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College Football Playoff Prediction

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College Football Playoff Prediction

With the opening weekend in the rearview mirror, the foundation has been laid for this season’s College Football Playoff. On Monday, ESPN revealed its updated CFP top 12 after a wild slate of Week 1 games.

There were no shortage of surprising outcomes this weekend. Florida State shocked No. 8 Alabama, Arch Manning and Texas came up short against Ohio State, and Miami downed reigning national runner-up Notre Dame.

ESPN took all of these outcomes and more into account while making its updated CFP projections. With 12 teams to cover, along with a bracket projection, let’s dive into ESPN’s CFP predictions.

For the first time in five seasons, LSU won its season opener, and it was a big one. On Saturday, the Tigers defeated No. 4 Clemson in convincing 17-10 fashion. While LSU’s offense was impressive, its defense stole the show.

LSU defensive coordinator Blake Baker coached his unit to perfection, holding Clemson just 261 yards of total offense. In the loss, Clemson QB Cade Klubnik connected on just 50% of his pass attempts for 230 yards. Klubnik didn’t throw a touchdown, but did toss an interception in the loss.

Ryan Day-Ohio State-Ohio State football-Buckeyes
© Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

After Ohio State both of its coordinators this offseason, there were questions around the program entering this season. The Buckeyes silenced any doubters on Saturday with its emphatic 14-7 triumph over Texas.

Once again, Ohio State’s defense was the story in the win. The Buckeyes’ suffocating defense made Texas’ typically dominant offense look lost on the field. In the end, Ohio State held Texas to 336 yards and fewer points than it scored in a single game all of last season.

Carson Beck had a down year last season at Georgia, and many analysts weren’t convinced he would regain his footing in Miami. Alas, the former All-SEC Second-Team selection looked like a Heisman candidate in the Hurricanes’ 27-24 win over No. 6 Notre Dame on Sunday.

In the triumph, Beck completed 20-of-his-31 pass attempts for 205 yards and two touchdowns, without throwing an interception. Perhaps more importantly, Miami’s defense looked much improved, with new DC Corey Hetherman calling the shots.

Penn State is one of the favorites to win the national title this season, and the team looked the part in its season-opening 46-11 win over Nevada. Every player did their part, starting with quarterback Drew Allar, who threw for 217 yards and a touchdown on a ridiculous 84.6% completion percentage.

Running backs Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen looked as good as ever too. Singleton and Allen combined for three touchdowns in the win before being sidelined. If the Nittany Lions can play to their potential, it’ll be difficult for any Big Ten team to top them this year.

Florida State QB Tommy Castellanos
© Melina Myers-Imagn Images

After an abysmal 2-10 campaign in 2024, Florida State is officially back like it never left. The Seminoles kicked off their revenge campaign with a jaw-dropping 31-17 win over Alabama on Saturday.

In the win, quarterback Thomas Castellanos backed up his previous trash talk, logging 230 total yards of offense. It was a statement performance for the Seminoles, who were ridiculed after their disappointing output last fall.

Georgia’s 45-7 win over Marshall on Saturday didn’t garner nearly as much attention as some of the other victories this weekend. Alas, fans would be foolish to overlook the Bulldogs’ complete performance.

Georgia was functioning on all cylinders in the win, but nobody outshined new QB1 Gunner Stockton. Opinions were mixed on Stockton after he took over for Georgia late in the season when Beck suffered a UCL injury. Nonetheless, Stockton looked like a viable leader on Saturday, pacing the team in rushing yards while throwing for 190 yards and two scores.

Oregon has been in the background this offseason despite being the No. 1 team in the country for the majority of last season. In fairness, Oregon is only returning five starters from last season and had a less-than-glorious exit from the CFP.

Alas, Oregon showed no signs of weakness in its 59-13 win over Montana State on Saturday. In the win, the Ducks poured on 506 yards of total offense. The team’s transfer stars took to Dan Lanning‘s system like ducks to water.

Aug 30, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Tennessee Volunteers quarterback Joey Aguilar (6) celebrates after a victory against the Syracuse Orange at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Tennessee fans are feeling much better about losing Nico Iamaleava to the transfer portal this offseason after handily defeating Syracuse 45-26 this weekend. In the win, transfer QB Joey Aguilar notched 247 passing yards and three TDs, without throwing a pick.

The Volunteers’ ground game was strong as well. Running backs Star Thomas and DeSean Bishop combined for 174 rushing yards and a touchdown. With the win, the CFP selection committee should have improved confidence in the Volunteers moving forward.

