The NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs are notoriously unpredictable, but that’s not going to stop us from giving it our best try. We now know which 16 drivers will be fighting for the 2025 title, settling the final two spots in a thrilling regular season finale at Daytona last weekend.
The 2025 group of contenders features four former Cup champions, 14 drivers who have won at least one race this year, and a talented Cup rookie: Shane van Gisbergen.
The first round is all ovals, but none of these tracks are really similar. It opens with a crown jewel — the 76th running of NASCAR’s Southern 500 at Darlington Raceway. It will be a grueling race, pushing both drivers and teams to the absolute limit.
Up next is World Wide Technology Raceway (Gateway), which has only been on the Cup schedule since 2022 — but this will be its first appearance in the Playoffs. It’s a 1.250-mile oval with very little banking and two distinctly different corners.
The Round of 16 ends at Bristol Motor Speedway, with 500 laps around a high-banked, blistering fast half-mile that is prone to chaos. Here, the bottom four positions in points will be eliminated from title contention.
Just before the action gets underway this weekend, Motorsport.com’s new Senior NASCAR Editor Matt Weaver joins longtime Motorsport.com news manager Nick DeGroot as they attempt to predict how the opening round will play out.
Matt Weaver’s first four out
Josh Berry, Wood Brothers Racing Ford
Photo by: Jam Media / Getty Images
Josh Berry: I have covered the entirety of Josh Berry’s career and find it extremely rewarding for the sport that someone like him has advanced to the highest level entirely on merit. With that said, I just don’t see the math of how the Wood Brothers No. 21 team overcomes what they have been over the summer, which is a car with okay speed, but also a lot of mistakes on pit road and the occasional hiccup by a second-year driver at the highest level. Berry is the only driver not named Shane Van Gisbergen who has an average finish in the 20s but without the playoff point buffer to sustain it.
Austin Cindric: Team Penske playoff voodoo magic aside, I just don’t see the greatness in Cindric and the No. 2 team right now. That isn’t to say there isn’t an elite performer in there somewhere, and this is actually his best overall season, but when you have to cut four, you have to cut four. This one was admittedly hard because I see the potential for Cindric to have good runs at both Gateway and Bristol, and it’s again, a Penske car in the playoffs.
Austin Dillon: This one is also tough because the Richard Childress Racing No. 3 team have started to streak over the past month and don’t forget that crew chief Richard Boswell won the Southern 500 last year with Chase Briscoe at Stewart-Haas. For RCR, they just haven’t shown the same prowess that the most likely Round of 12 teams have to make me want to see them through.
Ross Chastain: This selection isn’t even me suggesting that the Trackhouse No. 1 isn’t good enough to advance. They are and Chastain has shown a tenacity to make things happen when he needs to the most. Instead of trying to wax poetic on an intellectual reason why I think Chastain fails to advance, my reasoning is simply that I am guessing he will have bad luck in one of these three races and he does not have the playoff point buffer to sustain it.
Nick DeGroot’s first four out
Tyler Reddick, 23XI Racing Toyota
Photo by: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images
Austin Dillon: While his Richmond triumph was impressive, let’s not forget that it is his only top five this entire season. The RCR driver will still be able to call this season a success (even if his teammate disagrees), but the No. 3 is not making it beyond the first round. These are three very technical tracks, and it’s my belief that RCR won’t be able to keep up with the competition.
Josh Berry: Despite earning the Wood Brothers a surprise win early in the year, 2025 has been a struggle for Berry. He is one of two playoff drivers with an average finish worse than 20th, and that’s even with back-to-back top tens to end the regular season. Now, maybe they found something there that will carry over into the next three races, but I’m doubtful. The No. 21 will not advance beyond this round.
Austin Cindric: This was a tough one. Cindric hasn’t been flashy this year, but he’s been consistent. Before a crash at Daytona, he had five consecutive races where he finished 16th or higher. He is also the defending winner at Gateway. The problem is that he is only point above the cutline, and that’s not going to be enough unless we see a sudden step up in performance for the No. 2 team. Penske may win a fourth straight title this year, but it won’t be with Cindric.
Tyler Reddick: This is my surprise exit. Last year, Reddick won the regular season title and made it all the way to the Championship 4. But 2025 has been a very different season. He is one of two winless drivers to have made the playoffs, and the No. 45 has just been all over the place lately. Just look at their recent finishes: 21st, 34th, 9th, 19th, 29th. He is already in the drop zone and while I expect Darlington to be a good weekend for him, it won’t be enough to save him from a shocking first-round exit.
