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Field of 64 Projections: Chaotic week shifts NCAA Tournament picture, strengthens bubble

We are down to the final stretch of the regular season in college baseball. Just two weeks remain now, and this past week was chaotic, leading to a shift in the NCAA Tournament picture. The bubble has strengthened in this week’s Field of 64, and there are plenty of changes throughout the field. On the […]

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We are down to the final stretch of the regular season in college baseball. Just two weeks remain now, and this past week was chaotic, leading to a shift in the NCAA Tournament picture. The bubble has strengthened in this week’s Field of 64, and there are plenty of changes throughout the field.

On the hosting line, we have one new team as a top 16 overall seed. Further, among the 16 regional hosts, we have three teams that were outside the top eight last week now in a position to host a super regional.

Unsurprisingly, the SEC leads the way in terms of bids, with 14 in this week’s Field of 64. Other conferences with multiple bids are the ACC (9), Big 12 (7), Big Ten (5), Sun Belt (3) and Big West (2). Hosting-wise, the SEC makes up 7 of the top 16 seeds. They are followed by the ACC (3), Big 12 (1), Big Ten (1), Big West (1), Conference USA (1), and Sun Belt (1).

The full NCAA Tournament field will be announced on Monday, May 26. Before then, we have two more pivotal weeks in the regular season and then conference tournaments.

Field of 64 Projections: Bubble Watch

Last Four In: Cincinnati, Michigan, Kentucky, Kansas State
First Four Out: Western Kentucky, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech, Xavier
Next Four Out: Southeastern Louisiana, Kennesaw State, Virginia, Florida Atlantic

The bubble looks quite a bit different this week. Cincinnati and Michigan both slide up onto the right side of it, while Kansas State remains as the final team in. Kentucky also slides down to one of the last teams in after being swept by Mississippi State. The Wildcats (both Kentucky and Kansas State) are in serious danger, and a strengthening bubble will only make it tougher.

Western Kentucky gets squeezed out this week, but remains firmly in contention. They’d benefit from help around them, as would Xavier. As for Notre Dame and Virginia Tech, they are trending in different directions. Notre Dame has played their way onto the bubble, and is within striking distance. Virginia Tech is playing their way out of the tournament, and might not have enough to stay in the mix right now.

Southeastern Louisiana, Kennesaw State and FAU are right on the verge of the bubble, and their RPI is close to being in range. Virginia is a bit behind due to RPI right now, but a strong finish could force them back in.

* denotes automatic qualifier for conference champions

Austin Regional

Ethan Mendoza
Ethan Mendoza (Sara Diggins/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images)

1. Texas (1)*
2. UTSA*
3. Iowa
4. Bethune-Cookman*

Even after being swept by Arkansas over the weekend, Texas holds onto the top overall seed this week. The Longhorns are still No. 2 in RPI, 38-8 overall and hold a two-game lead in the SEC at 19-5. It would take another bad week for them to fall out of the top spot. UTSA is a sneaky 2-seed as well, and if their RPI holds where it is, could have an outside chance at hosting themselves.

Irvine Regional

1. UC Irvine (16)*
2. Oregon
3. Arizona State
4. New Mexico*

UC Irvine suffered a setback over the weekend, dropping two out of three against UC San Diego. The Anteaters are 34-11, 20-4 in Big West play and No. 18 in RPI, but have zero margin for error left. With series remaining at Cal State Bakersfield (RPI 256) and vs. Cal State Fullerton (RPI 138), any further setback will knock UC Irvine out of the hosting race. A team that’s right on their heels to host is Oregon, who finishes just short of the top 16 seeds in this week’s Field of 64.

Athens Regional

1. Georgia (2)
2. Georgia Tech
3. Fairfield*
4. Long Island*

For the second week in a row, Georgia comes in as our No. 2 overall seed behind Texas. The Bulldogs are 39-11 overall, 15-9 in SEC play and No. 1 in RPI. If Texas stumbles again, Georgia is right on their heels for the top overall seed. For now, though, they fall just behind but are feeling extremely secure as a top eight seed.

