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College Football Playoff Prediction

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College Football Playoff Prediction

With the opening weekend in the rearview mirror, the foundation has been laid for this season’s College Football Playoff. On Monday, ESPN revealed its updated CFP top 12 after a wild slate of Week 1 games.

There were no shortage of surprising outcomes this weekend. Florida State shocked No. 8 Alabama, Arch Manning and Texas came up short against Ohio State, and Miami downed reigning national runner-up Notre Dame.

ESPN took all of these outcomes and more into account while making its updated CFP projections. With 12 teams to cover, along with a bracket projection, let’s dive into ESPN’s CFP predictions.

For the first time in five seasons, LSU won its season opener, and it was a big one. On Saturday, the Tigers defeated No. 4 Clemson in convincing 17-10 fashion. While LSU’s offense was impressive, its defense stole the show.

LSU defensive coordinator Blake Baker coached his unit to perfection, holding Clemson just 261 yards of total offense. In the loss, Clemson QB Cade Klubnik connected on just 50% of his pass attempts for 230 yards. Klubnik didn’t throw a touchdown, but did toss an interception in the loss.

Ryan Day-Ohio State-Ohio State football-Buckeyes
© Adam Cairns/Columbus Dispatch / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

After Ohio State both of its coordinators this offseason, there were questions around the program entering this season. The Buckeyes silenced any doubters on Saturday with its emphatic 14-7 triumph over Texas.

Once again, Ohio State’s defense was the story in the win. The Buckeyes’ suffocating defense made Texas’ typically dominant offense look lost on the field. In the end, Ohio State held Texas to 336 yards and fewer points than it scored in a single game all of last season.

Carson Beck had a down year last season at Georgia, and many analysts weren’t convinced he would regain his footing in Miami. Alas, the former All-SEC Second-Team selection looked like a Heisman candidate in the Hurricanes’ 27-24 win over No. 6 Notre Dame on Sunday.

In the triumph, Beck completed 20-of-his-31 pass attempts for 205 yards and two touchdowns, without throwing an interception. Perhaps more importantly, Miami’s defense looked much improved, with new DC Corey Hetherman calling the shots.

Penn State is one of the favorites to win the national title this season, and the team looked the part in its season-opening 46-11 win over Nevada. Every player did their part, starting with quarterback Drew Allar, who threw for 217 yards and a touchdown on a ridiculous 84.6% completion percentage.

Running backs Nick Singleton and Kaytron Allen looked as good as ever too. Singleton and Allen combined for three touchdowns in the win before being sidelined. If the Nittany Lions can play to their potential, it’ll be difficult for any Big Ten team to top them this year.

Florida State QB Tommy Castellanos
© Melina Myers-Imagn Images

After an abysmal 2-10 campaign in 2024, Florida State is officially back like it never left. The Seminoles kicked off their revenge campaign with a jaw-dropping 31-17 win over Alabama on Saturday.

In the win, quarterback Thomas Castellanos backed up his previous trash talk, logging 230 total yards of offense. It was a statement performance for the Seminoles, who were ridiculed after their disappointing output last fall.

Georgia’s 45-7 win over Marshall on Saturday didn’t garner nearly as much attention as some of the other victories this weekend. Alas, fans would be foolish to overlook the Bulldogs’ complete performance.

Georgia was functioning on all cylinders in the win, but nobody outshined new QB1 Gunner Stockton. Opinions were mixed on Stockton after he took over for Georgia late in the season when Beck suffered a UCL injury. Nonetheless, Stockton looked like a viable leader on Saturday, pacing the team in rushing yards while throwing for 190 yards and two scores.

Oregon has been in the background this offseason despite being the No. 1 team in the country for the majority of last season. In fairness, Oregon is only returning five starters from last season and had a less-than-glorious exit from the CFP.

Alas, Oregon showed no signs of weakness in its 59-13 win over Montana State on Saturday. In the win, the Ducks poured on 506 yards of total offense. The team’s transfer stars took to Dan Lanning‘s system like ducks to water.

