Bucknuts’ Steve Helwagen hosted his weekly Chat on Monday night. The transcript is below.
Programming Note: Steve will again participate in Ohio State Buckeyes Live on Wednesday at 11 a.m. Check out The Front Row after 11 a.m. Wednesday for access details.
TritonK: Due to how many first time starters we have how much better do you see this team being by the end of the season? Is the ceiling as high or higher than last year?
Helwagen: That is hard to quantify. I do think there is room to grow and improve. For instance, will the pass rush be as good when they’re facing better teams? We don’t know. They absolutely have to improve the running game and become more consistent in that aspect, certainly.
Last year’s team found a fifth gear after the loss to Michigan and they just refused to lose. We don’t know about the make-up of this team just yet. What they did against Texas in the opener was fantastic. But will that be the high point of the season. This team has to rise to the occasion when the time comes. It could be Illinois or Penn State or Michigan. Who knows when it will be. But there will be a time where they have to go to that next level. Some teams do, most teams do not. And that’s hard to predict. But you like where they have started on this journey so far.
TritonK: Early season scouting report for the game? Can our defense hold up against the run and confuse Underwood? Can we move the ball and get in the end zone against their defense? Which player is the X factor?
Helwagen: Oh, I honestly just had the Michigan game on in passing last Saturday. Impressive certainly to go into that stadium and get a win like that. They gutted it out. Stopping the run is the big issue. Haynes and the back from Cincinnati looked great on those long runs. OSU hasn’t done it four straight years vs. Michigan, so we will see if they can. I think OSU will be able to move the ball against whoever they play. That passing game seems undeniable. Got to get the run game going with it.
X factor is probably a tight end who breaks free underneath for a big play or a DB who victimizes the young QB for a critical INT.
Garwood72: Steve loved the basketball update and gets my basketball juices flowing , love football but follow hoops very closely since I was a tyke ,any true predictions on where we finish in the Big ? I feel anywhere 4-6 and with positive lick a spot or two higher
Helwagen: Lindy’s magazine is out. They have OSU No. 38 nationally so one-and-done in NCAA Tournament and ninth in the Big Ten. They were 10th last year. I think personally they will be somewhere in that fourth to seventh range. It is dog eat dog, though, in this Big Ten with so many great programs across the board and the coast to coast travel mixed in, too.
I think 21 wins overall and 12-8 or 11-9 in Big Ten seems about right. Need the big 7-8 to stay healthy and produce like they are capable.
Crickybear: Steve- looking at Big Ten schedules this year – and it is such a joke to see how Michigan’s compares to a team like Indiana’s. My question would be – how do you think the CFP would look upon a two loss Michigan vs. a two loss Indiana team? Indiana has upper echelon teams Oregon and PSU still to come, while Michigan has just OSU. As things play out, I see Oregon and OSU in the Big Ten Championship – with a possible two loss Penn State being the third CFP team…. If four are chosen, that could leave Michigan (1 Big Ten loss) and Indiana vying for position #4. We all know Michigan is the media darling (see NCAA Advanced Scouting punishment); Do you think Michigan would get the nod over Indiana – whose only losses were two other CFP teams, both within the Big 10?
Thank you.
Helwagen: Yeah, there is so much football to be played. It is way too premature to start plotting out how teams are going to weigh out at the end. I get where you’re coming from. Michigan should get credit for playing at Oklahoma, even if it was a loss. That’s better than beating Old Dominion by 2 TDs, in my book, or scoring 70 against an FCS team. That’s meaningless to me.
I trust the committee will make the right decisions. It’s all apples to oranges comparing Big Ten to SEC and comparing teams within the same conference that don’t play each other. I think they weighed it out last year and got the right teams in there. But if there is a tie between 10-2 teams the one that played the tougher schedule in the 12-game season should be in.
I liked their approach last year that conference title game losers were not penalized. They will get it right. The best teams will be in. Hey, like Alabama last year, if you have to argue a case to get in as the 11 or 12 seed, you’re really not good enough to win the national championship anyway.
JoeZipp: Watched some of the Apple Cup Saturday. Huskies offense is really good; not impressed with their defense. Huskies only had the ball 24 minutes and put up 59 points on 48 plays. WOW. The line opened at -13.5 and now down to -9.5 for our game. What are your thoughts on key player matchups? Who is going to spy Williams? Do you have a feel for the maximum points Washington can score on our D? This game has gotten a lot more interesting after 3 games versus pre-season hype while the Illinois game got less interesting. I am more worried about Washington than Illinois. What say you? THANKS STEVE.
Helwagen: I need to sit down and watch the game. I was flipping between 2-3 games. I think Washington State is real bad, so I don’t put much stock in that game and what Washington did. It was a 7-point game after 3 quarters then 28-0 Washington in fourth quarter with a pick-six that took all the wind out of Wazzu’s sails.
The QB and the RB have been great so far this season. But so has Ohio State’s offense. Let’s see who can establish the run and set the offense up for success.
Oregon game last year was 32-31. I’m not sure I envision something that high scoring, maybe in the 34-20 range for OSU. But I want to dial in on it to know for sure.
foxr2001: Trivia question for you: what CFB teams have won 3 national championships under 3 consecutive coaches (not counting Fickell’s interim year)? I don’t know the answer other than OSU but I’m curious if you know of other schools to accomplish what Tressel/Meyer/Day have done. Bonus if you can answer this without googling it! (ok, no real bonus but if you can it will be very impressive)
I’ll probably be back with other questions later.