Notre Dame is the first team in ESPN’s CFP projections that didn’t win its season opener. While the Fighting Irish didn’t walk away with a win on Sunday, they didn’t lose any respect, either.

With a first-time starting quarterback leading the way, Notre Dame had Miami on the ropes. If the Fighting Irish can cut down on their turnovers moving forward and hone their strengths, they could be a legitimate contender for the national title.

Texas simply didn’t look impressive on Saturday. And yet, it only lost to the reigning national champions by a single touchdown. With an entire season to shore up their weaknesses, the Longhorns are far from out of the fight.

Namely, quarterback Arch Manning will need to step up his game. The redshirt sophomore QB struggled to find a rhythm early against the Buckeyes and threw a pivotal interception after appearing to grow desperate.

South Carolina Gamecocks quarterback LaNorris Sellers (16) wears the Old Leather Helmet after defeating the Virginia Tech Hokies at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

South Carolina has a difficult path ahead of it, but it certainly started off its season on a strong note Sunday. In the victory, quarterback LaNorris Sellers picked right up where he left off last season, logging 209 passing yards, 25 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

Additionally, wide receiver Nyck Harbor showed significant improvements from last season after opting not to run track and field this spring. Harbor was Sellers’ go-to target and finished the game with 99 yards and a touchdown.

Clemson fans didn’t walk away from the team’s 17-10 loss to LSU feeling encouraged. Yet, ESPN doesn’t believe Dabo Swinney and Co. should hang their heads just yet.

Clemson’s offense simply wasn’t up to par in the loss and has plenty of time to improve this season. The Tigers’ offensive particularly needs to improve. LSU put Clemson QB Cade Klubnik under pressure all night and made it difficult for the Heisman candidate to find a groove in the game.

ESPN’s CFP Bracket Projection

First-round byes

No. 1 LSU (SEC champ)
No. 2 Ohio State (Big Ten champ)
No. 3 Miami (ACC champ)
No. 4 Penn State

First-round games

On campus, Dec. 19 and 20

No. 12 USF (American champ) at No. 5 Florida State
No. 11 Arizona State (Big 12 champ) at No. 6 Georgia
No. 10 Texas at No. 7 Oregon
No. 9 Notre Dame at No. 8 Tennessee

Quarterfinal games

At the Goodyear Cotton Bowl, Capital One Orange Bowl, Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential and Allstate Sugar Bowl on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1.

No. 12 USF/No. 5 Florida State winner vs. No. 4 Penn State
No. 11 Arizona State/No. 6 Georgia winner vs. No. 3 Miami
No. 10 Texas/No. 7 Oregon winner vs. No. 2 Ohio State
No. 9 Notre Dame/No. 8 Tennessee winners vs. No. 1 LSU

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Nick Saban’s new role with the Nashville Predators

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NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) — Nick Saban knows his strengths with seven national championships as a college football coach. He also understands how to put coaches and athletes in the best position to succeed.

That’s what he hopes to bring to the NHL’s Nashville Predators after joining the franchise as a minority owner.

“I’m no expert in hockey, so don’t look at me like I’m going to make some huge impact coaching around here because that’s not going to happen,” Saban said Monday. “But I do have a pretty good idea of what it takes to have successful organizations.”

Saban made his first appearance Monday in his new role as a minority owner alongside Predators chairman Bill Haslam.

The Predators announced Saban’s purchase Dec. 16 through Dream Sports Ventures LLC, an entity controlled by Saban and business partner Joe Agresti. That business group features 10 car dealerships, including two in Nashville.

Haslam, a former Tennessee governor, was working on a possible WNBA expansion franchise when Saban told the Predators controlling owner that he also might be interested in hockey.

“I thought, ‘Well, that’s the greatest no brainer of all time,’” Haslam said. “You have somebody who understands building a championship culture, who understands, I think, better than almost anybody in sports the process that’s needed to get to where you can compete as a champion.”

Saban grew up in West Virginia with no hockey around. He became interested in hockey when coaching at Michigan State and became friends and shared ideas with that team’s coach. Saban called this an opportunity to be involved with a team for the first time since he announced his retirement Jan. 10, 2024.

So what will Saban bring to the NHL and the Predators in his newest role?

His experience building programs both in college football and six seasons in the NFL working for Bill Belichick in Cleveland and as head coach of Miami. A “transformational leader” as Saban put it. Once college football season ends, Saban said he will be involved as much as Haslam wants.

