NIL
Big Ten Transfer Rankings

There are still a few players left in the portal but for the most part, we have reached the end of the road for roster changes for the upcoming 2025 season. That means it’s time to assess who has done the best job of improving their performance in the transfer portal.
The rankings here are entirely pulled from my own transfer portal player rankings system which puts every player on a 1 to 100 scale with my own formula taking into account the player’s recruiting ranking out of high school, how much they’ve played since getting to college, and how well they’ve played when on the field.
I didn’t manage to put out an initial ranking after the winter portal period closed but fortunately I record the portal entry dates. That means I went back and ran the formula including only players who entered the portal before March 1st so you have a point of comparison for how much things changed in the spring period.
A few notes when it comes to the actual team rankings below:
- The rankings take into account the portal as a whole and not just the additions. The teams that finished at the top usually get there in part because they don’t lose key pieces via the portal. Pure roster churn usually puts you in the middle or bottom.
- Starting last year, I began adjusting the totals for teams that lost more players in the portal than they gained. This means that teams aren’t overly punished for losing a chunk of the bottom portion of their roster. Teams with a net player loss get credited for adding a redshirt freshman who didn’t play based on their average recruit. That stays closer to reality where the really good teams can replace any gaps in the portal more easily than those towards the bottom. This means Oregon makes up for any gaps with a player worth 34.6 points and Purdue’s is worth 19.5 on the other end of the spectrum.
- In order to try to only capture scholarship players, I excluded any player who had a score of less than 16. That’s generally the cutoff for a player who was unranked out of high school and hasn’t seen the field yet. Teams had more walk-ons than normal enter the portal this year because of the uncertainty around roster limits with the House settlement. Some walk-ons may have been above that threshold but only if they were ranked out of high school or had seen playing time which makes them more fair game for evaluation.
- I do not consider class of 2025 early enrollees switching programs as a transfer but instead part of the recruiting class. UCLA doesn’t get credit for Nico Iamaleava’s younger brother transferring from Arkansas after being a spring early enrollee.
18. Maryland Terrapins, -134.3 points (Pre-Spring Rank: 17th)
Additions: 12 with average grade of 50.1; Highest: WR Jalil Farooq (from Oklahoma), 82 points
Departures: 26 with average grade of 43.3; Highest: RB Roman Hemby (to Indiana), 72 points
The fact that Maryland is in last place here is generally a pretty good sign for the Big Ten as a whole that they fared well in the portal. Only one team in the entire conference had an average departing recruit with a higher score than their average incoming transfer. And that one team wasn’t Maryland. The reason Maryland ranks last is the sheer volume with 15 more departures than additions via the portal.
Those 26 total departures contain 4 quarterbacks including both their starter and their backup from last season who are headed to Wisconsin and Coastal Carolina respectively. Their top 2 rated departures are both intra-conference transfers and are at Indiana now. Another pair are headed to Auburn plus there are losses to Central Florida, Kentucky, Texas, Ole Miss, and Arkansas.
The final count is 10 transfers lost to other power conference schools. Six of those players have double digit career starts at the power conference level.
The additions don’t make up for the gap but it helps that they have at least one premium incoming transfer in Oklahoma WR Jalil Farooq. He missed almost all of last year due to injury but had nearly 1200 yards and 7 TDs over the previous 2 seasons and projects as a clear starter when healthy. Pass catchers and defensive line were the priority though. Three of Maryland’s four highest rated incoming transfers were either WRs or TEs and 5 of the 11 came on the defensive line with additions there from Florida State, Alabama A&M, North Carolina, Ohio, and Saint Francis.
The only quarterback addition via the portal is UCLA backup Justyn Martin and he appears to be the presumptive starter.
17. USC Trojans, -132.5 points (Pre-Spring Rank: 18th)
Additions: 14 with average grade of 64.5; Highest: CB DJ Harvey (from San Jose State), 86 points
Departures: 23 with average grade of 57.3; Highest: QB Miller Moss (to Louisville), 88 points
I’m sure there are plenty of Trojan fans who would question this ranking based on who USC added but this ranking system also takes into account the losses. USC had the 2nd highest average incoming transfer grade (behind Oregon) but also had the very highest average departing transfer which offsets those gains.
We’re likely to find out based on the performance of many of those departures at their new schools whether USC has been struggling with evaluation or development (or both). Eight of the players leaving USC were a 0.94+ in the 247 Sports Composite and clear top-150 players in their high school class. That includes former 5-star pass catchers Duce Robinson (85 pts to Florida State) and Zachariah Branch (85 pts to Georgia). Fully 13 of the departures had started at least 1 game at the power conference level and 6 of them had started double digits. 17 of the 23 departing transfers transferred to another power conference school.