Matt’s drivers who will barely advance
Shane van Gisbergen, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet
Photo by: Chris Graythen – Getty Images
Shane Van Gisbergen: Gateway and Bristol are going to be challenging and potentially perilous for the four-time race winner but his playoff point buffer is going to just be enough to advance over teammate Chastain. But also, you can make a case that he could have a really strong Southern 500 based on what he did in finishing 14th at Richmond. SVG has shown a comfort in precise, high tire wear races, especially those that require leaning against the wall. He finished 20th at Darlington in the spring and returns to South Carolina an even better ovalist. If he has one really good race in this round, that combined with his playoff point buffer, should be enough if he avoids any DNFs.
Tyler Reddick: Last year’s regular season champion has not won a race and the team simply do not look like themselves this summer, but these first three races line up well for them and the previous playoff gauntlet experience shows a more than capable racer who will be able to maximize his performance while others may try too hard.
Nick’s drivers who will barely advance
Ross Chastain, Trackhouse Racing Chevrolet
Photo by: Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images
Ross Chastain: The first round will be an incredibly stressful one for the folks at Trackhouse Racing. Chastain is just one point above the cutline, and he has been in a bit of a summer slump after his dramatic last-to-first win in the Coca-Cola 600. However, that’s also not unusual for him based on previous years. The No. 1 team seems to have very inconsistent summers, but despite an inability to collect stage points due to poor qualifying efforts, Chastain is good at bringing the car forward through the field. Looking at the races he’s finished this year, only three have been outside the top 20. That will save him in the first round, especially if others make mistakes.
Shane van Gisbergen: Then there’s Chastain’s rookie teammate and road racing ace, van Gisbergen. Thanks to his dominance at the road courses, the Kiwi has a 16-point buffer entering the Playoffs. He will need every last one of those points, and while I expect it to be even more difficult for him than Chastain, he will also advance into the Round of 12. I say this because SVG is a very smart and analytical driver, and one who doesn’t get wrapped up in the pressure of the moment. He’s also extremely good at managing his tires, which will be critical at a place like Darlington. I will be shocked if he makes a mistake behind the wheel over the next three weeks with what is at stake. He knows what he has to do and as someone who has watched him since his Tekno Autosport days in Supercars, an SVG with a clear mission in mind is not someone you want to bet against.
Read Also:
In this article
Be the first to know and subscribe for real-time news email updates on these topics
Lindsay Brewer grabbed attention with a playful new Instagram post shared on Monday, December 29.
“I’m your Uber driver, get in!” the professional race car driver and social media personality, 28, captioned photos in which she posed inside a parked vehicle in Laguna Beach, California. Brewer sat sideways in the driver’s seat with the door open, smiling directly at the camera as palm trees and a bright blue sky framed the background.
For the look, Brewer wore a fitted white cropped tank that highlighted her toned midsection, layered over a bright yellow bikini top. She paired the top with loose-fitting, light-wash jeans. White sneakers completed the outfit, keeping things sporty and practical while still photo-ready.
Lindsay Brewer/Instagram
Her long blonde hair was styled in soft waves that fell over her shoulders, and her makeup appeared natural, with a fresh glow that fit the sunny beachside setting. Brewer accessorized minimally, letting the outfit and setting do most of the talking.
Known for balancing her racing career with a strong social media presence, Brewer has built a loyal following by blending high-speed motorsports with lifestyle content.
Although he’s now 42, Mike Rockenfeller is practically ageless. He still looks as young and drives as fast as his younger teammates within the Ford Multimatic Motorsports stable of Mustang GT3 drivers. He can easily be viewed one of sports car racing’s greatest drivers, ambassadors and gentlemen of the millennium with his affable attitude and incredible insights.
The German driver best known as “Rocky” made his early mark coming up the sports car ladder with two distinct German brands: Porsche and Audi. In 2010, he won both the Rolex 24 At Daytona and 24 Hours of Le Mans overall in the same year; the Rolex aboard an Action Express Racing Riley-Porsche closed cockpit Daytona Prototype and Le Mans in a factory Audi R15 TDI Plus diesel LMP1 open prototype. He’s the second most recent driver to do that, as Fernando Alonso did so in 2019 with a Cadillac DPi-V.R at the Rolex 24 and a Toyota TS050 Hybrid in LMP1 at Le Mans.