Aug 30, 2025; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Tennessee Volunteers quarterback Joey Aguilar (6) celebrates after a victory against the Syracuse Orange at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-Imagn Images
Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Tennessee fans are feeling much better about losing Nico Iamaleava to the transfer portal this offseason after handily defeating Syracuse 45-26 this weekend. In the win, transfer QB Joey Aguilar notched 247 passing yards and three TDs, without throwing a pick.

The Volunteers’ ground game was strong as well. Running backs Star Thomas and DeSean Bishop combined for 174 rushing yards and a touchdown. With the win, the CFP selection committee should have improved confidence in the Volunteers moving forward.

Notre Dame is the first team in ESPN’s CFP projections that didn’t win its season opener. While the Fighting Irish didn’t walk away with a win on Sunday, they didn’t lose any respect, either.

With a first-time starting quarterback leading the way, Notre Dame had Miami on the ropes. If the Fighting Irish can cut down on their turnovers moving forward and hone their strengths, they could be a legitimate contender for the national title.

Texas simply didn’t look impressive on Saturday. And yet, it only lost to the reigning national champions by a single touchdown. With an entire season to shore up their weaknesses, the Longhorns are far from out of the fight.

Namely, quarterback Arch Manning will need to step up his game. The redshirt sophomore QB struggled to find a rhythm early against the Buckeyes and threw a pivotal interception after appearing to grow desperate.

South Carolina Gamecocks quarterback LaNorris Sellers (16) wears the Old Leather Helmet after defeating the Virginia Tech Hokies at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-Imagn Images
Dale Zanine-Imagn Images

South Carolina has a difficult path ahead of it, but it certainly started off its season on a strong note Sunday. In the victory, quarterback LaNorris Sellers picked right up where he left off last season, logging 209 passing yards, 25 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

Additionally, wide receiver Nyck Harbor showed significant improvements from last season after opting not to run track and field this spring. Harbor was Sellers’ go-to target and finished the game with 99 yards and a touchdown.

Clemson fans didn’t walk away from the team’s 17-10 loss to LSU feeling encouraged. Yet, ESPN doesn’t believe Dabo Swinney and Co. should hang their heads just yet.

Clemson’s offense simply wasn’t up to par in the loss and has plenty of time to improve this season. The Tigers’ offensive particularly needs to improve. LSU put Clemson QB Cade Klubnik under pressure all night and made it difficult for the Heisman candidate to find a groove in the game.

ESPN’s CFP Bracket Projection

First-round byes

No. 1 LSU (SEC champ)
No. 2 Ohio State (Big Ten champ)
No. 3 Miami (ACC champ)
No. 4 Penn State

First-round games

On campus, Dec. 19 and 20

No. 12 USF (American champ) at No. 5 Florida State
No. 11 Arizona State (Big 12 champ) at No. 6 Georgia
No. 10 Texas at No. 7 Oregon
No. 9 Notre Dame at No. 8 Tennessee

Quarterfinal games

At the Goodyear Cotton Bowl, Capital One Orange Bowl, Rose Bowl Presented by Prudential and Allstate Sugar Bowl on Dec. 31 and Jan. 1.

No. 12 USF/No. 5 Florida State winner vs. No. 4 Penn State
No. 11 Arizona State/No. 6 Georgia winner vs. No. 3 Miami
No. 10 Texas/No. 7 Oregon winner vs. No. 2 Ohio State
No. 9 Notre Dame/No. 8 Tennessee winners vs. No. 1 LSU

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Joel Klatt reveals his take on Kyle Whittingham hire by Michigan

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FOX analyst Joel Klatt admitted the hiring of Kyle Whittingham by Michigan caught even the most plugged-in voices in college football by surprise. Still, he believes it may ultimately prove to be a program-defining move.

Speaking on The Joel Klatt Show, Klatt described the hire as both unexpected and masterful. He credited Michigan athletic director Warde Manuel for keeping the process quiet during a turbulent stretch for the program.