Dallas Regional

1. Dallas Baptist (15)*
2. Alabama
3. Kansas
4. Tennessee Tech*

Dallas Baptist has played great baseball down the stretch, and are firmly in the mix to host a regional. This week, they come in as the No. 15 seed in our Field of 64, thanks to a 33-13 overall record, including 16-5 in Conference USA play. The Patriots are also No. 19 in RPI, in range to host. Alabama could also still figure into the hosting mix, and are currently No. 13 in RPI. They’ll need to finish strong, which won’t be easy against Georgia and at Florida.

Tallahassee Regional

jamie-arnold-florida-state
Florida State sophomore left-hander Jamie Arnold. (Gene Williams/Warchant)

1. Florida State (3)*
2. Florida
3. UConn
4. Bryant*

Florida State took the series over Clemson over the weekend, improving to 33-10 overall, 14-7 in the ACC and No. 6 in RPI. The Seminoles are feeling good at this point about hosting as a top eight seed, although the final weekend of the season against UNC could determine which ACC team is the highest seed. Florida has surged back onto the 2-line, up to 33-16, 11-13 in the SEC and No. 15 in RPI.

Knoxville Regional

1. Tennessee (14)
2. TCU
3. Michigan
4. Columbia*

All of a sudden, Tennessee is in serious danger of falling out of the hosting picture, though they hold on in this week’s Field of 64. The Vols have lost three straight series and four of their last five weekends, now at 37-11 overall, 14-10 in the SEC and No. 14 in RPI. If that trend continues in the final two weeks against Vanderbilt and at Arkansas, Tennessee could very well end up on the 2-line. TCU is still in contention to host as well, and could benefit by a team like Tennessee dropping.

Fayetteville Regional

1. Arkansas (4)
2. Louisville
3. UTRGV*
4. Holy Cross*

Although they entered last week having lost three straight series, Arkansas bounced back in a big way with a series sweep against top-ranked and top-seeded Texas. The Razorbacks are up to 40-9 overall, 17-7 in the SEC and No. 5 in RPI, and are back to feeling pretty strong as a top eight host. They finish at LSU and vs. Tennessee, though, so they haven’t secured a top eight seed up just yet, though it’d be surprising if they don’t host.

Corvallis Regional

1. Oregon State (13)
2. Arizona
3. Kentucky
4. San Diego*

Oregon State has been on a bit of a rollercoaster as of late, entering Monday having lost five of their last seven games. Still, the Beavers are 34-12 on the season and No. 10 in RPI, feeling pretty good as a regional host. With series remaining against Iowa (RPI 66) and Long Beach State (RPI 181), things could get dicey if they keep stumbling. Arizona is another team that’s playing into the hosting race, if they can keep their RPI (currently No. 23) in range.

Auburn Regional

Auburn catcher Ike Irish
© Cyndi Chambers / USA TODAY NETWORK

1. Auburn (5)
2. Miami
3. Northeastern*
4. Oral Roberts*

Auburn continues to trend upwards, now 33-15 overall, 13-11 in the SEC and No. 4 in RPI after taking the series at Tennessee over the weekend. They’re currently a hosting lock and feeling secure as a top eight, though things could still change. They get a red-hot Miami team in this regional, and while the Hurricanes are a bit behind the hosting race, they could sneak into the conversation if they wint he ACC regular season.

Los Angeles Regional

1. UCLA (12)*
2. Cal Poly
3. Mississippi State
4. Sacramento State*

UCLA enters the week trailing Iowa by 2.5 games in the Big Ten standings, but with a legitimate chance to catch them. The Bruins, even without the Big Ten title, feel pretty safe as a host at this point. UCLA is 34-13 overall and 17-7 in the Big Ten with RPI sitting at No. 11, but currently only have a 3-7 Q1 record, which could be their biggest limiting factor in the hosting race.