Helwagen: Man, that’s a great question. Maybe Miami in the 1980s with Schnellenberger, Johnson and Erickson maybe. Or the last 2 and whoever followed Erickson.
LSU had Saban, Miles and Ed Orgeron. Those would be my top two guesses.
It is revisionist history, by the way, to refer to Fickell as interim or acting coach for 2011. They announced he was the head coach period for that season. He had a chance to hang on to the job had it gone better, but with the personnel available after the suspensions etc. he was set up to only fail.
ursinsports: Like Joe Zipp, I watched a lil of the Apple Cup game. It’s obvious they have a good offense. Keeping the QB limited will be a good challenge. I would hope coach P stresses the outside containment. Will be interesting to see the various schemes coach P shows in pre snap. Do u think they will go majority with 3LBs sets to stop their run attack with dual QB and a hard running RB?
Helwagen: There may be some 3 LB but my guess is they play their 4-2-5 base and adapt from there. Downs is almost like having a third LB with the way he supports the run. OSU has done a good job of hemming in the opposing QBs and not letting them break contain. Washington is going to put stress on the Ohio State defense and make some plays. But can OSU keep them out of the end zone in the red zone. That will be the deciding factor in that match-up. The QB is not real big so they need to get some contact on him and see how he handles that. Patricia had a great plan for Texas and so we will see what he dials up here.
bucksgrad: Hi Steve !
How much credence to you give the talk that Underwood got $10M from tcun?
Helwagen: You know, we are not privy to any contracts that would tell us the actual numbers. There will probably be some court battles over the NCAA allowable revenue share money because those are, by definition, public funds if paid out by a public university. Now some schools will try and circumvent that by creating “athletic associations” they claim will be private and so on.
I was told whatever numbers you hear be skeptical. Agents will tout and float certain numbers so they look better to potential new clients. But you can’t believe everything you read. Up until when the House settlement was ratified by the judge, schools and the collectives were going wild west and offering tons of money. But now they have to push everything beyond rev share through the clearinghouse on NIL. Can the schools control their spending? Is any of this legal? I’m going to say the answers to those two questions will be no and no.
Snoke5: Hi Steve, how do you see Saturdays matchup between Penn State and Oregon going? Also now that the season is a few weeks in the books how do you see the Big Ten playing out? Indiana looks a little better and Illinois looking not quite as good as previously ranked. USC could be a tough out. I personally feel Ohio State and Oregon will face each other in the B1G 10 championship.
Thank you for your thoughts!
Helwagen: Yeah, Penn State has not lived up to expectations. They may need the PSU defense to hold down the Oregon offense this Saturday. But PSU should be motivated to win that game after the Big Ten title game last year. PSU just doesn’t seem to win big games under Franklin. Not sure where I am leaning on that one just yet. I think it will be a one score game but could literally go either way. It should be one hell of a game just like the Big Ten title game was last year. If Penn State can’t win this one at home, when and where will they ever win a game like this with this coach? Hmmmm.
TritonK: Basketball question if we miss the tournament again this season will Bjork move on from Diebler? How long of a rope does he have? Is he a better x and o coach or recruiter?
Helwagen: Tough question there. He has a university friendly buyout so if it happens they don’t make it, I suppose they could move on. They need to make it this year. They have a talented and deep roster, just have to go and win those toss-up games. Over the last three seasons, they are 13-20 in games decided by six points or less. Flip that to 20-13 and that’s two NCAA bids they probably have.
Xs and Os? I’d say he is OK there and he has good support from his staff. The issue is managing those late game situations. They always seem to leave it to Thornton or sometimes Mobley. I think I’d rather have it in the hands of a guy like Parrish last year who could get into the lane and score or draw a foul. Bruce seemed to get bottled up and settle for 22 foot jumpers in those situations. Yeah, he did hit the one (forget against who) but the record above speaks for itself.
Recruiting? You’re only as good as your checkbook. Who can you outbid in this climate? Can you afford to pay a legit national top 10 player like Anthony Thompson, who is an Ohio guy in the 2026 class? We don’t know what his budget is, other than basketball is not the main priority at Ohio State. We do know that.
TritonK: Hartline was quoted saying he needs to get more WR’s PT. Do you think this is lip service like we always hear or does he really want to get 5 or 6 guys in? Hes always had a short rotation.
Helwagen: His actions say this is strictly lip service. Rodgers has 2 catches and Graham has 1 and they’ve won one game 70-0 and another 37-9. You tell me.
Heck, they’re taking Inniss off the field half the time for a second tight end. I’m not trying to be cute or mean here, but if three comes off how do you expect to get four, five, six or seven any meaningful work?
TritonK: Recruiting wise it seems like we have stalled a bit. Starting to look at in state seniors for easy flips. Are there any big national guys they have a shot to flip? Seems like they should be combing through ucla, Florida, Wisconsin, and Clemson along with other programs with coaches on the hot seat or who could be?
Helwagen: Yeah, good point. They are going for low hanging fruit. I guess if they come up with ways to pay for top recruits, they will flip some top recruits. They do have six national top 100 players in the class, so it is not devoid of talent. They have two good OL just outside the top 100, too, so they didn’t get the one kid Sanders they are still getting some good players like the Akron Hoban kid Sam Greer to develop them.
Parting Shot: Hey everybody, thanks so much for reading and participating. Please carve out 11 a.m. Wednesday to watch Ohio State Buckeyes Live. It is a one hour interactive show where we talk nothing but Ohio State football and take questions from those online. See you then!!