“This was massive, and I got to tell you, a little bit out of left field,” Klatt said. “I had not heard his name. It was very quiet. It was below the surface. Give Warde Manuel a lot of credit on this one.”

Alas, Michigan moved quickly after firing Sherrone Moore earlier this month following an investigation into an inappropriate relationship with a staff member. In Whittingham, the Wolverines landed one of the most respected and stable figures in the sport after a coaching search that came with significant challenges.

Klatt made it clear his enthusiasm for the hire goes beyond Whittingham’s on-field résumé: “I love this hire not just because I’m very fond of Kyle Whittingham and his style of coaching,” Klatt added. “But because of what Michigan was facing in this entire ordeal. There were many challenges.”

Moreover, Whittingham spent 22 seasons at Utah, becoming one of the longest-tenured head coaches in college football. Many assumed his resignation signaled retirement, but instead, he opted for a new challenge in Ann Arbor. Now, he’ll be stepping into a program just two years removed from a national championship in 2023.

Continuing, Klatt repeatedly emphasized Whittingham’s integrity and player-first approach, offering perhaps the highest praise a coach can receive: “My highest compliment that I can ever repay is that I would love my sons, if they ever played college football, to go play for Kyle Whittingham,” Klatt explained. “He’s a winner. He’s going to go to the Hall of Fame.”

At Utah, Whittingham compiled a 177–88 record, won two Pac-12 championships, posted eight double-digit win seasons and famously went 13–0 in 2008, capped by a Sugar Bowl victory over Alabama. His teams were defined by physicality, discipline and consistency. Those are traits Michigan is eager to restore.

Now, with Big Ten resources, elite recruiting infrastructure and a roster still stocked with high-level talent, Whittingham views Michigan as more than a late-career stop: “He looks at this as an opportunity to actually go out there and compete for a national championship,” Klatt concluded.

After weeks of uncertainty, Michigan found exactly what it needed, hiring a proven winner, a steady hand and a coach capable of restoring trust. All while keeping the Wolverines firmly in the national title conversation.



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FSU football announces new operations model, hires John Garrett as Deputy Athletics Director and General Manager of Player Personnel

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Florida State University Vice President and Director of Athletics Michael Alford announced the hiring of John Garrett as Deputy Athletics Director and General Manager of Player Personnel, a newly created position that will oversee all football roster construction, player evaluation, recruiting operations, and NIL integration. Garrett joins Florida State from Duke University, where he served as General Manager of Player Personnel.

Garrett will report directly to Alford and work in close partnership with head football coach Mike Norvell, aligning Florida State’s football program with an NFL-style operational model designed to maximize competitive success in the evolving college football landscape.

Garrett brings extensive experience across college football operations, player personnel, and strategic planning. He spent the last two seasons at Duke, where he helped build rosters that won 17 games and the 2025 ACC championship. He played a key role in roster management, recruiting coordination, and the integration of analytics and evaluation processes into football decision-making.

“This is a transformational step for Florida State Football,” Alford said. “The college game has fundamentally changed, and elite programs must operate with the same discipline, structure, and clarity of roles as professional organizations. John Garrett brings a proven background in roster management, player evaluation, and operational leadership that will allow our coaches to focus on coaching while ensuring we are building our roster in a smart, sustainable, and competitive way.”

Prior to his stint at Duke, Garrett played a pivotal role in FSU’s return to prominence while serving as director of scouting for offense during the 2022 and 2023 seasons at a critical moment when roster building in college football was rapidly changing. He helped bring an NFL-style evaluation approach to FSU, focusing on disciplined film study, transfer-portal assessment, and roster analysis to support smarter personnel decisions. During his first stint at FSU, the Seminoles posted a 23-4 overall record, including a perfect 13-0 regular season in 2023 that culminated in the program’s first ACC championship since 2014.