Saban already has spoken to coaches and some players during what he called a minicamp. Saban also has met a couple times with general manager Barry Trotz, saying his goal is to support Trotz and everyone else with the Predators.

Nashville won the Western Conference before losing the Stanley Cup Final in 2017 to Pittsburgh in six games. The Predators won the Presidents’ Trophy for the 2017-18 season but ranked 26th out of 32 NHL teams Monday five points back of the second wild-card spot in the West.

“To be a part of the hockey team here is something special, and we’d love to build it into a championship,” Saban said. “We’d love to partner with Mr. Haslam to do anything that we can do to help this organization be successful.”

___

AP NHL: https://apnews.com/hub/nhl



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Missouri linebacker Damon Wilson II accuses Georgia of illegal punishment in transfer portal lawsuit

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COLUMBIA, Mo. — Missouri pass rusher Damon Wilson II claims that the athletic department at Georgia is trying to illegally punish him for entering the transfer portal in a lawsuit filed by the linebacker in state court Tuesday in Boone County, Missouri.

Wilson transferred to the Tigers last January after signing a 14-month deal with Georgia’s booster collective to capitalize on his name, image and likeness. He received $30,000 in an initial payment on a $500,000 deal before entering the transfer portal.

Georgia filed a lawsuit last month claiming that Wilson owed its athletic department $390,000 in liquidated damages for leaving the team. Wilson’s countersuit claims that his former school is using such damages to “punish” him for his decision to leave.

Georgia spokesman Steve Drummond said the school had no comment because it involves pending litigation.

“When the University of Georgia Athletic Association enters binding agreements with student-athletes, we honor our commitments and expect student-athletes to do the same,” Drummond said upon the school’s initial lawsuit in early December.

Wilson had nine sacks and an interception this season for the Tigers. They will play Virginia in the Gator Bowl on Saturday.



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Dylan Stewart, top 2027 NFL prospect, stays with Gamecocks, lands major NIL deal

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One day after South Carolina received word that star quarterback LaNorris Sellers was staying in town, another star said he plans to return to the fold.

Dylan Stewart, the Gamecocks’ star edge rusher, announced he is returning for his true junior season in 2026, according to Pete Thamel, ESPN’s college football insider.

Stewart has 11 sacks in his two seasons at South Carolina and has forced 6 fumbles. Among ESPN’s draft projections, he appears to be a top prospect for the 2027 NFL Draft.

READ MORE | “South Carolina QB LaNorris Sellers stays put, vows stronger return for 2026 season.”

The former five-star recruit and rising SEC pass rusher chose continuity over the transfer portal, agreeing to an NIL deal that places him among the highest compensated non-quarterbacks in college football, according to ESPN’s reporting.

South Carolina’s defense is back in reliable hands, as the Gamecocks ready themselves to bounceback from a 4-8 season.

After the pitiful finish, South Carolina head coach Shane Beamer shook up his coaching staff.

South Carolina is also expected to hire Penn State defensive line coach Deion Barnes as the defensive end and outside linebacker coach.

He’s been Penn State’s defensive line coach the past three years and worked with the line there since 2020. He coached Abdul Carter, Chop Robinson and Adisa Isaac.

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READ MORE | “South Carolina to kick off 2026 football season at home against Kent State.”



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Michigan coaching search: Rece Davis advises Wolverines to keep waiting if they want Kalen DeBoer

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Until Michigan officially hires a head coach, the name Kalen DeBoer is going to be mentioned with the search. Even after DeBoer released statements saying he would stay with Alabama, rumors are out there. Folks in Ann Arbor might have been cheering for Oklahoma on Friday night to potentially speed up the process.

Instead, Alabama is heading to the Rose Bowl to face Indiana on Jan. 1. So, if DeBoer was going to be Michigan’s hire, the wait will continue. Which is exactly what ESPN’s Rece Davis believes the Wolverines should be doing in this situation.

“From Michigan’s standpoint, if that’s the guy you want, wait,” Davis said via the College GameDay Podcast. “If it takes waiting until they finish, if they were to upset Indiana, wait if that’s the guy you want. Why settle? One portal class, one recruiting class is not worth settling for a program like Michigan. Now, I understand the concept that there’s no guarantee you’re going to get him. I get that. But if you are convicted that this is your guy, wait it out. See what happens, push forward.”

If Alabama were to win in Pasadena, the next College Football Playoff date would be Jan. 8 or 9. A run to the national championship means DeBoer would not be done coaching the 2025 season until Jan. 19. But Davis mentions no singular NCAA transfer portal and/or recruiting class is as important as getting the right guy for Michigan.

