t a great game. It’s remembered for a legendary DeVonta Smith performance. This game has the potential to be a great one though.

However, Pate has the Crimson Tide winning it all and taking out the defending champs. No repeat this year.



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NIL a factor in Arch Manning losing Texas roommate, WR Parker Livingstone to rival Oklahoma in transfer portal

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Former Texas wide receiver Parker Livingstone crossed a Red River Rivalry line this week, committing to Oklahoma via the 2026 college football transfer portal. Livingstone, who roomed with quarterback Arch Manning and became one of his favorite targets during the 2025 season, ranked No. 3 on the Longhorns with 516 receiving yards and No. 2 with six touchdown receptions.

247Sports college football and transfer portal analysts Chris Hummer and Cooper Petagna provided insights into the breakup between Manning and Livingstone, detailing how NIL money and agent involvement played a significant role in the decision.

“It’s a surprising situation,” Hummer said Wednesday on CBSSports HQ.



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Mark Cuban makes donation to Indiana for 2026 transfer portal cycle, claims Hoosiers are ‘happier this year’

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Mark Cuban reportedly made a donation to Indiana football for the 2026 transfer portal cycle, according to Alex Schiffer of Front Office Sports. The billionaire most known for his time as the majority owner of the Dallas Mavericks is a 1981 graduate of the school.

“Already committed for this portal,” Cuban wrote to FOS in an email. “Let’s just say they are happier this year than last year.”

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Indiana already made splashes in the transfer portal, such as TCU QB Josh Hoover committing for the 2026 season. They also landed Michigan State WR Nick Marsh and Boston College RB Turbo Richard. That’s only the tip of the iceberg and Indiana is still playing in the College Football Playoff!

Cuban reportedly gave a “big number” to the Indiana athletic department in the past, as he told CBS Sports in October. He cited his connection with head coach Curt Cignetti as the biggest factor.

Cuban is also no stranger to donating to his alma mater. In 2015, he gave the school around $5 million for a sports media center and gave $6 million to fund Indiana’s rugby club.

But first thing’s first, Cuban will be watching Indiana play Oregon in the Peach Bowl in the CFP semifinals. It’s all about what’s in front of them and nothing’s changed for Cignetti and IU.

“Yeah, excited to be a part of the Peach Bowl,” Cignetti said. “Playing a great opponent in Oregon, Coach Lanning. Like I said so before we played earlier in the year, one of the young superstars you know in the coaching profession. I think they’re 26-2 the last two years.

“And, you know, really an excellent football team, offense, defense, and special teams. Do a great job of coaching. Be a big challenge. We were fortunate, you know, to win the game out in Eugene. It’s hard to beat a great team twice. You know, very difficult. So, edge to Oregon there. But tough to be a great team twice. Looking forward to the challenge.”

Indiana and Oregon are set to square off Friday night in the Peach Bowl. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET and the winner will play for the College Football Playoff National Championship.



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ESPN predicts outcomes of both College Football Playoff Semifinal games

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ESPN predicted the outcomes of both College Football Playoff semifinal games coming Thursday and Friday. Now down to the final four teams, we are that much closer to crowning this year’s national champion.

Miami, Ole Miss, Indiana and Oregon are the last teams standing following two rounds of competitive and dominant football. But what do ESPN’s metrics say, specifically their SP+ projections?

Putting player rankings, strength of schedule, game projection and everything else under the sun together, ESPN put out its College Football Playoff predictions for the semifinals. Let’s start at the Fiesta Bowl.

No. 6 Ole Miss vs. No. 10 Miami (Fiesta Bowl)

Jerome Miron-Imagn Images/Lauren Witte/Clarion Ledger / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

SP+ Projection: Ole Miss 28.1, Miami 25.2

Ole Miss seemingly has the quarterback advantage with Trinidad Chambliss over Carson Beck in this one. He’s played at a different level over the last two weeks and found a new gear in the upset over Georgia. With Kewan Lacy helping the cause at running back, Ole Miss has a dynamic offense to deal with.

But defense wins championships, right? At least that is what Miami hopes for in this College Football Playoff. They stifled explosive offenses in Texas A&M and Ohio State to get to this point. Mario Cristobal will look for his team to grind it out. But ESPN projects Pete Golding and crew to get to the national title game.