Garrett’s work emphasized identifying players who could contribute immediately, understanding positional needs and depth, and reducing risk in an increasingly competitive NIL and portal environment. Garrett’s role strengthened how the program evaluated talent and laid important groundwork for the front-office model now used across major college football programs.

Garrett was the head coach at Lafayette College from 2017-21 and also has collegiate coaching experience as the offensive coordinator at Oregon State and Richmond and wide receivers coach at Virginia. He has 18 years of experience in the NFL, spending six seasons with the Dallas Cowboys, including his last two seasons as passing game coordinator, as well as with the Cincinnati Bengals, Arizona Cardinals and Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Garrett earned his bachelor’s degree in history from Princeton in 1988. He and his wife, Honor, have four children, John Jr., Honor, Olivia and Caroline. His brother, Jason, was head coach of the Dallas Cowboys from 2010-19, and their father, Jim, spent 38 years in the NFL as a scout and assistant coach.

FSU’s New Football Operations Model

Under the new structure, Florida State Football will operate with a clear division of responsibilities between on-field coaching and off-field football operations:

• The Deputy AD/GM of Player Personnel will lead all aspects of roster construction alongside Coach Norvell, including high school recruiting strategy, transfer portal acquisition and retention, scholarship allocation, and long-term personnel planning.

• The Head Coach and coaching staff will maintain full authority over player development, game preparation, culture, and on-field performance.

• Football NIL, player evaluation, and recruiting analytics will be centralized and integrated into a single operational framework to ensure alignment, compliance, and competitive efficiency.

“John and I share a vision for building a championship program in today’s collegiate athletics structure,” Norvell said. “He was a valuable part of our staff when he was here previously, and I’m excited he will be leading this restructuring of our player personnel efforts. This new model shows our investment and will make us more efficient while enhancing player development, scouting and retention in a collaborative environment.”

Garrett is widely respected for his ability to balance competitive ambition with long-term program health.

“I am excited to return to Florida State University and to work closely with Michael Alford, Coach Norvell and the rest of the Florida State football staff,” Garrett said. “We will lead a collaborative effort to build a football team with the right kind of student-athletes that will consistently compete for championships. We will build a team that will make everyone associated with Florida State University proud to be a Seminole. Go Noles!”

The enhancement of the Deputy AD/GM of Player Personnel role and the restructuring of football operations reflect Florida State’s commitment to adapting proactively to ongoing changes in college athletics, including NIL, the transfer portal, and the increasing complexity of roster management.

“This is about putting Florida State Football in position to win, now and in the future,” Alford said. “We are investing in people, processes, and structure that give our student-athletes and coaches every opportunity to succeed.”



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$2.3 million college football QB heavily linked to struggling NFL team

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The 2026 NFL draft officially opens on April 23 in the shadows of Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.

A prominent discussion around the draft is about the organizations in need of quarterbacks and which quarterbacks are expected to be selected in the first round.

Drafts like 2018 and 2021 have featured five quarterback selections in the first round. The 2022 NFL draft only featured one quarterback (Kenny Pickett) in its first round.

The 2026 NFL draft figures to split the difference. While there are franchises that need new quarterbacks, the number is limited to the ones drafting at the very top of the first round.

As for the quarterbacks who will be selected in the first round, Fernando Mendoza of Indiana and Dante Moore of Oregon are the two who have been connected with the very top of the order. Ty Simpson of Alabama has also been floated as a first-round choice, but his position is less well-known than Mendoza and Moore.

The Athletic compiled a projection of how each NFL team missing the playoffs is expected to approach the draft. The projection linked Moore with the Las Vegas Raiders.

Dante Moore throws a pass against Washington.

Oregon quarterback Dante Moore throws a pass as the Oregon Ducks take on the Washington Huskies | Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Currently, the Raiders hold the worst record in the NFL at 2-14, putting them in line for the No. 1 overall pick. However, one week remains in the 2025 NFL regular season, and with a handful of teams at 3-13, the draft order can change if the Raiders win their regular-season finale.