But in recent years, “Rocky’s” manufacturer presence has been distinctly American. He raced both GT and Daytona Prototype Corvettes off-and-on through the mid-2010s, and then was the sports car expert who guided Jimmie Johnson, Jenson Button and the Hendrick Motorsports collaborative Garage 56 Chevrolet Camaro ZR1 to take NASCAR back to Le Mans in 2023. He also ran select NASCAR Cup Series races for Johnson’s Legacy Motor Club team when it still ran Chevrolets.
Since 2024, “Rocky” has been a “blue oval” man through and through. He’s been back in a full-time seat in the IMSA WeatherTech SportsCar Championship as part of Ford’s Grand Touring Daytona Pro (GTD PRO) effort, and through the end of 2025, was the only driver Ford kept in that full-time role for both seasons.
For 2026, things change a bit. After Rockenfeller and Harry Tincknell shared the No. 64 Ford Mustang GT3 in 2024 and Rockenfeller and Seb Priaulx then partnered to be the proverbial veteran and young charger pairing in 2025, both “Rocky” and “Sebby” shift to Michelin Endurance Cup roles in 2026 split between the Nos. 64 and 65 cars.
Rockenfeller seems to feel something different with Ford than he did with the German brands he raced with earlier in his career. As he reflected during the IMSA-sanctioned November test, being part of Ford means going back more than a century and building on it as Ford continues its global motorsports ramp-up to be one of the world’s most pre-eminent motorsport manufacturers.
“Where I’ve come from, I was not surprised… but at Charlotte when they did the season launch two years ago, I’d just joined the program so I only understood it somewhat,” Rockenfeller explained. “But they do NASCAR. Off-road. Baja. Obviously sports car racing. They will do F1. Then Hypercar/GTP… yes, it’s Europe for now, but hopefully they come to the U.S. It’s unreal how big their program is. The Red Bull F1 thing I hope will be very successful, super cool and exciting. The range they go is unreal.”
Ford’s perception is changing globally, too, he noted.
“For me coming from different brands and joining a new one, in Europe, Ford is a different brand than what it is in the U.S.,” Rockenfeller said. “Here, it’s massive. There, the Germans are quite big. That’s normal.
“But I always had friends driving Ford. A friend of mine in go-karts has three Ford dealerships. I always looked at it, but I never imagined I’d race for Ford. To get to know the family and Jim Farley and all of them, (Mark) Rushbrook, it’s such a family. And they’re emotional with racing. They really love it, and you can see it in the programs they do.”
Rockenfeller then proceeded to tell just how much of the Ford family presence the manufacturer wanted to share with its drivers.
“The first year in Detroit, we went to the Henry Ford House, where he basically lived. It’s kind of a museum almost,” he said. “It’s unreal to hear the stories; Edsel and that. It’s unreal. To hopefully write some history together is great. I feel such a part of it. To identify, it takes a bit of time. You need to know the cars, the people, and success and not success together. Year three … this year changed a lot for me. I feel like I’m there now.”
Indeed, the leap Ford made in IMSA from year one in 2024 to year two in 2025 with the Mustang GT3 was paramount. Rockenfeller won the Motul Pole Award for the Rolex 24 and the duo finished third with third driver Austin Cindric, who was deputizing for the injured Ben Barker. The sister No. 65 car won the Rolex with Frederic Vervisch, Christopher Mies and Dennis Olsen.
Ford’s No. 64 car enjoyed major success as the year progressed with two wins on the streets of Detroit – notably cast against the corporate headquarters and backdrop of crosstown rivals General Motors – and then the six-hour TireRack.com Battle On The Bricks in Indianapolis. With one other podium (second at Road America), Rockenfeller and Priaulx finished third in GTD PRO points.
“Every victory is special in its own,” Rockenfeller admitted. “Detroit is the only street circuit (for GTD PRO). It’s cool scenery and it’s different. I love to race in cities anyway but that’s the only chance on the calendar to do so. We don’t do Long Beach. Then obviously that’s the home race for Ford Motor Company and GM is there. It’s a big battle between us. To come out on top was the highlight.
“Indy was so cool; we were second the year before. We knew it was a strong place for us. To win with ‘Sebby’ was good as we just started working together this year and it turned out to be a pretty good combo.
“Then at Indy, it was special to have the whole family (as part of new IMSA Resilient Racers program) there enjoying it, taking the pictures, being on the podium. Especially as a father of three, you understand what matters in life. You think racing is the most important or when you’re doing it. But there’s a lot more in life, to share emotions and give something back. That’s very special.”