No. 1 Indiana vs. No. 5 Oregon (Peach Bowl)

Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

SP+ Projection: Indiana 26.7, Oregon 23.7

Indiana keeps winning, make sure you Google it. Curt Cignetti and crew learned from last year’s College Football Playoff mistakes and dominated Alabama in the Rose Bowl, 38-3. The Hoosiers are two wins away from the program’s first national title and have a Heisman QB in Fernando Mendoza to boot. On paper, especially with a win over the Ducks already, Indiana is rightly favored.

But Oregon is coming in guns blazing. Dan Lanning, like Cignetti, preaches toughness and grittiness. That’s exactly what Oregon is going to do and it has a pretty darn good quarterback, too, in Dante Moore. Which Nick Saban disciple is going to end up on top? The metrics say Indiana, again, by a hair.

Based on ESPN’s SP+ projections, No. 1 Indiana and No. 6 Ole Miss will square off for the College Football Playoff national championship. The game is scheduled for January 19th in Miami.



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NHL Winter Classic 2027 game will be held in Utah at Rice-Eccles Stadium

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The annual NHL Winter Classic game is a favorite of hockey fans.

(Bethany Baker | The Salt Lake Tribune) From left, reporter Jackie Redmond, Gary Bettman, the NHL Commissioner, and Ashley and Ryan Smith, both co-founders of Smith Entertainment Group and owners of Utah Mammoth, hold a news conference to announce the location of the 2027 NHL Winter Classic as Rice-Eccles Stadium at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City, seen here on Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026.

The marquee game of the NHL’s regular season is coming to Salt Lake City next year.

NHL commissioner Gary Bettman joined Utah Mammoth owners Ryan and Ashley Smith on Wednesday in announcing that the 2027 Winter Classic will be held outdoors at Rice-Eccles Stadium. The Mammoth will play the current NHL leaders, the Colorado Avalanche. The game will take place at the beginning of next January.

“I think this venue is going to be incredible,” Ryan Smith said. “This is a dream.”

The NHL selected Rice-Eccles Stadium as the venue over competition from BYU’s Lavell Edwards Stadium in Provo and several other markets around the NHL that wanted to host the event.

“I wanted it here in Salt Lake. This is right,” Smith, a BYU alum, said. “I mean, I do enough down there. This is my NIL donation here. It’s a good one.”

And unlike at University of Utah football games, the stadium will sell alcohol for the event, university director of auxiliary services Collin Simmons told reporters. “We’re able to sell beer and seltzer for all private events,” he explained. “This is a private event.”

(Bethany Baker | The Salt Lake Tribune) Ryan Smith, right, and Ashley Smith, both co-founders of Smith Entertainment Group and owners of Utah Mammoth, answer questions during a news conference to announce the location of the 2027 NHL Winter Classic as Rice-Eccles Stadium at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City, seen here on Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026.

The exact date for the event has yet to be selected, as the NHL experiments with different dates at the beginning of January that conflict least with the NFL and college football. The game has traditionally taken place on either Jan. 1 or Jan 2.

The Winter Classic began in 2008, as the NHL sought to bring new fans to its games by returning to its roots in outdoor pond hockey. Since then, Winter Classic games have occurred annually with limited exceptions and have proven to be extremely popular with fans and players alike. Fans also enjoy that teams typically wear special-edition uniforms for the event, which Bettman said have not yet been designed.

The 2025 edition of the game took place at Wrigley Field between the Chicago Blackhawks and the St. Louis Blues. This year, the game moved to sunny Miami, Florida, as the Panthers played the Rangers in a matchup that drew significant criticism from hockey fans. Choosing Salt Lake City as the 2027 hosts reflects a league return to a cold-weather site.

League officials toured Rice-Eccles Stadium in recent months to determine its suitability for the game. It will be the fourth time the Winter Classic has been held at a college football stadium, with Michigan Stadium (2014), Notre Dame Stadium (2019), and the Cotton Bowl (2020) the previous three hosts.

(Bethany Baker | The Salt Lake Tribune) Ryan Smith, right, and Ashley Smith, both co-founders of Smith Entertainment Group and owners of Utah Mammoth, sit on stage during a news conference to announce the location of the 2027 NHL Winter Classic as Rice-Eccles Stadium at the University of Utah in Salt Lake City, seen here on Wednesday, Jan. 7, 2026.