Lincoln Riley did his best to replenish the talent. The top rated additions are both in the secondary with DJ Harvey and Bishop Fitzgerald (83 pts from NC State). They each pencil in as above average starters. The lines were a focus with 3 players added who had started at least 12 games at the power conference level. But those players came from Kentucky, Purdue, and Syracuse and two of them are now on their 3rd school.
Last year USC added UNLV starting QB Jaiden Maiava to be the backup to Miller Moss. Riley benched Moss after his performance against UW and Moss transferred out to Louisville. Now the Trojans have brought in former Husky Sam Huard (77 pts from Utah) to be Maiava’s backup. We’ll see if Riley can regain his quarterback whisperer ways with this crew.
Kirby Lee-Imagn Images
16. Penn State Nittany Lions, -42.9 points (Pre-Spring Rank 16th)
Additions: 8 with average grade of 63,6; Highest: WR Kyron Ware-Hudson (from USC), 76 points
Departures: 13 with average grade of 54.6; Highest: CB Cam Miller (to Rutgers), 80.8 points
Penn State may be the presumptive title favorites but they still took some losses in the portal this offseason. There’s a lot of similarities between their portal haul and USC as they rank just below USC in both average incoming and outgoing transfer grade.
There were some good players who left but it’s reasonable to think that part of the reason for their departures was the lack of path to a starting job on a team that is stacked for next season. Starting slot corner Cam Miller is the highest ranked departure after he tied for the team lead in PBUs but is headed to Rutgers. Backup QB Beau Pribula (76.2 pts to Missouri) was a great changeup option as a dynamic runner in short yardage situations but was blocked by Drew Allar returning. Wide receivers Harrison Wallace (76 pts to Ole Miss) and Omari Evans (61 pts to Washington) were starter level players last year but will be part of the test to see if the issue with PSU’s WRs was the WR talent or the QB/system.
The Nittany Lions replaced that WR duo with a trio of additions in Kyron Ware-Hudson, Devonte Ross (70 pts from Kentucky), and Trebor Pena (68 pts from Syracuse). This grading system views those as only slight upgrades but we’ll see how it plays out. The only other notable additions were LB Amare Campbell (72 pts from North Carolina) who has started 14 games and S King Mack (70 pts from Alabama). Mack is a high 4-star boomerang transfer who played as a freshman at Penn State, transferred to Alabama, last offseason, and now is back at Penn State.
15. Nebraska Cornhuskers, +23.9 points (Pre-Spring Rank 12th)
Additions: 15 with average grade of 58.2; Highest: WR Dane Key (from Kentucky), 92 points
Departures: 26 with average grade of 45.8; Highest: RB Dante Dowdell (to Kentucky), 81 points
There was quite a bit of roster churn at Nebraska this offseason but a good chunk of it came from the back-end of the roster. 19 of the 26 departures had a grade below 60.0 and didn’t project as clear starters. The highest rated loss was former Oregon RB Dante Dowdell who ran for 600 yards for Nebraska as their part-time starter this past year. Five of the players leaving have started double-digit games at the P4 level but only one ranked among Nebraska’s top 6 losses which suggests they may have started due to the lack of other options on the roster rather than being Big Ten starter-level talents.
Nebraska traded skill position players with Kentucky for their top-ranked addition and departure. I have the Cornhuskers coming out on top of that exchange with 6’3 former four-star Dane Key who was my system’s top-ranked WR this offseason after putting up 500+ receiving yards each of the last 3 seasons. They also added my top-ranked interior offensive lineman in 23-game starter Rocco Spindler (84.9 pts from Notre Dame). Throw in Indiana edge rusher Dasan McCullough (81.0 pts from Indiana) and that’s 3 of the top-80 overall transfers.
Photo by Brian Murphy/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images
14. Washington Huskies, +25.5 points (Pre-Spring Rank: 11th)
Additions: 16 with average grade of 56.9; Highest: LB Taariq Al-Uqdah (from Washington State), 85 points
Departures: 22 with average grade of 47.8; Highest: CB Thaddeus Dixon (to North Carolina), 78 points
It’s not a huge surprise to see Washington here given they finished 9th in average incoming recruit score and 14th in average departing recruit score. Combine that with a lot of transfers out and that’s how you end up clearly in the bottom-third.