Chapel Hill Regional

1. North Carolina (6)
2. Ole Miss
3. ETSU*
4. George Mason*

North Carolina was off over the weekend, and currently sit 35-10 overall, 15-9 in the ACC and No. 9 in RPI. While they move down a couple spots in this week’s FIeld of 64, the Tar Heels are in a good spot to host and currently feel good as a top eight seed. They are greeted by Ole Miss, who have lost three out of their last four series but still are in the hosting mix thanks to their No. 17 RPI, being 33-15 overall and 13-11 in the SEC.

Morgantown Regional

1. West Virginia (11)*
2. Oklahoma
3. Troy
4. Wright State*

West Virginia remains in a good position atop the Big 12, and in the hosting race. The Mountaineers are 29-7 overall, 18-4 in Big 12 play and No. 20 in RPI, which would be in range to host and likely as a top 12 seed as things currently stand. If they do stumble down the stretch and the RPI falls out of range, they could be left out of the hosting race, and a team like Oklahoma is still battling to get back in the picture.

Clemson Regional

Clemson's Cam Cannarella
Ken Ruinard | USA TODAY Sports

1. Clemson (7)
2. Southern Miss
3. Kansas State
4. Austin Peay*

Clemson fell to Florida State over the weekend, but they remain as a top eight seed in this week’s Field of 64. The Tigers are 37-12 overall, 14-10 in ACC play and No. 7 in RPI, feeling secure as a host but not so much as a top eight seed. Clems is just 5-8 in Q1 games, which could limit their upside in terms of seeding, though they’re likely fine as a top 16 seed.

Conway Regional

1. Coastal Carolina (10)*
2. NC State
3. Texas A&M
4. High Point*

Coastal Carolina continues to control the Sun Belt, now 37-11 overall, 20-4 in Sun Belt play, and No. 12 in RPI. The Chanticleers are a hosting lock at this point, and are still in the mix for a top eight seed, though they’d need some help. NC State was hosting in last week’s projections, but the Wolfpack’s weekend against Miami has dropped them, and brought their RPI all the way down to No. 36. Texas A&M also slots in here, as their up-and-down season continues after defeating LSU in their series.

Nashville Regional

1. Vanderbilt (8)
2. USC
3. Duke
4. Kent State*

Vanderbilt stormed back on Sunday to take the series against Alabama, and it launched them into the top eight in this week’s Field of 64. The Commodores are 34-14 overall, 14-10 in SEC play and No. 3 in RPI, also tied for second in Q1 wins with 13. While they are secure as a host more than likely, how they fare down the stretch at Tennessee and vs. Kentucky will determine if they hold onto the top eight.

Baton Rouge Regional

1. LSU (9)
2. Wake Forest
3. Cincinnati
4. Murray State*

LSU’s series loss against Texas A&M has set them back a little bit, though they still feel good as a host right now. The Tigers are 38-11 overall, 15-9 in the SEC and No. 8 in RPI, coming in as our No. 9 overall seed this week. They are certainly capable of getting back into the top eight, though. This regional also features Cincinnati, who soars into the NCAA Tournament field.



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Greg McElroy Exposes College Football’s NIL Go Chaos

Greg McElroy’s Bold Critique of NIL Go and Its Impact on College Football In a landscape where college football is constantly evolving, Greg McElroy has emerged as a voice unafraid to challenge the status quo. On a recent episode of his podcast, the former Alabama quarterback delivered a searing analysis of the NIL Go initiative, […]

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Greg McElroy’s Bold Critique of NIL Go and Its Impact on College Football

In a landscape where college football is constantly evolving, Greg McElroy has emerged as a voice unafraid to challenge the status quo. On a recent episode of his podcast, the former Alabama quarterback delivered a searing analysis of the NIL Go initiative, designed to regulate the financial dealings in college sports. His insights have sparked a conversation about the unintended consequences of this ambitious system.

NIL Go: A System Under Scrutiny

The NIL Go program was introduced with the intent to bring transparency and order to the complex world of Name, Image, and Likeness (NIL) deals. It promised to streamline the process, ensuring athletes could benefit from their talents while maintaining the integrity of college sports. However, McElroy’s critique suggests that the system may have opened Pandora’s box, revealing challenges that were previously hidden.