“This stadium sets up very well. From a sightline perspective, there’s an intimacy here. We expect to have 50,000 plus here. We’re not anticipating any problems,” NHL commissioner Bettman said. “And the Governor” — Spencer Cox, who attended Wednesday’s announcement — “has promised me that the weather will be perfect.”

The Avalanche should prove formidable opposition to the Mammoth; through 42 games this season, they have suffered just four regulation losses against 31 wins. Team stars Nathan MacKinnon and Cale Makar have pushed the Avs to one of the greatest starts to a regular season in NHL history this season, and should provide additional juice to the matchup.

The Mammoth, meanwhile, are led by team captain Clayton Keller and newly-extended Logan Cooley, who provided a player’s perspective at the announcement.

“Being outside, it’s a whole different experience,” Cooley said, while noting the last time he played outdoors was when he was 4 or 5 years old. “That whole experience will be a challenge. And as players, as competitors, we like those.”

“Just being outside, you see the mountains in the background. As a player, I hope it’s pretty cold and there’s a lot of snow,” he said.



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Is NIL and the transfer portal good for college football?

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Updated Jan. 7, 2026, 4:44 p.m. CT



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Three major college football programs battling for former 5-star recruit

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Alabama finished the 2025 season 11–4 (7–1 SEC) under head coach Kalen DeBoer, winning the SEC West, falling to Georgia in the SEC Championship Game, and qualifying for the College Football Playoff.

Despite optimism that the Tide could make a postseason run, Alabama was routed 38–3 by No. 1 Indiana in the CFP quarterfinal at the Rose Bowl, a loss that ended the season and marked the program’s worst-ever playoff defeat.

The lopsided loss triggered immediate offseason fallout, including significant roster turnover and early transfer portal activity.

On Monday, reports emerged that Alabama outside/edge linebacker Qua Russaw had entered the NCAA transfer portal after three seasons with the Crimson Tide, adding an experienced SEC defender to an already active transfer market.

By Wednesday, On3’s Pete Nakos reported that Russaw had scheduled transfer visits, with three programs quickly emerging as leading contenders: Ohio State, LSU, and Tennessee.

 Alabama Crimson Tide linebacker Qua Russaw.

Alabama Crimson Tide linebacker Qua Russaw (4) tries to bring down South Carolina Gamecocks quarterback Robby Ashford (1) | Gary Cosby Jr.-Imagn Images

Russaw was a five-star high school recruit in the 2023 cycle, ranked as the No. 3 linebacker prospect and No. 27 overall player nationally by On3, committing to Alabama over more than 20 offers, including Auburn, Georgia, Florida, and Clemson.

He spent three seasons with the Crimson Tide (2023–2025) after redshirting his first year, appearing in 22 career games and totaling 50 combined tackles (21 solo), 3.5 tackles for loss, two sacks, two interceptions, and one forced fumble.

Russaw played in 13 games in 2024, posting 36 tackles, 2.5 TFL, one sack, two interceptions, and a forced fumble, before injuries limited him to nine games and 14 tackles in 2025.

Still, at 6’2″, 243 pounds, the former five-star remains a high-upside, power-athletic edge defender with clear projection in a new system.

All three programs linked to Russaw align with his profile as an experienced SEC defender with pass-rush ability and immediate rotational or starting potential.

LSU is actively retooling its roster under new head coach Lane Kiffin and is seeking defensive reinforcements through the transfer portal after more than two dozen offseason departures.

Tennessee has also experienced roster turnover following the 2025 season, targeting portal additions to bolster linebacker depth and add physical playmakers as part of its defensive reset.

Ohio State’s linebacker room, meanwhile, lacks established FBS starters for 2026, prompting the Buckeyes to prioritize veteran transfers to add proven experience.

Media reports indicate visits are being scheduled immediately, and with the January transfer window underway, a commitment could come within days or a few weeks.

Read More at College Football HQ

  • $2.1 million QB turns down ‘lucrative NIL packages’ to enter transfer portal

  • $2.1 million QB reportedly makes NFL decision amid transfer portal rumors

  • $2 million transfer QB urged to focus on development after entering portal

  • $5 million transfer QB strongly viewed as ‘game-changer’ after portal frenzy



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