The defense suffered heavy losses in the portal. 14 of the 22 departures were on that side of the ball including 7 of the top 8 overall. Both CB Thad Dixon and LB Khmori House (70 pts) followed DC Steve Belichick to North Carolina and might be regretting that decision right about now. Cornerbacks Elijah Jackson (72 pts to TCU) and Jordan Shaw (72 pts to Texas A&M) both started double digit games at the power conference level and are headed to P4 programs in the state of Texas. In total, 14 of the departures are headed to P4 schools, 5 to G5 schools, 2 to FCS, and only 1 remains uncommitted.
It isn’t a shock that the additions were also focused on the defensive side of the ball to make up for the departures. 9 of the top 11 new transfers in for Washington are on defense with only OL Carver Willis (68 pts from Kansas State) and WR Omari Evans (61 pts from Penn State) breaking things up from a clean sweep.
I generally consider anyone with over a 60.0 score to be a realistic potential starter on a P4 team and anyone over an 80.0 to be a near lock to start with all-conference upside. Washington ultimately finished +1 (1 to 0) on 80+ players and +2 (8 to 6) on players in the 60-79 range. Based on spring practices it looks like 7 of those incoming transfers will wind up starting on the opening day depth chart which isn’t bad but is pretty close to what they lost. This ranking reflects that Washington is mostly counting on development from returners more so than impact transfers to take a leap to the next level under Jedd Fisch.
13. Wisconsin Badgers, +34.8 points (Pre-Spring Rank: 14th)
Additions: 17 with average grade of 55.4; Highest: QB Danny O’Neil (from San Diego State), 79 points
Departures: 27 with average grade of 44.2; Highest: QB Tyler Van Dyke (to SMU), 90 points
The first thing to notice with Wisconsin in the portal is the upheaval at quarterback. Week 1 starter last year, Tyler Van Dyke, is on the move again after suffering a season-ending injury in Wisconsin’s 3rd game against Alabama. Also gone is backup Braedyn Locke (58 pts to Arizona) who finished out the rest of the year.
That duo is replaced with Wisconsin’s 2 highest additions: San Diego State starter Danny O’Neil and Maryland starter Billy Edwards (67 pts). It seems right now like Edwards, the more experienced option, may be in line to start right away but it wouldn’t shock me if O’Neil is the one taking snaps by the time we get to the end of the season.
Beyond the quarterback position, Wisconsin really prioritized upgrading their secondary and their defensive line. The next 7 highest rated additions after the 2 quarterbacks are all non-LBs on the defensive side of the ball. Most of them are moving up from lower levels with adds from Western Michigan, Jacksonville State, Richmond, and Tennessee Tech.
There are also plenty of faces moving on. Nine different double-digit P4 starters are departing Wisconsin this season including three along the defensive front and five among the offensive skill positions. That doesn’t include Wisconsin’s 2nd highest rated departure S Xavier Lucas (84 pts to Miami) who has been the subject of an offseason saga with Wisconsin trying in vain to enforce a multi-year NIL contract to keep him in Madison.
*****
We’ll be back later this week with teams 12 through 7 in the rankings.
NIL
Oregon’s Dan Lanning calls for college football season to end by Jan 1 every year
By Ryan Canfield
Published December 31, 2025
Oregon head coach Dan Lanning continued to campaign for the college football season to end on Jan. 1 every year in an effort to fix multiple issues.
Lanning noted the challenges of coordinators who take head coaching jobs being forced to juggle responsibilities and said he prefers to reduce the long layoff between games. The 39-year-old has been talking about ending the college football season sooner since the summer.
“Every playoff game should be played every single weekend until you finish the season,” Lanning said during his press conference Wednesday. “Even if it means we start Week 0 or you eliminate a bye, the season ends Jan. 1. And then the portal opens. Then coaches that have to move on to their next opportunities get to move to their next opportunities.”
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Oregon Ducks head coach Dan Lanning during the fourth quarter against the James Madison Dukes at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Ore., Dec. 20, 2025. (Craig Strobeck/Imagn Images)
Lanning reiterated throughout his news conference that he thought playing in the first round allowed his team to stay in a rhythm. Last season, Oregon was the No. 1 seed and lost in its first College Football Playoff game to Ohio State.
The NFL plays games on Saturdays throughout the month of December, which Lanning disagrees with. He would rather see Saturdays remain exclusive to college football to quicken the pace of the College Football Playoff to finish the season by Jan 1.
“I’ve got a ton of respect for the NFL, but we’re a prep league for the NFL,” Lanning said. “We do a lot of favors for the NFL. We’re the minor league in a lot of ways, but there’s no money paid from the NFL to take care of college football.