McElroy’s Insightful Perspective

McElroy’s perspective is grounded in his deep understanding of the sport’s inner workings. He argues that while NIL Go aims to simplify, it may inadvertently complicate matters. “The system was supposed to be a solution,” McElroy remarked, “but it seems to have created a new set of problems that no one anticipated.” His words resonate with those who worry that the initiative might be more of a cosmetic fix than a substantive change.

The Broader Implications for College Football

The introduction of NIL Go has sparked a broader debate about the future of college athletics. McElroy’s critique highlights a critical tension between maintaining the amateur nature of college sports and embracing the commercial opportunities that NIL deals present. This tension raises questions about the long-term sustainability of the current model and whether it truly serves the best interests of student-athletes.

Reflecting on the Future

As college football continues to navigate these turbulent waters, McElroy’s candid assessment serves as a reminder of the complexities involved in reforming a deeply entrenched system. His critique invites stakeholders to reconsider the path forward, ensuring that changes benefit the athletes without compromising the essence of college sports. The conversation he has ignited is not just about NIL Go but about the very future of college athletics—a future that demands careful thought and deliberate action.



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In new bills, Congress’ most direct plan yet to empower NCAA on post-House rules takes shape

With the House v. NCAA settlement now finalized and approved, a new push within Congress will attempt to turn it into law and give the NCAA and conferences more power to enforce their rules. A discussion draft of a bill obtained by The Athletic outlines an upcoming proposal in the House of Representatives’ Committee on […]

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With the House v. NCAA settlement now finalized and approved, a new push within Congress will attempt to turn it into law and give the NCAA and conferences more power to enforce their rules.

A discussion draft of a bill obtained by The Athletic outlines an upcoming proposal in the House of Representatives’ Committee on Energy and Commerce that would codify most of the federal support the NCAA has lobbied for in recent years. Although previous congressional efforts haven’t gained much steam, college sports leaders hope the settlement will finally provide the spark for something to get done. The Republican-led committee would work hand-in-hand with two other House committees for a three-pronged approach this week that would do the following:

  • Fully deputize the Collegiate Sports Commission (or another entity) to enforce the settlement rules, such as requiring athletes disclose third-party name, image and likeness deals worth more than $600 and allow the prohibition of compensation that is not considered fair market value
  • Allow an entity to establish a revenue-sharing cap; the one instituted by the settlement begins at around $20 million for the 2025-26 academic year
  • Pre-empt state NIL laws with this national NIL law
  • Allow the NCAA, conferences or another entity to establish and enforce rules around transfers, eligibility length and the paying of recruits
  • Declare that college athletes are not employees
  • Require athlete agents to register with an entity such as the CSC or NCAA

A House subcommittee is scheduled to discuss the draft, dubbed the SCORE Act and sponsored by Florida Republican and subcommittee chair Gus Bilirakis, at a Thursday hearing. To support it, the House’s Judiciary Committee is expected to discuss a bill for antitrust protections around these items, while the House’s Education and Workforce Committee will work to codify that athletes are not employees. The Washington Post first reported on the committee drafts.

“This discussion draft comes at a time of historic transition for college athletics,” the ACC, Big 12, Big Ten, Pac-12 and SEC said in a joint statement to The Athletic. “In the absence of federal standards, student-athletes and schools have been forced to navigate a fractured regulatory framework for too long. Following the historic House settlement, this draft legislation represents a very encouraging step toward delivering the national clarity and accountability that college athletics desperately needs. We urge lawmakers to build on this momentum and deliver the national solution that athletes, coaches, and schools deserve.”

The main Energy and Commerce bill, if passed, would also codify several athlete protections Democrats have asked for, requiring schools to provide injury care for athletes for at least two years after graduation, catastrophic injury insurance and additional mental health services and give “autonomous” authority to team physicians and trainers over player health and return-to-play decisions. It would also make law that schools cannot pull scholarships or aid over performance or injury. Many of these benefits are already allowed or required by the NCAA.