Unless the season has produced one of the worst records in the league, a starting quarterback is not a position NFL teams look to draft in the first round.

The last multi-year starting quarterback the Raiders drafted was Derek Carr in the 2014 NFL draft, but that was in the second round. JaMarcus Russell is the last quarterback the Raiders selected in the first round, all the way back in 2007. Before Russell, the last quarterback the Raiders drafted in the first round was Todd Marinovich in 1991.

While the trend of the Raiders drafting first-round quarterbacks is few and far between, Oregon is no stranger to having its quarterbacks selected in the first rounds of NFL drafts. Dating back to 2015, Marcus Mariota, Justin Herbert and Bo Nix have all been selected by NFL franchises in the first round of the NFL draft.

Moore began his college football journey at UCLA in 2023. He played nine games for the Bruins and passed for 1,610 yards, 11 touchdowns and nine interceptions.

When Chip Kelly left UCLA to become Ohio State’s offensive coordinator that offseason, he transferred to Oregon.

After redshirting in 2024, he became the Ducks’ starter in 2025. Ahead of the College Football Playoff quarterfinals, Moore has thrown for 3,046 yards, 28 touchdowns and eight interceptions while rushing for 196 yards and two touchdowns.



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Inside Joey McGuire’s calculated program build

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One of the 2025 college football season’s major storylines has been Texas Tech‘s rise to the upper tier. The West Texas program made headlines throughout the year, positioning itself as a power player in the NIL and revenue‑sharing world. The Red Raiders dominated Big 12 play and earned a first‑round bye in the College Football Playoff.

When the Red Raiders take the field on New Year’s Day in the Orange Bowl against Oregon, an experiment four years in the making will play out on the big stage. There has been plenty written this year about Texas Tech’s “Maverick” super donor Cody Campbell, its swashbuckling general manager James Blanchard and fiery head coach Joey McGuire, along with a roster filled with high‑priced talent.

How did the Red Raiders get here?

It has been an intentional build since McGuire was hired Nov. 8, 2021, to save a program that was floundering in West Texas. Having resources is one thing, but executing the plan is another. The current Texas Tech team is an intricate puzzle put together over the span of a presidential term, and every piece matters.



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Oregon’s Dan Lanning calls for college football season to end by Jan 1 every year

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By Ryan Canfield

Published December 31, 2025

Oregon head coach Dan Lanning continued to campaign for the college football season to end on Jan. 1 every year in an effort to fix multiple issues. 

Lanning noted the challenges of coordinators who take head coaching jobs being forced to juggle responsibilities and said he prefers to reduce the long layoff between games. The 39-year-old has been talking about ending the college football season sooner since the summer. 

“Every playoff game should be played every single weekend until you finish the season,” Lanning said during his press conference Wednesday. “Even if it means we start Week 0 or you eliminate a bye, the season ends Jan. 1. And then the portal opens. Then coaches that have to move on to their next opportunities get to move to their next opportunities.”

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Dan Lanning looks on

Oregon Ducks head coach Dan Lanning during the fourth quarter against the James Madison Dukes at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Ore., Dec. 20, 2025. (Craig Strobeck/Imagn Images)

Lanning reiterated throughout his news conference that he thought playing in the first round allowed his team to stay in a rhythm. Last season, Oregon was the No. 1 seed and lost in its first College Football Playoff game to Ohio State.

The NFL plays games on Saturdays throughout the month of December, which Lanning disagrees with. He would rather see Saturdays remain exclusive to college football to quicken the pace of the College Football Playoff to finish the season by Jan 1. 

“I’ve got a ton of respect for the NFL, but we’re a prep league for the NFL,” Lanning said. “We do a lot of favors for the NFL. We’re the minor league in a lot of ways, but there’s no money paid from the NFL to take care of college football.