NATIONAL CHAMPION COACH WANTS TRUMP ‘MORE INVOLVED’ IN NIL REGULATION: ‘OUR SPORT IS GETTING KILLED’

Oregon head coach Dan Lanning looks at the scoreboard during the first half of the first round of the NCAA College Football Playoff against James Madison Dec. 20, 2025, in Eugene, Ore. (AP Photo/Lydia Ely)
“We’ve given up some of our days to the NFL. We said, ‘Oh, you guys get to have this day, you get to have this day, you get to have this day.’ Saturday should be sacred for college football, and every Saturday through the month of December should belong to college football.”
Oregon’s offensive and defensive coordinators are both trying to navigate their dual responsibilities. Offensive coordinator Will Stein took the Kentucky job, while defensive coordinator Tosh Lupoi took the California job.
If Oregon advances beyond the quarterfinals, both coaches will be dealing with navigating the transfer portal, which opens Jan. 2, while also trying to coach the Ducks to a national championship.
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“Our national championship game this year is Jan. 19, and that’s really hard to envision as a coach that’s going out and trying to join a new program and start a staff,” Lanning said.
“It’s hard for players to understand what continuity looks like and where they’re going to be at and to manage that with visits, the portal, everything else that exists. The clear way to do that is to bump the season up and make sure these playoff games happen a lot faster.”
Oregon will take on Texas Tech in the Orange Bowl Jan. 1 at noon ET.
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NIL
Dan Shaughnessy: Is college sports broken?
It’s a huge week for big-time college sports. We’ve got bowl games every hour, with a national championship at stake. Meanwhile, NCAA basketball repeat violator John Calipari (two Final Four appearances vacated) is delivering lectures about the evils of NIL and the transfer portal. Cal, who has coached for eight NCAA and NBA teams, is shocked, shocked, that college basketball players keep transferring.
The vaunted NCAA — overseer of the once-glorious Pac-10, Big Ten, and Big East — has yielded to a Wild West of “straight cash, homie” and regionally random, power conference monopolies. The system is irreparably broken, yet more popular than ever.
God bless to folks who still love it. I understand the lure of rooting for Old State U, “boola boola” and all that. If you live in a yahoo town with no real professional sports, it’s good to have a legacy college program in your midst. This explains football mania in Columbus, Ohio, State College, Pa., Athens, Ga., and Tuscaloosa, Ala. When March Madness takes hold, it’s the same deal in Lexington, Ky., and Spokane, Wash. All of America loves a nice little 16-seed beating a 1-seed and CBS’s shining moments can make grown men weep.
I get it. I just want no part of it and am proud to work in a region in which big-time college sports don’t move the needle one little bit.
Remember when Boston College had Matt Ryan and the No. 2 football team in the nation for a couple of weeks back in 2007? Of course you don’t. Nobody knew it even then. The Red Sox had just won the World Series, the Patriots were on their way to 18-0, and the Celtics were kicking off the ubuntu championship of 2007-08.
We are a pro sports town. That’s it.
All of which brings me to recent conversations I had with a couple of former Ivy League basketball players: Harvard’s Charlie Baker and Dartmouth’s Peter Roby. They played against one another a half-century ago. Both are tall enough to eat candy off my head. Both graduated in 1979.
Most of you know Baker. He went on to become governor of Massachusetts for eight years, and today he serves as president of the NCAA, a lucrative ($3.15 million per year) yet thankless five-year gig that will take him halfway into 2028.
I told Charlie I wouldn’t take his job for all the money in the world. The NCAA is a hopeless mess and there’s simply no fixing it.
“There’s a lot about it that’s frustrating,” Baker said over lunch last week. “But I spent most of my career in healthcare and government, and those can be frustrating environments, as well. OK?“
Roby knows the college sports landscape as well as anybody. He’s a former athletic director at Northeastern and Dartmouth, was head basketball coach at Harvard, and served a five-year term on the NCAA selection committee for the men’s basketball tournament. He’s an outgoing member of the Knight Commission on Intercollegiate Athletics.
Here’s Roby’s assessment of college sports today:
“No one talks about education or personal development at the highest levels. It’s about transfer portal, NIL revenue sharing, and the need for congressional intervention. Schools continue to complain about rising costs and the need for more revenue, yet they are paying out multimillion-dollar buyouts for fired coaches and hiring coaches at $12 million per year.
“The way things are trending, the NCAA will not exist in its current form in the next few years. It will only manage sports championships. All the legal settlements have resulted in billions of dollars being paid out over the next 10 years, and that money is coming from the NCAA and member schools. This has resulted in less programs being offered to students, coaches, and administrators by the NCAA, while rendering the NCAA powerless to pass overarching legislation or enforce current rules for fear of more litigation. All of this comes as a result of the failure of presidential leadership and overreach by boards of trustees.”