Republican and college sports officials who spoke to The Athletic on the condition of anonymity said they hope those athlete protections are enough to get some Democrats on board. Democratic representative Lori Trahan of Massachusetts, a former Georgetown volleyball player who is on the Energy and Commerce Committee, released a statement on Saturday expressing concern that congressional action could choke off gains made by athletes.

Thus far, congressional attempts on a college sports bill have not gone far, despite full Republican control of the legislative branch to streamline the process. One Democratic congressman who spoke to The Athletic questioned whether the full House would have time for the issue amid other more pressing topics.

A bipartisan group of senators led by Ted Cruz (R-Texas) have spent months working on a potential bill. President Trump has considered creating a presidential commission on college sports. SEC commissioner Greg Sankey and Notre Dame athletic director Pete Bevacqua played golf with Trump on Sunday.

“I don’t think this is about drawing lines between Democrats and Republicans or the House and Senate,” Sankey said Monday. “I think this is an opportunity for our governmental leaders, our political leaders, to come together around solutions to support our Olympic development program, to support college football and every one of our sports that flows off of that, including those that are labeled as non-revenue sports, to provide additional support for women’s sports.”

The finalization of the House settlement could be the inflection point for something to get done. NCAA president Charlie Baker has said that college sports needed to put together a plan to take to Congress. That has now happened.

“The big message from the federal government is you have to do everything you possibly can on your own, then come talk to us,” Baker said last September on a panel alongside Nick Saban.

In a letter Baker sent to members of Congress over the weekend obtained by The Athletic, the NCAA president pointed to the House settlement as needed progress, while asking for help on establishing antitrust protections, pre-empting state laws and keeping athletes from being employees.

“The progress we’ve made, especially with the House settlement, represents a significant step forward,” Baker wrote. “And, in the narrow areas where we lack the authority needed to address outstanding issues, we look forward to working with you and your staff to advance solutions that will ensure that college sports continue to provide fair opportunities to all student-athletes, for generations to come.”

College sports leaders have said the House settlement wouldn’t fix all their problems, that it was only a first step. Now the focus moves to accomplishing step two, convincing Congress that it’s done enough to get something made into federal law.

(Photo: Alex Wroblewski / AFP via Getty Images)



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It’s Lamborghini season in Austin as Longhorns put NIL wealth on full display

The Texas Longhorns have been at the top of college football’s game in terms of recruiting in recent years. In fact, Texas’ 2024 recruiting class was ranked No. 6 overall, according to 247Sports Composite Rankings last year; and in 2023, No. 3 overall, according to 247Sports. There’s room to improve, in other words. Enter Texas […]

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The Texas Longhorns have been at the top of college football’s game in terms of recruiting in recent years. In fact, Texas’ 2024 recruiting class was ranked No. 6 overall, according to 247Sports Composite Rankings last year; and in 2023, No. 3 overall, according to 247Sports.

There’s room to improve, in other words.

Enter Texas football’s Lamborghini roster.

More from USA Today:

Last weekend, Texas “showcased a fleet of Lamborghinis outside its football facilities as it hosted some of the nation’s top high school prospects for official visits. The luxury cars, parked in front of the Moncrief Athletics Center next to Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium, were impossible to miss as blue-chip recruits arrived … . The spectacle is part of an ongoing trend for Texas, which first rolled out the exotic cars during last year’s recruiting cycle. This year’s event featured around 14 to 15 top targets from the Class of 2026, including five-star running back Ezavier Crowell and Lamar Brown, as well as four-star edge rusher Jamarion Carlton, cornerback Davon Benjamin and four-star quarterback Kavian Bryant.”



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Surprising Big 12 School Believed to Have Most Expensive Budget for Paying Players

The House v. NCAA court case was settled late last week, allowing schools across the country to begin directly paying student-athletes for the first time. It’s a new frontier across college athletics, unlike anything we have ever seen. How schools manage to navigate directly compensating players will have a significant impact on the field. With […]

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The House v. NCAA court case was settled late last week, allowing schools across the country to begin directly paying student-athletes for the first time.