When it comes down to it, Davis does not think DeBoer will leave Tuscaloosa this offseason. Those released statements were viewed as pretty telling in Davis’s eyes. And at the end of the day, DeBoer is still looking to prove to be the guy who can replace Nick Saban at Alabama.

“I do not think Kalen DeBoer will take the job,” Davis said. “Ultimately, because I don’t think he wants to be perceived as running from what he ran to. Michigan’s a great job. If he does, he does, and great for him if that’s what he decides. I don’t think he will end up doing that. Maybe he will.”

The latest update on where the Michigan coaching search came from On3’s Pete Nakos on Saturday. Nakos outlined who the top candidates are at the moment, mainly after Kenny Dillingham signed an extension to stay in Tempe with the Arizona State Sun Devils not too long ago.



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Damon Wilson ll files countersuit against UGA, claims NIL contract non-binding

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Georgia Bulldogs

Wilson’s lawsuit states that UGA’s attempt to collect the $390K lump sum was a ‘strong-arm tactic.’

Damon Wilson II played 417 defensive snaps for UGA during the 2024-25 season. He transferred to Missouri. (Jason Getz / AJC)

Damon Wilson II played 417 defensive snaps for UGA during the 2024-25 season. He transferred to Missouri. (Jason Getz / AJC)

Damon Wilson ll, who transferred from Georgia to Missouri, is suing the University of Georgia Athletic Association and the Classic City Collective claiming the term sheet he signed to remain with the program is not a legally binding agreement.

The 42-page lawsuit, acquired by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution after it was filed in the circuit court of Boone County, Mo. on Tuesday, seeks to grant Wilson relief from UGA seeking a $390,000 lump sum it claims Wilson owes by contract and hold defendants liable for “damages sufficient to compensate him for the financial and reputational harm” suffered.

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Mike Griffith

Mike is in his 10th season covering SEC and Georgia athletics for AJC-DawgNation and has 25 years of CFB experience. Mike is a Heisman Trophy voter and former Football Writers President who was named the National FWAA Beat Writer of the Year in January, 2018.



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$2.5 million QB linked to unexpected college football program

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A multitude of college football players are set to look for a new home for the 2026 college football season.

In the weeks before the NCAA transfer portal opens, quarterbacks across college football have expressed their desire to explore new destinations. These quarterbacks include DJ Lagway of Florida, Sam Leavitt of Arizona State, Josh Hoover of TCU and Brendan Sorsby of Cincinnati.

One intriguing name in the portal quarterback is former Nebraska signal caller Dylan Raiola. He will enter the transfer portal with two seasons of eligibility remaining.

Raiola is expected to command around $2.5 million in NIL compensation from whatever school he lands at.

One school that has entered the sweepstakes for Raiola is Louisville. Steve Wiltfong of On3 mentioned the possibility of Raiola joining the Cardinals in a recent edition of “Wiltfong Whiparound.”

Nebraska Cornhuskers quarterback Dylan Raiola

Nebraska Cornhuskers quarterback Dylan Raiola (15) runs off after scoring a touchdown against USC | Dylan Widger-Imagn Images

“They can be a program to keep an eye on for Dylan Raiola,” Wiltfong said.

In the three seasons Jeff Brohm has coached at his alma mater, Louisville has not started a quarterback it recruited from high school.

Former Purdue and California quarterback Jack Plummer transferred to Louisville and started for the Cardinals in 2023. The Cardinals acquired a former Oregon and Texas Tech quarterback from the portal to be their starter in 2024. Brohm brought in former USC quarterback Miller Moss to be the Cardinals’ starter in 2025.

The 6-foot-3, 230-pounder arrived at Nebraska as a freshman in 2024 as one of the highest-rated recruits in the country. Raiola started all 13 games for the Cornhuskers and set a program record for passing yards by a freshman with 2,819 yards to go along with 13 touchdown passes and 11 interceptions.

He guided Nebraska to its first bowl win since 2015 with a defeat of Boston College (20-15) in the Bad Boy Mowers Pinstripe Bowl.

A broken fibula cut Raiola’s 2025 season short after nine games in early November. He passed for 2,000 yards, 18 touchdowns and six interceptions in his abridged season with the Cornhuskers.

Nebraska (7-5, 4-5) will face No. 15 Utah (10-2, 7-2) in the SRS Distribution Las Vegas Bowl on Dec. 31 to end the season (3:30 p.m. EST, ESPN).



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