Baker counters: “With all respect to Peter, I don’t think he’s being fair to the power conferences when he puts it that way. For all the talk about the power conferences and the ‘money’ that’s involved in those operations, they are huge investors in women’s sports. I just went to the women’s volleyball championships for the second year in a row. That’s going to be a rocket ship.”
What about NIL?
“In my first year the only people who were allowed to talk to student-athletes about money was everybody but the school,” said Baker. “That’s not good because the school is more likely to have a different point of view than the agents and the collectives. For me, making it possible for the schools to participate in an NIL program so at least they could talk to kids and maybe create a relationship, might help kids stick around. We’re still early in the process.”
We haven’t even gotten into issues of eligibility. Or court rulings. It’s really complicated.
Baker understands the notion that name, image, likeness has, in fact, become “wages.”
“People will call it all kinds of things, and I’m OK with that,“ he said. “Most of these schools, especially the ones that have the biggest school-based NIL programs, those programs are a huge part of these schools’ brand. To say that the Alabama football team doesn’t have a lot to do with the success of the University of Alabama is a misnomer. Same with Ohio State. Michigan. Those schools have benefited in a major way from the success of their sports teams.”
Roby’s position: “It’s time to separate those schools from schools that believe in the primacy of education and the personal development of young people. The NCAA is made up of 1,100 schools in all three divisions and the overwhelming majority of them want to educate young people and prepare them for a life of purpose and impact.
“Let’s create another division within Division 1 to allow like-minded schools to compete on a more level playing field academically, philosophically, and athletically.”
“I think to say that the power conferences don’t care about education is wrong,” argued Baker. “If you look at their graduation rates, they’ve improved dramatically in the last 15 years. I worry a lot about the transfer stuff having an impact on graduate rates, but the transfer rules we had were taken away from us in a court decision in West Virginia a couple of years ago.”
Ah yes, the courts. These days, the NCAA is in court more than the White House. And the law has been friendly to athletes, making the college sports industrial complex ever more complicated and less stable.
“Most of the student-athletes I talk to really want to be students first and want to play sports,” said Baker. “They do not want to be employees. That’s not how they want to roll. Ours is a voluntary membership organization. They can leave any time they want. But the good news is that for 100-plus years, they’ve stayed. But one of the reasons to simplify the Division 1 governing model is that I don’t want schools to leave. I want them to stay. If you leave the NCAA, you give up your chance to win a national championship.
“The thing that people don’t see that I get to see all the time is the kids. They make me glad I am in this role. They are smart, proud, accomplished. The lessons they learn playing sports about teamwork and putting your own interests aside and being able to take constructive criticism and do the grind. They’re applicable everywhere for the rest of their lives.
“I’m too much of an optimist to think anything is hopeless.”
Dan Shaughnessy is a Globe columnist. He can be reached at daniel.shaughnessy@globe.com. Follow him @dan_shaughnessy.
NIL
2025-26 College Football Playoff quarterfinal, bowl game predictions, picks, odds
There is no juggernaut. There is no team still standing that will be talked about in the decades to come.
In the absence of one, Ohio State was often treated like one, sporting a historically efficient defense, last season’s national championship rings and the No. 1 ranking for nearly the entire season. But the potentially fatal flaw has been visible since the season opener, when the Buckeyes squeaked by Texas with 14 points. It emerged again in the Big Ten title game, when Ohio State scored 10 points in the loss to Indiana.
The defending champs enter the playoff as the No. 2 seed, but with the 28th-ranked offense, having been limited to less than 20 points per game against the four toughest defenses (Texas, Washington, Michigan, Indiana) it faced, led by a first-year starter (Julian Sayin) who has struggled under pressure, and was sacked five times against the Hoosiers.
Miami’s front is built to create similar havoc — featuring All-American Rueben Bain Jr. and senior Akheem Mesidor — part of a top 10 defense that forces nearly two turnovers per game, shuts down the run and excels in the red zone. The Hurricanes (+9.5) may also struggle to score, but their College Football Playoff first-round upset at Texas A&M will be far more beneficial than the Buckeyes’ 25 days off heading into Wednesday night’s quarterfinal.
Ohio State — still the betting favorite to win the national title — has fallen short of that goal the past three times it spent the majority of the season atop the polls (1998, 2006, 2015). The Buckeyes’ three most recent national championships (2002, 2014, 2024) were all unexpected, including last season’s run as an 8-seed.