NATIONAL CHAMPION COACH WANTS TRUMP ‘MORE INVOLVED’ IN NIL REGULATION: ‘OUR SPORT IS GETTING KILLED’ 

Dan Lanning looks at the scoreboard

Oregon head coach Dan Lanning looks at the scoreboard during the first half of the first round of the NCAA College Football Playoff against James Madison Dec. 20, 2025, in Eugene, Ore. (AP Photo/Lydia Ely)

“We’ve given up some of our days to the NFL. We said, ‘Oh, you guys get to have this day, you get to have this day, you get to have this day.’ Saturday should be sacred for college football, and every Saturday through the month of December should belong to college football.”

Oregon’s offensive and defensive coordinators are both trying to navigate their dual responsibilities. Offensive coordinator Will Stein took the Kentucky job, while defensive coordinator Tosh Lupoi took the California job. 

If Oregon advances beyond the quarterfinals, both coaches will be dealing with navigating the transfer portal, which opens Jan. 2, while also trying to coach the Ducks to a national championship. 

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“Our national championship game this year is Jan. 19, and that’s really hard to envision as a coach that’s going out and trying to join a new program and start a staff,” Lanning said. 

“It’s hard for players to understand what continuity looks like and where they’re going to be at and to manage that with visits, the portal, everything else that exists. The clear way to do that is to bump the season up and make sure these playoff games happen a lot faster.”

Oregon will take on Texas Tech in the Orange Bowl Jan. 1 at noon ET. 

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Ryan Canfield is a digital production assistant for Fox News Digital.

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Dan Shaughnessy: Is college sports broken?

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It’s a huge week for big-time college sports. We’ve got bowl games every hour, with a national championship at stake. Meanwhile, NCAA basketball repeat violator John Calipari (two Final Four appearances vacated) is delivering lectures about the evils of NIL and the transfer portal. Cal, who has coached for eight NCAA and NBA teams, is shocked, shocked, that college basketball players keep transferring.

The vaunted NCAA — overseer of the once-glorious Pac-10, Big Ten, and Big East — has yielded to a Wild West of “straight cash, homie” and regionally random, power conference monopolies. The system is irreparably broken, yet more popular than ever.

God bless to folks who still love it. I understand the lure of rooting for Old State U, “boola boola” and all that. If you live in a yahoo town with no real professional sports, it’s good to have a legacy college program in your midst. This explains football mania in Columbus, Ohio, State College, Pa., Athens, Ga., and Tuscaloosa, Ala. When March Madness takes hold, it’s the same deal in Lexington, Ky., and Spokane, Wash. All of America loves a nice little 16-seed beating a 1-seed and CBS’s shining moments can make grown men weep.

I get it. I just want no part of it and am proud to work in a region in which big-time college sports don’t move the needle one little bit.

Remember when Boston College had Matt Ryan and the No. 2 football team in the nation for a couple of weeks back in 2007? Of course you don’t. Nobody knew it even then. The Red Sox had just won the World Series, the Patriots were on their way to 18-0, and the Celtics were kicking off the ubuntu championship of 2007-08.

We are a pro sports town. That’s it.

All of which brings me to recent conversations I had with a couple of former Ivy League basketball players: Harvard’s Charlie Baker and Dartmouth’s Peter Roby. They played against one another a half-century ago. Both are tall enough to eat candy off my head. Both graduated in 1979.

Most of you know Baker. He went on to become governor of Massachusetts for eight years, and today he serves as president of the NCAA, a lucrative ($3.15 million per year) yet thankless five-year gig that will take him halfway into 2028.

I told Charlie I wouldn’t take his job for all the money in the world. The NCAA is a hopeless mess and there’s simply no fixing it.

“There’s a lot about it that’s frustrating,” Baker said over lunch last week. “But I spent most of my career in healthcare and government, and those can be frustrating environments, as well. OK?“

Roby knows the college sports landscape as well as anybody. He’s a former athletic director at Northeastern and Dartmouth, was head basketball coach at Harvard, and served a five-year term on the NCAA selection committee for the men’s basketball tournament. He’s an outgoing member of the Knight Commission on Intercollegiate Athletics.

