TIP Obtain tailored projections and start/sit guidance for your quarterbacks with the Team Intel tool. New York Jets at Miami Dolphins Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins Tua has achieved 26 fantasy points for three consecutive weeks. Now he faces an unpredictable Jets defense that could be without CB Sauce Gardner (hamstring). Aaron Rodgers, Jets The Jets have recently put […]
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Obtain tailored projections and start/sit guidance for your quarterbacks with the Team Intel tool.
New York Jets at Miami Dolphins
Tua Tagovailoa, Dolphins
Tua has achieved 26 fantasy points for three consecutive weeks. Now he faces an unpredictable Jets defense that could be without CB Sauce Gardner (hamstring).
Aaron Rodgers, Jets
The Jets have recently put OT Tyron Smith on IR. They are also contending with injuries to OL Morgan Moses (knee/shoulder) and Alijah Vera-Tucker (ankle). Coupled with Rodgers’ declining performance on tape, the veteran is likely to remain a risky QB2 against Miami.
Atlanta Falcons at Minnesota Vikings
Sam Darnold, Vikings
Darnold is back to recording three straight QB1 games and presents a solid option as a lower-tier QB1 once more. The Falcons defense is among the least effective in the league at pressuring quarterbacks, allowing Darnold plenty of opportunities to thrive without pressure. Lock him in as a QB1 choice.
New Orleans Saints at New York Giants
Derek Carr, Saints
Carr hasn’t matched his early-season stats, particularly due to a lack of receiving targets. He also enters the weekend missing Taysom Hill (ACL). Carr is positioned as a QB2 this week.
Carolina Panthers at Philadelphia Eagles
Jalen Hurts, Eagles
The primary concern for Hurts this weekend is whether he can contribute enough to harness his significant scoring potential. Philly has passed fewer than 22 times in three of their last four games, and Hurts has not surpassed 200 passing yards in the last two weeks. However, he has rushed for a touchdown in six of the last seven weeks and has fallen below 21 fantasy points only four times all season (dependent on scoring format). Notably, each of those games had one of either A.J. Brown or DeVonta Smith unavailable. Both are expected to participate this week.
Bryce Young, Panthers
Young’s performance has markedly improved since returning to the lineup, achieving three straight games without an interception. Nevertheless, he has only thrown more than one touchdown pass in a game once all season. The Eagles come into the weekend ranked as the fifth-toughest QB defense, according to our adjusted fantasy points allowed.
Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
Russell Wilson, Steelers
Wilson recorded his third top-9 fantasy finish in six games last week against the Bengals. He did not perform as well (QB15) in the previous encounter with Cleveland. However, that game was played in snowy, nighttime conditions away from home. Wilson still completed a season-high 75% of his passes averaging 9.6 yards per attempt. He presents a solid “floor” play in this category. A higher ceiling is feasible if the Browns can score and compel Pittsburgh to pass more.
Jameis Winston, Browns
Winston’s five starts have resulted in three top-9 finishes and two finishes at 18th or lower. His QB18 performance occurred in the first matchup with Pittsburgh and included a season-low 219 yards with 0 TDs. This performance came during a snowy night and featured a dropped pass by David Njoku in the end zone. Winston has displayed high volatility, with 3+ turnover-worthy throws in three out of five starts thus far, per Pro Football Focus. There’s considerable upside if you’re seeking a streamer, but also potential risk, particularly against a defense ranked first in takeaways.
Las Vegas Raiders at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baker Mayfield, Buccaneers
Mayfield had one of his less effective performances last week, completing 21 of 33 passes with just one touchdown and two interceptions. However, he has been a reliable low-end QB1. On Sunday, he faces a favorable matchup as significant favorites. The Raiders rank in the bottom five for passing fantasy points allowed per game, so consider Mayfield as a top-five choice.