Orange Bowl: Texas Tech (+2.5) over Oregon
Texas Tech has exceeded its NIL-fueled hype, winning its first Big 12 title, while going undefeated with Behren Morton under center, as well as 12-0 against the spread with its starting quarterback healthy.
Though Dan Lanning has made the Ducks annual contenders, he has also lost the team’s biggest games every season, most often as the favorite.
Texas Tech’s top-ranked run defense will force Dante Moore to shoulder too much responsibility, having thrown for an average of 149 yards, with one touchdown and three interceptions in his two previous matchups against top 10 defenses (Indiana, Iowa), when the Ducks averaged 19 points.
Rose Bowl: Alabama (+7.5) over Indiana
It was no coincidence that each team that received a bye last year came out flat. The Hoosiers will not be immune to the effects of being off for nearly four weeks, of spending the past month as the top-ranked team in the nation, and no longer able to play the card that no one believes in them.
For once, Alabama carries that chip, in the unthinkable scenario of the most dominant program in the sport’s history playing the role of the underdog against the FBS team with the most all-time losses. The pressure is on the Hoosiers — who have won three games by five points or less — and Heisman winner Fernando Mendoza, whose stock has been inflated by a generationally poor quarterback class.
The Tide won’t lack confidence, coming off an incredible comeback at Oklahoma, and entering with more talent and depth than the nation’s top-ranked team.
Sugar Bowl: Georgia (-6.5) over Ole Miss
The Rebels wouldn’t have signed up for this rematch after surrendering the game’s final 17 points — of a season-worst 43 allowed — against the Bulldogs on Oct. 18, when Georgia controlled possession and Gunnar Stockton had his best performance of the season.
Kirby Smart’s core won’t face-plant in back-to-back playoffs, with his defense peaking — allowing an average of 7.3 points in the past four games — and Lane Kiffin’s absence certain to be felt.
ReliaQuest Bowl: Iowa (+5.5) over Vanderbilt
The Hawkeyes always have hope, suffering their four losses — all against ranked teams — by an average of less than four points. It doesn’t feel good to bet against Diego Pavia, but Iowa’s top 10 defensive ranking is well-earned, having held a pair of top 10 offenses (Indiana, Oregon) to nearly 20 points below their season averages.
Sun Bowl: Duke (-3.5) over Arizona State
The Sun Devils haven’t been the same without starting quarterback Sam Leavitt. Now, Kenny Dillingham will be without his top receiver, running back and pass rusher, as well as both starting tackles.
That is enough to tilt the field in favor of one of the ACC champs, whose opportunistic defense should give extra possessions to Darian Mensah, the nation’s fourth-leading passer.
Citrus Bowl: Michigan (+6.5) over Texas
It’s hard to know which team will show up when so many key players from each side won’t show up. Though Arch Manning will suit up — who knows for how long? — the Longhorns defense and backfield has been decimated, making the Wolverines a live dog after their upset of Alabama in the same bowl last year. New coach Kyle Whittingham will be watching. Will Sherrone Moore?
Las Vegas Bowl: Utah (-14.5) over Nebraska
The Cornhuskers will have plenty of issues putting up points without their star quarterback (Dylan Raiola) and running back (Emmett Johnson), but the defense is a bigger problem, most recently surrendering 40 points to Iowa’s 121st-ranked offense.
Utah’s longtime defensive coordinator turned head coach, Morgan Scalley, knows the path to success comes from pounding the rock. Anything under 200 yards would be a shock.
Armed Forces Bowl: Rice (+14.5) over Texas State
A game that highlights the absurdity of the bloated bowl season features an Owls (5-7) team that has no business being rewarded. But Rice — which was only invited after multiple schools declined — should demonstrate urgency, looking for its first bowl win since 2014 under first-year coach Scott Abell. The Bobcats are 0-2 against the spread this season as favorites of two touchdowns or more.
Liberty Bowl: Navy (-7.5) over Cincinnati
Since 2013, the service academies are 19-3 against the spread in bowl games, being largely shielded from opt-outs and the transfer portal.
Cincy isn’t so lucky, entering this game without standout quarterback Brendan Sorsby — who will soon collect seven figures elsewhere — and at least five other starters. Even at full strength, the Bearcats would’ve struggled to stop Navy’s top-ranked ground game, owning the nation’s 104th-ranked run defense.
Holiday Bowl: Arizona (-2.5) over SMU
The Wildcats will want it more, bouncing back from a 4-8 campaign to potentially finish this season with six straight wins, while the Mustangs — who are 0-3 in the postseason under Rhett Lashlee — may struggle to find motivation, most recently blowing their chance to make the playoff for the second straight year. Arizona hasn’t allowed more than 200 yards passing since September.