It’s a new frontier across college athletics, unlike anything we have ever seen. How schools manage to navigate directly compensating players will have a significant impact on the field.

With the new era upon us, the schools that have the most expensive rosters in the sport may not be who fans would expect. According to a new report from Brandon Marcello of CBS Sports, the most expensive athletic program next season may hail from Lubbock.

Per Marcello, Texas Tech’s fundraising arm, the Red Raider Club, will be responsible for generating $14 million annually to help fund its $20.5 million revenue-sharing model. When adding in NIL, Texas Tech is expected to pay $55 million across all of its programs in the upcoming school year, making it “perhaps” the highest-paying college athletics program in the country.

The Red Raiders have one of the nation’s top basketball programs, and feel that they’re on the rise in football as well. Now they’ll have plenty of money to spend as they look to take both programs, and the athletic department as a whole, to the next level.

More College Football on Sports Illustrated





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How the NCAA House Settlement Will Change College Football | Nebraska Football & NIL Discussion

In this episode of Monday Night Therapy, host Minnie Hunt is joined by Pigskin PD (Peter Bartell) and law professor Adam Lamparello for an in-depth look at the NCAA House Settlement and its massive impact on the future of college football. The panel breaks down how the new system allows universities to pay up to […]

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In this episode of Monday Night Therapy, host Minnie Hunt is joined by Pigskin PD (Peter Bartell) and law professor Adam Lamparello for an in-depth look at the NCAA House Settlement and its massive impact on the future of college football. The panel breaks down how the new system allows universities to pay up to $20.5 million annually to athletes, alongside NIL deals, and explores the legal, competitive, and Title IX ramifications. Adam explains why this structure may further widen the gap between powerhouse programs and smaller schools—sparking antitrust concerns and long legal battles.

The conversation also dives into Nebraska football’s identity, the importance of returning to its physical, trench-dominant style, and head coach Matt Rhule’s efforts to rebuild the program. The group reflects on Nebraska legends like Tommy Frazier and Lawrence Phillips while discussing NIL’s broader impact on player movement, recruiting, and competitive balance across college football.

If you’re passionate about Nebraska football history, college football NIL, or the changing landscape of the sport, this is an essential discussion. Plus, hear some fun memories about the 1869 Rutgers-Princeton game and Nebraska’s storied quarterback legacy.

#NebraskaFootball #CollegeFootballHistory #NIL #NCAASettlement #GoBigRed



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It’s Lamborghini season in Austin as Longhorns put NIL wealth on full display

The Texas Longhorns have been at the top of college football’s game in terms of recruiting in recent years. In fact, Texas’ 2024 recruiting class was ranked No. 6 overall, according to 247Sports Composite Rankings last year; and in 2023, No. 3 overall, according to 247Sports. There’s room to improve, in other words. Advertisement Enter […]

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The Texas Longhorns have been at the top of college football’s game in terms of recruiting in recent years. In fact, Texas’ 2024 recruiting class was ranked No. 6 overall, according to 247Sports Composite Rankings last year; and in 2023, No. 3 overall, according to 247Sports.

There’s room to improve, in other words.

Advertisement

Enter Texas football’s Lamborghini roster.

More from USA Today:

Last weekend, Texas “showcased a fleet of Lamborghinis outside its football facilities as it hosted some of the nation’s top high school prospects for official visits. The luxury cars, parked in front of the Moncrief Athletics Center next to Darrell K Royal–Texas Memorial Stadium, were impossible to miss as blue-chip recruits arrived … . The spectacle is part of an ongoing trend for Texas, which first rolled out the exotic cars during last year’s recruiting cycle. This year’s event featured around 14 to 15 top targets from the Class of 2026, including five-star running back Ezavier Crowell and Lamar Brown, as well as four-star edge rusher Jamarion Carlton, cornerback Davon Benjamin and four-star quarterback Kavian Bryant.”

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