Aidan O’Connell, Raiders
Our own Shane Hallam examined O’Connell’s Week 14 outlook against Tampa Bay. At the very least, he should encounter substantial passing volume against a vulnerable Bucs secondary.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Tennessee Titans
Will Levis, Titans
Levis enjoys an excellent matchup against one of the poorest pass defenses in the league. He has only registered one QB1 scoring week this season, but has shown progress in both accuracy and footwork. His potential for a breakout game is promising.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray, Cardinals
Murray has not thrown for more than 1 touchdown pass in a game since Week 8. He has surpassed that number just twice all year and has managed four out of 12 games with multiple total touchdowns. While there’s an element of bad luck involved, Murray ranks only 20th in red-zone passing attempts and 21st in attempts from inside the 10-yard line, according to Pro Football Reference. He remains a respectable QB13 in fantasy points per game, primarily due to his rushing ability. However, the Cardinals have also elevated their overall passing rate and red-zone passing rate in recent weeks. Murray executed a season-high eight passing attempts in the red zone last week. If this trend continues, he’s likely to have at least one or two standout games as the season progresses.
Geno Smith, Seahawks
Smith reminded everyone of his potential with a QB4 finish on 3 touchdown passes against the Rams in Week 9. Even with that performance, Smith also threw 3 interceptions. Additionally, he has surrounded this outing with four fantasy finishes of QB19 or worse, including a QB20 flop in his Week 12 clash with the Cardinals, who have improved to 12th in overall defensive DVOA.
Buffalo Bills at Los Angeles Rams
Josh Allen, Bills
Allen faces a Rams unit that is currently ranked 22nd in pass defense DVOA. However, they lead in pressure rate, making protection pivotal. We will also see if the Bills can bring back Dalton Kincaid and/or Keon Coleman from injuries.
Matthew Stafford, Rams
Stafford will go up against a Buffalo defense that has allowed only 216 passing yards per game. They are now an even tougher squad after LB Matt Milano’s return from injury. Thankfully, Stafford has achieved 2 or more passing scores in five of his past six games.
Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers
Brock Purdy, 49ers
Purdy experienced one of his lowest performances against the Bills, completing only 11 passes for 94 yards. With neither CMC nor Jordan Mason available, along with LT Trent Williams still sidelined, trusting Purdy is challenging. The Bears rank among the top five in allowing the fewest passing points per game. However, due to the absence of RBs, the 49ers may be forced to pass more, which positions Purdy as a low-end QB1 this week.
Caleb Williams, Bears
Williams started slowly on Thanksgiving but later picked up the pace during a near comeback. Now, his interim offensive coordinator has progressed to the role of interim head coach. The short passing and screen game has found success, and under Thomas Brown, Williams has been a high-end QB2. The 49ers’ defense has struggled against the Packers and Bills, so there’s a chance for an uptick. Nevertheless, Williams defaults to a QB2 status.
Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs
The Chiefs have maintained the highest passing rate against expectation over the last month, placing them second in that category for the entire season. This enhances both floor and ceiling values for Mahomes, who has thrown for 2 or more touchdowns in four of his six most recent games. His subpar performance in last week’s narrow victory against the Raiders raises some concerns, particularly against a Chargers defense that ranks fifth in pass DVOA. However, the Chargers have allowed 3 total touchdowns to Lamar Jackson and Joe Burrow in the last three games, in addition to two touchdown passes to Will Levis in Week 10.
Justin Herbert, Chargers
The Chiefs’ defense is heading into this matchup ranked eighth in rush DVOA, contrasting with just 19th against the pass. That functionality has declined since starting CB Jaylen Watson’s injury in Week 7. Herbert had been averaging over 8.0 yards per pass attempt for five consecutive games before dropping to 6.1 and 6.4 the past two weeks, with no touchdown passes in either outing. He carries a certain level of risk into this game, particularly if WR Ladd McConkey is unable to play. However, K.C.’s formidable run defense combined with the Chargers’ weak rushing attack will likely keep L.A. reliant on Herbert.
Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys
Joe Burrow, Bengals
Burrow just received Player of the Month recognition, throwing for 1,035 yards and 12 touchdowns on substantial volume. He finds himself in an ideal position to continue his hot streak with the Bengals projected for a whopping 27.5 points. Meanwhile, Dallas ranks 21st in pass defense DVOA and 26th in PFF’s coverage grades.
Cooper Rush, Cowboys
Rush has only achieved one top-15 fantasy finish since stepping in for Dak Prescott. However, Sunday appears to present a potentially explosive opportunity against Cincinnati’s lackluster defense, which ranks in the bottom six in both points and passing yards allowed per game.