Betting on College Football?
Duke’s Mayo Bowl: Mississippi State (-3.5) over Wake Forest
The Bulldogs endured a grueling SEC gauntlet, and are far better than their record (5-7) suggests, having also gone 3-0 against the spread as a favorite. True freshman quarterback Kamario Taylor ran for 173 yards and two touchdowns in his first career start against Ole Miss, while the Demon Deacons’ inconsistent offense will be without leading-rusher Demond Claiborne.
Best bets: Georgia, Navy
This season: 116-131-1 (18-31) (entering Tuesday)
2014-24 record: 1,392-1,309-31
Why Trust New York Post Betting
Howie Kussoy has long been the New York Post’s main handicapper in college basketball (since 2011) and college football (since 2013).
NIL
James Nnaji NIL signing with Baylor basketball has Nick Saban up in arms
James Nnaji NIL signing with Baylor basketball has Nick Saban up in arms appeared first on ClutchPoints. Add ClutchPoints as a Preferred Source by clicking here.
The 2025 college basketball season has been upended by the fact that a former NBA Draft pick, James Nnaji, joined the Baylor basketball program mid-season. James Nnaji was picked 31st in the 2023 NBA Draft, and after trades, the Knicks currently own his draft rights. The Bears added Nnaji because he has never played college basketball or the NBA, but the move has sent ripples through college basketball.
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One of the biggest names in college sports and a legendary college football coach, Nick Saban, addressed the situation with Nnaji on the most recent episode of “The Pat McAfee Show.” Saban made clear that he likes that the players can make money, but he does not like the constant transferring and how muddied the eligibility rules are. He also said that he got a lot of complaints from John Calipari and Tom Izzo despite not being involved in basketball.
Saban said, “I want them to make money. I think they should make money, but there should be some restrictions on how they go about doing it, and the movement is as big an issue to me as the money itself. I mean, everybody being able to transfer at all times. I mean, that’s not a good thing.
“Now we even have a basketball player going to Baylor after he played in the NBA. I mean, you heard me say this before: you want a quarterback drafted by the New York Giants? He’s going to be playing for Penn State. What about that? How crazy it’s got. I got Calipari and Izzo blowing me up. I’m not even a basketball guy. Blowing me up about this kid.”
One massive reason Saban retired in the first place was the issues that have popped up in college football and college sports in general, related to the lack of guardrails on NIL and the excessive emphasis on the transfer portal.
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Nick Saban has also been consistently trying to fix college sports. While the NCAA said no one who plays in the NBA will be eligible, Nnaji never played in the NBA, which is a big loophole.
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NIL
Joey McGuire plays ol’ high school coach as Texas Tech faces pivotal moment vs. Oregon
FORT LAUDERDALE, Fla. – Dan Lanning made a feeble attempt to match Joey McGuire on the humility meter this week at the Orange Bowl by noting both had started out as high school coaches, but he was in over his head. Lanning once drove 13 hours to talk Todd Graham into rescuing him from his high school job. He went on to work for Mike Norvell, Nick Saban and Kirby Smart, a pretty good start on this century’s Mount Rushmore of coaches.
The coach McGuire cited this week as his mentor? Robert Woods, who hired him at Crowley. He credited Gina Farmer, athletic director much of his two decades at Cedar Hill, where he won three state titles, with teaching him to keep the kids first.
Then he slipped this in near the end of Wednesday’s final presser before the biggest football game in Texas Tech history on New Year’s Day:
“For Joey McGuire,” he said, “an ol’ high school coach, to be able to coach in this game and bring the Red Raiders in the College Football Playoff, it’s pretty cool.”
Perfect.
Now all he has to do is beat Oregon and advance to next week’s semis in Atlanta, because there’s no going back from here.
The storylines of both Tech and McGuire dovetail nicely. Both got a late start on this CFP thing. The Red Raiders filled the Big 12 vacuum left by Texas and Oklahoma and looked every part the best team in the state in the process.
Tech earned the fourth seed with a defense that gave up only 10.9 points a game. Beating BYU twice was good, too.
But let’s face it: This wasn’t the high-flying Big 12 of years past. A nice league, but it’s not the SEC or Big Ten. Or at least that’s the consensus.
Don’t get me wrong, the Red Raiders deserved their bye into the quarterfinals. But now they’ve stepped up in competition. This is their chance to prove they didn’t take advantage of a lesser league.
Beating Oregon, a Big Ten power with a considerable CFP history, would make a good case that these aren’t the same old Red Raiders in a different dress.
Right, Shiel Wood?