For 2026, Rockenfeller will share the No. 64 car with Olsen and Barker, who are set to embark on the full-season effort. That means Rockenfeller’s IMSA goal for 2026 is trophy hunting at the three longest Michelin Endurance Cup rounds, and notably, adding another Rolex watch to his 2010 one. Missing out in 2025 stung, he admitted.
“In the end, to win you need to be perfect,” he said. “The other car had a better setup and we didn’t. The last two tenths, probably. They deserved it! I’m happy they did. Obviously, I’m a Ford driver, so it’s good for all of us if the car wins.
“In the end we had a strong season. I’m sure the big goal is to win the championship. If you ask me what do you prefer, I don’t know if I would pick between 24 and the championship. Probably the championship. It gives a better picture of the whole year.
“But at Daytona, I’d like to get a free watch and not have to buy one!”
When Rick Hendrick entered the NASCAR Cup Series competition in 1984 with Geoff Bodine piloting the No. 5 car, Dale Earnhardt had already etched his name into history with a Cup championship in 1980. Hendrick initially set his sights on bringing Dale Sr. into his fledgling operation, but timing and circumstance shut that door.
When Hendrick made his pitch, Dale Sr. remained aligned with Bud Moore Engineering, a team with history in the sport since the 1960s, and by the time Hendrick officially launched his effort, Senior had already committed to the more established Richard Childress Racing.
Revisiting that crossroads on the Dale Jr. Download, Hendrick recently detailed how close the paths briefly ran. When Dale Earnhardt Jr. referenced a photo of Hendrick and Earnhardt standing together in the garage at Charlotte Motor Speedway, with Dale Sr. dressed in blue while testing a Cup car, Hendrick explained that he had asked him to shake the car down.
As the conversation extended, Hendrick admitted his interest in landing Dale Sr. Still, Hendrick Motorsports was little more than a blank page at the time, without results or reputation to lean on, and Dale Sr. chose not to take the gamble. Hendrick acknowledged he understood the odds, noting that his chances were “zero,” before adding, “But I’m a car salesman. I mean, I’ve got to try, right?”
The connection between the two, however, predated Hendrick Motorsports’ Cup debut. In 1983, when Hendrick first dipped his toes into stock car racing ownership with Robert Gee, the duo had called on Dale Sr. to drive their No. 15 at Charlotte in the Late Model Sportsman division, now known as the NASCAR Xfinity Series.
That decision paid immediate dividends as Dale Sr. won in his first outing for the team, delivering Hendrick his first-ever victory as a stock car owner. Later that same year, Dale Sr. climbed into the No. 5 again, this time to test for All-Star Racing. One season later, that program officially went racing, marking another early chapter in Hendrick’s ascent.
Years down the line, the storyline came full circle when the elder Earnhardt’s son, Dale Earnhardt Jr., eventually joined Hendrick Motorsports and took over the No. 88. In his first race with the organization, the exhibition event ahead of the Daytona 500 in 2008, he drove straight to victory lane.
Hence, father and son both won on debut for Rick Hendrick, separated by 25 years, and did so in cars carrying the same name. The original 1983 entry was called “Emma,” named after Gee’s mother, and in 2008, the No. 88 chassis carried the same name as a tribute.
Dennis Hamlin, father of NASCAR Cup Series driver Denny Hamlin, died Sunday night at the age of 75 from injuries sustained in a house fire at the family’s home. Hamlin’s mother, Mary Lou, remains hospitalized in critical condition.
The Gaston County Office of Emergency Management and Fire Services issued a press release stating that first responders were dispatched to the home in the Stanley community at 6:19 p.m. ET. They arrived eight minutes later and found the residence engulfed in flames. There were two occupants discovered outside the home who were transported to a nearby hospital.
Dennis Hamlin later died at the hospital. Mary Lou Hamlin, 69, was transferred to Atrium Health Wake Forest Baptist Burn Center in Winston-Salem, where officials said she is “actively being treated.”
Denny Hamlin’s parents were instrumental in helping him pursue his career in NASCAR. In 2006, he signed with Joe Gibbs Racing and has claimed 60 Cup Series wins with the team.
He dedicated his victory at Las Vegas Motor Speedway to his father.