Here’s Roby’s assessment of college sports today:

“No one talks about education or personal development at the highest levels. It’s about transfer portal, NIL revenue sharing, and the need for congressional intervention. Schools continue to complain about rising costs and the need for more revenue, yet they are paying out multimillion-dollar buyouts for fired coaches and hiring coaches at $12 million per year.

“The way things are trending, the NCAA will not exist in its current form in the next few years. It will only manage sports championships. All the legal settlements have resulted in billions of dollars being paid out over the next 10 years, and that money is coming from the NCAA and member schools. This has resulted in less programs being offered to students, coaches, and administrators by the NCAA, while rendering the NCAA powerless to pass overarching legislation or enforce current rules for fear of more litigation. All of this comes as a result of the failure of presidential leadership and overreach by boards of trustees.”

Peter Roby is an outgoing member of the Knight Commission on Intercollegiate Athletics.Jon Chase photo

Baker counters: “With all respect to Peter, I don’t think he’s being fair to the power conferences when he puts it that way. For all the talk about the power conferences and the ‘money’ that’s involved in those operations, they are huge investors in women’s sports. I just went to the women’s volleyball championships for the second year in a row. That’s going to be a rocket ship.”

What about NIL?

“In my first year the only people who were allowed to talk to student-athletes about money was everybody but the school,” said Baker. “That’s not good because the school is more likely to have a different point of view than the agents and the collectives. For me, making it possible for the schools to participate in an NIL program so at least they could talk to kids and maybe create a relationship, might help kids stick around. We’re still early in the process.”

We haven’t even gotten into issues of eligibility. Or court rulings. It’s really complicated.

Baker understands the notion that name, image, likeness has, in fact, become “wages.”

“People will call it all kinds of things, and I’m OK with that,“ he said. “Most of these schools, especially the ones that have the biggest school-based NIL programs, those programs are a huge part of these schools’ brand. To say that the Alabama football team doesn’t have a lot to do with the success of the University of Alabama is a misnomer. Same with Ohio State. Michigan. Those schools have benefited in a major way from the success of their sports teams.”

Roby’s position: “It’s time to separate those schools from schools that believe in the primacy of education and the personal development of young people. The NCAA is made up of 1,100 schools in all three divisions and the overwhelming majority of them want to educate young people and prepare them for a life of purpose and impact.

“Let’s create another division within Division 1 to allow like-minded schools to compete on a more level playing field academically, philosophically, and athletically.”

“I think to say that the power conferences don’t care about education is wrong,” argued Baker. “If you look at their graduation rates, they’ve improved dramatically in the last 15 years. I worry a lot about the transfer stuff having an impact on graduate rates, but the transfer rules we had were taken away from us in a court decision in West Virginia a couple of years ago.”

Ah yes, the courts. These days, the NCAA is in court more than the White House. And the law has been friendly to athletes, making the college sports industrial complex ever more complicated and less stable.

“Most of the student-athletes I talk to really want to be students first and want to play sports,” said Baker. “They do not want to be employees. That’s not how they want to roll. Ours is a voluntary membership organization. They can leave any time they want. But the good news is that for 100-plus years, they’ve stayed. But one of the reasons to simplify the Division 1 governing model is that I don’t want schools to leave. I want them to stay. If you leave the NCAA, you give up your chance to win a national championship.

“The thing that people don’t see that I get to see all the time is the kids. They make me glad I am in this role. They are smart, proud, accomplished. The lessons they learn playing sports about teamwork and putting your own interests aside and being able to take constructive criticism and do the grind. They’re applicable everywhere for the rest of their lives.

“I’m too much of an optimist to think anything is hopeless.”


Dan Shaughnessy is a Globe columnist. He can be reached at daniel.shaughnessy@globe.com. Follow him @dan_shaughnessy.





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West Fargo volleyball coach Kelsey Titus resigns after four seasons – InForum

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