“Every team that’s left in the College Football Playoff,” Tech’s defensive coordinator said, “is an outstanding team with outstanding coaches and outstanding players. Oregon’s got a great outfit. It’ll be a really good, stiff test for us.
“But it’s a tremendous opportunity for our players and our university on a national stage, and we’re excited about it.”
McGuire gets it, too, in case you were wondering. He was reminded in cards, letters and emails from long-suffering Tech boosters, alumni and former players after they won their first outright conference title since 1955. They’ve been waiting a long time out on the High Plains for a moment such as this. McGuire acknowledged Wednesday that he carries that with him into the game. If that message hadn’t already been delivered by the Tech faithful, Brett Yormark, the Big 12 commissioner, hammered it home in several calls over the last few weeks.
“It’s going to mean a lot,” McGuire conceded, “but we have focused every single week on being in the moment and being where our feet are.
“This is a game that’s a huge game, but our guys know what’s at stake.”
This is where McGuire probably doesn’t get enough credit. Twenty-five million buys a nice roster these days. Twenty-two Red Raiders were voted one Big 12 award or another, but the league’s coaches voted BYU’s Kalani Sitake Coach of the Year. Not saying he didn’t deserve it, but managing Tech’s roster, one with so many new parts, not to mention amid such high expectations, is no small feat. McGuire first demonstrated that ability at Cedar Hill, and it serves him well in the NIL era.
If you ask me, the Orange Bowl comes down to how well Behren Morton plays. Tech’s defense is at least as good as Oregon’s, which gave up 34 points to James Madison. Morton isn’t a hundred percent, but he probably hasn’t been that since high school. He’s as healthy as he’s been all season. If he can move, Tech stands a good chance to win.
Beat Oregon, and Tech will go at least as far as Texas did last year; where Oklahoma hasn’t gone in five years; where Texas A&M hasn’t been in the CFP era. The Red Raiders made a statement in winning their first Big 12 title. They can make a bigger one Thursday.
Do that, and McGuire may have to retire his “ol’ high school coach” bit. No need for him or Tech to try to sandbag anyone if they get past the quarterfinals. They’d better. You can’t be the poster school for the new NIL era if you can’t prove winning pays, too.
Twitter/X: @KSherringtonDMN
Find more Texas Tech coverage from The Dallas Morning News here.
NIL
Major college football program among candidates to land $1.4 million QB
The NCAA transfer portal officially opens for college football players on Friday. The portal will be open for a two-week period ending on Jan. 16, 2026.
Multiple starting quarterbacks across college football have entered the transfer portal in the weeks following the 2025 regular season. Dylan Raiola, Rocco Becht, Drew Mestemaker, DJ Lagway and Brendan Sorsby will be among the thousands of college football players searching for new destinations in 2026.
Another significant portal entrant in the 2026 offseason is TCU quarterback Josh Hoover. He will have one season of eligibility remaining at his second college football program.
Some of the quarterbacks in the portal such as Mestemaker and Becht have clear linkages with schools out of the portal. As for quarterbacks like Hoover, the options remain more open than some.
One fascinating link to Hoover from the transfer portal is Alabama. While it may seem puzzling, Hoover was heavily recruited by Crimson Tide offensive coordinator Nick Sheridan while DeBoer was at Indiana.

Mike Golic Jr. called attention to this connection between Alabama and Hoover during a recent edition of Bleacher Report’s “College Football Show.” Golic mentioned the fluidity of Ty Simpson’s NFL draft status when using the rationale for Hoover’s linkage to Alabama.
“A bit of connective tissue: his primary contact when he was being recruited by Indiana was Nick Sheridan, who is the co-offensive coordinator for Kalen DeBoer at Alabama,” Golic said. “That’s an offense that has really been one-dimensional, so they need a quarterback that can sling it all over the yard the way we watched Hoover do it a lot of the season at TCU.”
While quarterbacks transferring from one school to another in the Power Four ranks is nothing new, it would mark a significant moment in the brief history of the NCAA transfer portal. While Alabama has won a national championship with a transfer quarterback, Jake Coker, it has not started a transfer quarterback in the portal era, which began in the 2019 offseason.
As Golic mentioned, Simpson’s decision to stay or declare for the NFL draft could impact a potential pursuit of Hoover. Alabama also has coveted prospects on its roster behind Simpson in Keelon Russell and Austin Mack.
Hoover is leaving TCU as the third all-time leading passer for the Horned Frogs with 9,629 for his career, only behind Trevone Boykin and Andy Dalton. He threw 71 touchdown passes and 33 interceptions in his career with the Horned Frogs.
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