“He’s the one that got me into racing,” Hamlin said, “He just took me to a racetrack when I was 5 and then made all the sacrifices financially to keep me going. Sold everything they had. We almost lost our house a couple times, just tried to keep it all going. I’m glad he was able to see 60. That was super important to me.”
Due to extensive damage, the cause of the fire has not been determined as the investigation continues.
NASCAR issued the following statement on Dec. 30: “NASCAR extends its deepest condolences to Denny Hamlin and the entire Hamlin family. Dennis Hamlin instilled a love of racing in his son, and sacrificed greatly to develop Denny into a world-class talent in the sport. We also continue to offer our thoughts and prayers to Denny’s mother, Mary Lou, and hope for her full recovery.”
Natalie Decker and her husband, Derek Lemke, are embracing life as new parents, spending the holiday season between Christmas and New Year focused on family while keeping one eye firmly on the road back to NASCAR. Decker last took the green flag in August 2025 at Daytona, where she finished 22nd, marking her return to competition months after welcoming their son in February. While she is currently savoring motherhood and marriage, another long-held ambition remains front and center, one she shares with her husband and intends to chase down.
A year ago, during an interview with Frontstretch, Decker sat down with Wyatt Watson ahead of her second career start at Charlotte Motor Speedway and laid out several personal goals. She spoke about a dream partnership with Bikini Zone, highlighted the importance of promoting sponsorship alongside her family, reflected on married life, and opened up about a shared vision with Lemke, which is lining up against him on the racetrack.
As Decker put it, “That’s literally our goal and dream. We talk about that daily. So here’s the thing: Derek has never beaten me. We talk about that all the time.” She explained that the two have raced each other only a handful of times so far, but they plan to settle the score properly by competing head-to-head in either a NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series race or an Xfinity Series event in the near future.
The intention, she said, is “We have to make it happen, and then we can then determine who is better after that race.”
When discussing married life, Decker shared that very little has changed beyond the wedding bands now on their fingers. Their lives, she noted, had already been connected long before the ceremony. Once Lemke was fully committed to supporting her racing career, they immediately approached everything as a team.
Decker added that they have been together for more than eight years (now over nine), and married for some time, and she finds it deeply fulfilling. For the 28-year-old, one of the highlights of getting married was celebrating alongside friends and family, hosting a large gathering that turned into an unforgettable occasion.
In 2025, Decker also joined a select group of women who returned to NASCAR competition after becoming mothers.
Beyond Shawna Robinson, one of only 17 women to start a NASCAR Cup Series race, who had two children in the late 1990s before competing in 21 races across NASCAR’s three national divisions between 2001 and 2005, drivers such as Sara Christian, Jessica Friesen, Tina Gordon, Ethel Mobley, Alli Owens, and Kelly Sutton also raced after entering motherhood.
Backed by sponsorship from Wawa, Decker drove the #92 DGM Racing Chevy in the NASCAR Xfinity Series event at Daytona International Speedway, and might be ready to do that in 2026 as well.
WELLINGTON, New Zealand (AP) — Six-time IndyCar champion Scott Dixon was awarded a knighthood Wednesday in New Zealand’s New Year honors list.
“I’ve been called a lot of things, but I never thought that ‘Sir’ was going to be one of them,” Dixon said. “That was kind of crazy. Totally out of the blue … You automatically go back to the start like the first time driving a go-kart and then all the rest of the memories happened at warp speed.”
Scott Ronald Glyndwr Dixon, now a Knight Commander of the New Zealand Order of Merit, was born in Australia to New Zealand-born parents who later returned to live in Auckland.
Dixon, who won the Indianapolis 500 in 2008, received the knighthood for services to motor sport. He was inducted into the Motorsports Hall of Fame of America in 2024.
“Sir Scott is a hero to young New Zealand motor sport fans and his work fundraising for children’s charities is invaluable,” New Zealand’s Prime Minister Christopher Luxon said.
Dixon won karting titles in Australia and New Zealand before heading to the United States where he raced in Indy Lights and CART series before moving to IndyCar in 2003.
Dixon has had 23 consecutive seasons for Chip Ganassi Racing in IndyCar with 58 wins and 142 podium finishes from 380 starts. He has started 32 times from pole position and won the championship in 2003, 2008, 2013, 2015, 2018 and 2020.
“It’s all about outside racing giving back to the community and the partnerships you make away from the track and causes you get involved in,” Dixon said.
___
AP auto racing: https://apnews.com/hub/auto-racing
Copyright 2025 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without permission.